Weather in Elm Tree, NY
Elm Tree, Monday, 12 October, 21:46
Clear. Feels like 62°. High 68°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 60.2°, average low 45.2°. That is 2.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (78°), the coolest 27 October (34.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 October – 21 October | 62.9° | 56.5° | +3.6° |
| 22 October – 31 October | 55.7° | 53.3° | +1.4° |
| 1 November – 10 November | at normal | 49.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).
0.01
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 78°, low 59°.
0.19Elm Tree, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 66°, low 54°.
0.33Elm Tree, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 63°, low 51°.
1.54Elm Tree, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 62°, low 45°.
0.22Elm Tree, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 46°, low 37°.
0
Elm Tree, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 40°.
0
Elm Tree, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 37°.
0Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
0
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 67°, low 45°.
0.1Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 51°.
0.03Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.12Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
0.05Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 35°.
0.2Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 49°, low 35°.
0.15Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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