Monthly outlook for Lower Melville, NY: average high 58°, average low 46.3°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (73.4°), the coolest 15 November (36.1°).
58°/46.3°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
61.8°
54.4°
+4.1°
14 November – 23 November
51.7°
50.3°
+0.7°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
48.6°
—
November records over 66 years
77.5°1 November 2024All-time high
16.5°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Farmingdale (3 mi).
Thu, 0573° / 57°0.04
73 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility5.3 mi
Dew point60°
Fri, 0667° / 60°0.41
67 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 67°, low 60°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.2 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility3.2 mi
Dew point65°
Sat, 0766° / 50°0.04
66 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 0858° / 46°0
58 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0957° / 41°0
57 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1063° / 51°0
63 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1158° / 50°0
58 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1249° / 42°0
49 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 1353° / 46°0
53 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.6 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1452° / 40°0
52 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1543° / 36°0
43 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.6 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Mon, 1650° / 38°0
50 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1753° / 40°0
53 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 53°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 1857° / 45°0
57 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1955° / 46°0
55 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.3 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2051° / 41°0.13
51 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low29° (2022)
Sat, 2150° / 40°0.11
50 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (1985)
Record low22° (1987)
Sun, 2249° / 40°0.16
49 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high61° (2007)
Record low19° (2018)
Mon, 2348° / 39°0.12
48 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high63° (1992)
Record low17° (2018)
Tue, 2449° / 40°0.09
49 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low26° (2013)
Wed, 2549° / 39°0.14
49 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2014)
Record low25° (2005)
Thu, 2651° / 40°0.22
51 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low26° (2023)
Fri, 2750° / 40°0.13
50 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2020)
Record low29° (1974)
Sat, 2850° / 41°0.16
50 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high61° (1973)
Record low26° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 39°0.1
48 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (2011)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3047° / 38°0.14
47 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low25° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low24° (2024)
Wed, 0247° / 37°0.13
47 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (2023)
Record low22° (1971)
Thu, 0347° / 37°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low17° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Melville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Melville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.