Monthly outlook for Lower Melville, NY: average high 54.2°, average low 44.1°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (61.6°), the coolest 17 November (35°).
54.2°/44.1°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
52.7°
51.1°
+0.9°
22 November – 1 December
56.7°
48.9°
+4.3°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
45.2°
—
November records over 66 years
77.5°1 November 2024All-time high
16.5°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Farmingdale (3 mi).
Fri, 1347° / 39°0.46
47 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 47°, low 39°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility2.8 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 1445° / 35°0
45 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1547° / 38°0
47 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1648° / 35°0
48 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1751° / 35°0
51 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1855° / 41°0
55 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1957° / 45°0
57 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 2061° / 48°0
61 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.3 mph W
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2158° / 48°0
58 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2256° / 44°0
56 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2360° / 53°0
60 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 2462° / 55°0
62 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 55°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 2560° / 54°0.44
60 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 60°, low 54°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 2650° / 43°0
50 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2752° / 43°0
52 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2850° / 41°0.16
50 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high61° (1973)
Record low26° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 39°0.1
48 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (2011)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3047° / 38°0.14
47 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low25° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low24° (2024)
Wed, 0247° / 37°0.13
47 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (2023)
Record low22° (1971)
Thu, 0347° / 37°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low17° (1976)
Fri, 0446° / 36°0.11
46 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low18° (1989)
Sat, 0544° / 36°0.18
44 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low19° (2025)
Sun, 0646° / 37°0.18
46 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low25° (2007)
Mon, 0745° / 35°0.16
45 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low23° (1964)
Tue, 0843° / 35°0.11
43 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high59° (1978)
Record low21° (2006)
Wed, 0945° / 35°0.23
45 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (1978)
Record low18° (1968)
Thu, 1045° / 36°0.15
45 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high59° (2023)
Record low12° (1968)
Fri, 1144° / 35°0.26
44 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high61° (2021)
Record low17° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Melville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Melville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.