As of 08:13 EDT

Weather in Elm Tree, NY

57°

Elm Tree, Monday, 12 October, 08:13

Overcast. Feels like 57°. High 68°, low 53°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind8.1 mph NW

Humidity95%

Visibility0.6 mi

Dew point56°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 58.7°, average low 42.2°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (74.9°), the coolest 18 October (26.3°).

58.7°/42.2°

Average high / low

+1.7°

Above normal

6 / 8

Wet days / normal

2.1 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
12 October – 21 October	61.1°	56.5°	+2.5°
22 October – 31 October	54.7°	53.3°	+0.8°
1 November – 10 November	at normal	49.9°	—

October records over 66 years

82.8°1 October 2019All-time high

17.6°20 October 1972All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).

Tue, 1375° / 58°

0.02

75 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind14 mph SW

Humidity72%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point64°

Wed, 1466° / 53°

0.08

66 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 53°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind9.3 mph NW

Humidity81%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point55°

Thu, 1558° / 50°

58 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 58°, low 50°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind4.5 mph NE

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Fri, 1655° / 44°

0.57

55 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 16 October

Rain. High 55°, low 44°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind25.1 mph NW

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Sat, 1749° / 36°

0.07

49 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind16.3 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Sun, 1853° / 26°

53 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 53°, low 26°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind13 mph SW

Humidity31%

Visibility—

Dew point20°

Mon, 1963° / 38°

63 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 63°, low 38°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind12.5 mph SW

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Tue, 2064° / 46°

64 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind8.3 mph W

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point47°

Wed, 2162° / 43°

62 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 62°, low 43°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind6.9 mph E

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Thu, 2263° / 40°

63 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 63°, low 40°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind12.4 mph S

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Fri, 2362° / 45°

0.66

62 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October

Heavy rain. High 62°, low 45°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind19.6 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point53°

Sat, 2446° / 32°

46 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October

Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 32°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind14.7 mph N

Humidity44%

Visibility—

Dew point24°

Sun, 2550° / 32°

0.18

50 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October

Light rain. High 50°, low 32°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind11.9 mph S

Humidity39%

Visibility—

Dew point24°

Mon, 2653° / 41°

0.52

53 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October

Rain. High 53°, low 41°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind14.7 mph S

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point47°

Tue, 2752° / 36°

52 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October

Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 36°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind7.5 mph NW

Humidity58%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Wed, 2852° / 40°

0.15

52 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation50%

Record high69° (2014)

Record low29° (1976)

Thu, 2951° / 39°

0.14

51 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation48%

Record high69° (1971)

Record low27° (1965)

Fri, 3053° / 40°

0.11

53 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high70° (1999)

Record low28° (2011)

Sat, 3153° / 41°

0.16

53 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.16 in

Chance of precipitation43%

Record high73° (2024)

Record low27° (2020)

Sun, 0153° / 41°

0.15

53 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation47%

Record high67° (1984)

Record low28° (2023)

Mon, 0253° / 40°

0.2

53 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high69° (1982)

Record low26° (2020)

Tue, 0351° / 39°

0.14

51 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation42%

Record high73° (1961)

Record low28° (1966)

Wed, 0450° / 39°

0.13

50 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation42%

Record high71° (2015)

Record low26° (1991)

Thu, 0550° / 39°

0.15

50 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high72° (2022)

Record low22° (1991)

Fri, 0649° / 38°

0.15

49 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low38°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation57%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low26° (1967)

Sat, 0748° / 37°

0.12

48 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation55%

Record high69° (1975)

Record low23° (1992)

Sun, 0848° / 37°

0.11

48 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation43%

Record high67° (2020)

Record low20° (1967)

Mon, 0949° / 37°

0.12

49 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation47%

Record high69° (2020)

Record low19° (1992)

Tue, 1048° / 36°

0.18

48 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.18 in

Chance of precipitation50%

Record high70° (2020)

Record low16° (2017)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.