Weather in Elm Tree, NY
Elm Tree, Sunday, 18 October, 22:26
Clear. Feels like 42°. High 60°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 56.8°, average low 41.4°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (64°), the coolest 18 October (32.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 56.8° | 54.2° | +1.4° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 56.8° | 51.5° | +2.9° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 46.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).
0
Elm Tree, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 39°.
0Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
0.04
Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0
Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
0
Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 58°, low 35°.
0Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
0
Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 39°.
0.04Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 44°.
0.02Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 45°.
0Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 46°.
0.12Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 64°, low 48°.
0.3Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
0.18Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 43°.
0.08Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
0.14
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Elm Tree, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Elm Tree, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Elm Tree, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Elm Tree, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Elm Tree, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Elm Tree, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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