Monthly outlook for Merrifield, NY: average high 53.9°, average low 35.7°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (64.9°), the coolest 29 October (24.4°).
53.9°/35.7°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
2 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
54.2°
55.9°
-0.9°
29 October – 7 November
53.2°
52.6°
+0.3°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
47.2°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°1 October 2019All-time high
27.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (11 mi).
Tue, 2060° / 37°0
60 °
Merrifield, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.6 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2155° / 31°0
55 °
Merrifield, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind2.2 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Thu, 2253° / 39°0.09
53 °
Merrifield, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.8 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 2345° / 38°0
45 °
Merrifield, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sat, 2452° / 34°0
52 °
Merrifield, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2561° / 40°0
61 °
Merrifield, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2663° / 43°0
63 °
Merrifield, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2750° / 36°0
50 °
Merrifield, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2839° / 27°0.11
39 °
Merrifield, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 39°, low 27°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.9 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2943° / 24°0
43 °
Merrifield, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 43°, low 24°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 3049° / 32°0
49 °
Merrifield, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 3156° / 33°0
56 °
Merrifield, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 56°, low 33°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 0160° / 41°0
60 °
Merrifield, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0255° / 41°0
55 °
Merrifield, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 0354° / 41°0
54 °
Merrifield, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Merrifield, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low29° (1989)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.12
52 °
Merrifield, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.12
51 °
Merrifield, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low30° (1967)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.12
50 °
Merrifield, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low26° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 38°0.13
49 °
Merrifield, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low24° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 38°0.11
50 °
Merrifield, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.15
50 °
Merrifield, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Merrifield, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.16
46 °
Merrifield, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1964)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1346° / 34°0.11
46 °
Merrifield, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1961)
Record low15° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 36°0.13
46 °
Merrifield, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1994)
Record low20° (1986)
Sun, 1546° / 35°0.16
46 °
Merrifield, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high64° (1960)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 1646° / 34°0.14
46 °
Merrifield, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low14° (2019)
Tue, 1745° / 34°0.13
45 °
Merrifield, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1987)
Record low19° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merrifield, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merrifield, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.