Weather in Merrifield, NY
Merrifield, Monday, 26 October, 03:09
Overcast. Feels like 44°. High 65°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Merrifield, NY: average high 51.2°, average low 34.8°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (65.9°), the coolest 5 November (24.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 October – 4 November | 55.9° | 53.7° | +1.2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | 43.3° | 48.8° | -3° |
| 15 November – 24 November | at normal | 44.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Aurelius (11 mi).
0
Merrifield, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 31°.
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 39°.
0
Merrifield, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 50°.
0Merrifield, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 47°.
0Merrifield, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
0Merrifield, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
1.51
Merrifield, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 52°, low 44°.
0.48Merrifield, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 48°, low 33°.
0Merrifield, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 27°.
0
Merrifield, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 41°, low 25°.
0Merrifield, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 43°, low 26°.
0Merrifield, Saturday, 7 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 28°.
0.37Merrifield, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0.33
Merrifield, Monday, 9 November
Snow. High 43°, low 27°.
0.03Merrifield, Tuesday, 10 November
Snow. High 36°, low 26°.
0.15Merrifield, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Merrifield, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Merrifield, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Merrifield, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Merrifield, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Merrifield, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Merrifield, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Merrifield, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Merrifield, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Merrifield, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Merrifield, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Merrifield, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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