Monthly outlook for Lava, NY: average high 61.3°, average low 41.5°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (67.7°), the coolest 19 October (34°).
61.3°/41.5°
Average high / low
+1.8°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
61.5°
59.1°
+1.4°
19 October – 28 October
60.8°
55.5°
+2.9°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
52°
—
October records over 66 years
82°5 October 2007All-time high
25°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mongaup Valley (13 mi).
Sat, 1068° / 40°0
68 °
Lava, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind1 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 1153° / 47°0.42
53 °
Lava, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity96%
Visibility3.8 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1265° / 52°0.04
65 °
Lava, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 52°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1367° / 49°0.17
67 °
Lava, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 49°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 1461° / 42°0
61 °
Lava, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 1557° / 34°0
57 °
Lava, Thursday, 15 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1663° / 47°0.06
63 °
Lava, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 1761° / 46°0.02
61 °
Lava, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1853° / 37°0.2
53 °
Lava, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 1957° / 34°0
57 °
Lava, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 2060° / 36°0
60 °
Lava, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 36°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2157° / 37°0
57 °
Lava, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind10.9 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2263° / 37°0
63 °
Lava, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 63°, low 37°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind2.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2364° / 40°0
64 °
Lava, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.4 mph E
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2463° / 41°0
63 °
Lava, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2555° / 41°0.13
55 °
Lava, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1963)
Record low29° (1962)
Mon, 2655° / 41°0.16
55 °
Lava, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high76° (1963)
Record low30° (1972)
Tue, 2754° / 40°0.18
54 °
Lava, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1963)
Record low26° (1976)
Wed, 2854° / 39°0.21
54 °
Lava, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1984)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 38°0.15
52 °
Lava, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3052° / 37°0.12
52 °
Lava, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low28° (2011)
Sat, 3153° / 38°0.08
53 °
Lava, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2024)
Record low25° (2011)
Sun, 0154° / 40°0.11
54 °
Lava, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low30° (2010)
Mon, 0253° / 40°0.15
53 °
Lava, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low25° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 39°0.11
54 °
Lava, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (2003)
Record low29° (1996)
Wed, 0451° / 38°0.07
51 °
Lava, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low27° (2013)
Thu, 0551° / 38°0.13
51 °
Lava, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low22° (1962)
Fri, 0650° / 37°0.09
50 °
Lava, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low26° (2012)
Sat, 0749° / 36°0.07
49 °
Lava, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lava, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lava, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.