Monthly outlook for Lava, NY: average high 58.9°, average low 41.6°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (73.4°), the coolest 20 October (27.5°).
58.9°/41.6°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
60°
58.5°
+0.8°
20 October – 29 October
57°
55.1°
+1°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
51.7°
—
October records over 66 years
82°5 October 2007All-time high
25°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mongaup Valley (13 mi).
Sun, 1157° / 42°1.13
57 °
Lava, Sunday, 11 October
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point50°
Mon, 1267° / 52°0.04
67 °
Lava, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.1 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1373° / 47°0.03
73 °
Lava, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.8 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Wed, 1467° / 56°0.02
67 °
Lava, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Thu, 1553° / 45°0
53 °
Lava, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1658° / 46°0.68
58 °
Lava, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 1760° / 52°0.14
60 °
Lava, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 52°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sun, 1854° / 41°0.58
54 °
Lava, Sunday, 18 October
Rain. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 1944° / 35°0
44 °
Lava, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2053° / 28°0
53 °
Lava, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 53°, low 28°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Wed, 2158° / 32°0
58 °
Lava, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 58°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind2.9 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2258° / 36°0
58 °
Lava, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 2357° / 36°0
57 °
Lava, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2457° / 38°0
57 °
Lava, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2558° / 40°0.01
58 °
Lava, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2655° / 41°0.16
55 °
Lava, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low30° (1972)
Tue, 2754° / 40°0.18
54 °
Lava, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low26° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 39°0.21
54 °
Lava, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 38°0.15
52 °
Lava, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3052° / 37°0.12
52 °
Lava, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low28° (2011)
Sat, 3153° / 38°0.08
53 °
Lava, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low25° (2011)
Sun, 0154° / 40°0.11
54 °
Lava, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low30° (2010)
Mon, 0253° / 40°0.15
53 °
Lava, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 39°0.11
54 °
Lava, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (2003)
Record low29° (1996)
Wed, 0451° / 38°0.07
51 °
Lava, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low27° (2013)
Thu, 0551° / 38°0.13
51 °
Lava, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low22° (1962)
Fri, 0650° / 37°0.09
50 °
Lava, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low26° (2012)
Sat, 0749° / 36°0.07
49 °
Lava, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (1962)
Sun, 0849° / 36°0.15
49 °
Lava, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low22° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lava, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lava, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.