Weather in Merrifield, NY
Merrifield, Tuesday, 20 October, 17:02
Clear. Feels like 56°. High 61°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Merrifield, NY: average high 52.5°, average low 36°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (65.3°), the coolest 31 October (25.6°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 October – 29 October | 55.5° | 55.5° | +0° |
| 30 October – 8 November | 47.5° | 52.4° | -2.7° |
| 9 November – 18 November | at normal | 46.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (11 mi).
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 58°, low 31°.
0.01
Merrifield, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 31°.
0
Merrifield, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 36°.
0Merrifield, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
0Merrifield, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
0
Merrifield, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 46°.
0
Merrifield, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 37°.
0.11Merrifield, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
0.8Merrifield, Thursday, 29 October
Heavy rain. High 50°, low 39°.
0.04
Merrifield, Friday, 30 October
Light snow. High 39°, low 29°.
0Merrifield, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 48°, low 26°.
0.17Merrifield, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.
0.54Merrifield, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 60°, low 47°.
0.06Merrifield, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 34°.
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 27°.
0.12
Merrifield, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Merrifield, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Merrifield, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Merrifield, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Merrifield, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Merrifield, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Merrifield, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merrifield, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merrifield, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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