Monthly outlook for Lower Melville, NY: average high 53.3°, average low 43.8°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (61.1°), the coolest 15 November (36.2°).
53.3°/43.8°
Average high / low
+1.4°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 November – 19 November
51.1°
51.9°
-0.4°
20 November – 29 November
57°
49.4°
+4.2°
30 November – 9 December
at normal
45.8°
—
November records over 66 years
77.5°1 November 2024All-time high
16.5°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Farmingdale (3 mi).
Wed, 1160° / 48°0
60 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 11 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Thu, 1256° / 49°0.25
56 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind9.8 mph E
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Fri, 1348° / 40°1.79
48 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 13 November
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind12.8 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility1.3 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 1444° / 38°0.14
44 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1547° / 36°0
47 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 1647° / 39°0
47 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1749° / 39°0
49 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1850° / 41°0
50 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 1952° / 41°0
52 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.1 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2055° / 43°0
55 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2157° / 45°0
57 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 2258° / 47°0
58 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.8 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 2360° / 55°0.28
60 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 2461° / 53°0.31
61 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2551° / 42°0
51 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2651° / 40°0.22
51 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low26° (2023)
Fri, 2750° / 40°0.13
50 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (2020)
Record low29° (1974)
Sat, 2850° / 41°0.16
50 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high61° (1973)
Record low26° (2002)
Sun, 2948° / 39°0.1
48 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (2011)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3047° / 38°0.14
47 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low25° (1976)
Tue, 0147° / 38°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low24° (2024)
Wed, 0247° / 37°0.13
47 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high60° (2023)
Record low22° (1971)
Thu, 0347° / 37°0.15
47 °
Lower Melville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low17° (1976)
Fri, 0446° / 36°0.11
46 °
Lower Melville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low18° (1989)
Sat, 0544° / 36°0.18
44 °
Lower Melville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low19° (2025)
Sun, 0646° / 37°0.18
46 °
Lower Melville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low25° (2007)
Mon, 0745° / 35°0.16
45 °
Lower Melville, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low23° (1964)
Tue, 0843° / 35°0.11
43 °
Lower Melville, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high59° (1978)
Record low21° (2006)
Wed, 0945° / 35°0.23
45 °
Lower Melville, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (1978)
Record low18° (1968)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lower Melville, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lower Melville, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.