Weather in Merrifield, NY
Merrifield, Thursday, 22 October, 18:16
Overcast. Feels like 53°. High 60°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Merrifield, NY: average high 54.6°, average low 37.4°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (66.3°), the coolest 24 October (28°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 56.7° | 54.7° | +1.1° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 51° | 51.6° | -0.4° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 45.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (11 mi).
0
Merrifield, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 55°, low 33°.
0Merrifield, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 28°.
0Merrifield, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 42°.
0Merrifield, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
0
Merrifield, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 36°.
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 35°.
0.01
Merrifield, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 47°.
0Merrifield, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 46°.
0.06Merrifield, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
0.03Merrifield, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
0.07Merrifield, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
0Merrifield, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 29°.
0
Merrifield, Thursday, 5 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 30°.
0Merrifield, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
0.12Merrifield, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Merrifield, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Merrifield, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Merrifield, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Merrifield, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Merrifield, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Merrifield, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merrifield, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merrifield, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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