As of 19:03 EDT

Weather in Elm Tree, NY

50°

Elm Tree, Friday, 16 October, 19:03

Rain. Feels like 45°. High 65°, low 49°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind12.7 mph NW

Humidity91%

Visibility5.6 mi

Dew point47°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 56.7°, average low 40.8°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (64.7°), the coolest 31 October (36°).

56.7°/40.8°

Average high / low

+1.6°

Above normal

6 / 8

Wet days / normal

1.5 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
16 October – 25 October	59.2°	54.7°	+2.5°
26 October – 4 November	52.6°	52.3°	+0.2°
5 November – 14 November	at normal	47.1°	—

October records over 66 years

82.8°1 October 2019All-time high

17.6°20 October 1972All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).

Sat, 1746° / 39°

0.07

46 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind11.3 mph N

Humidity67%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point29°

Sun, 1858° / 40°

58 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 58°, low 40°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind8.1 mph SW

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point36°

Mon, 1961° / 42°

61 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 61°, low 42°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind4.5 mph W

Humidity37%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point33°

Tue, 2060° / 46°

60 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 60°, low 46°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind3.7 mph N

Humidity65%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point46°

Wed, 2162° / 42°

62 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 42°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind5.5 mph N

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Thu, 2263° / 41°

63 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 41°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind6.9 mph E

Humidity35%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Fri, 2362° / 39°

62 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 62°, low 39°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind13.1 mph W

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

Sat, 2455° / 39°

55 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October

Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 39°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind10.6 mph E

Humidity55%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Sun, 2559° / 38°

59 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October

Overcast. High 59°, low 38°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind8.9 mph SE

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Mon, 2661° / 39°

61 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October

Overcast. High 61°, low 39°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind11.2 mph SW

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point42°

Tue, 2753° / 41°

0.12

53 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October

Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind15.8 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Wed, 2852° / 38°

52 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October

Clear. High 52°, low 38°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind13.4 mph NW

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

Thu, 2952° / 37°

0.11

52 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October

Light rain. High 52°, low 37°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind19 mph S

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Fri, 3052° / 48°

0.34

52 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October

Light rain. High 52°, low 48°.

Pressure29.68 inHg

Wind17.5 mph W

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point47°

Sat, 3146° / 36°

0.04

46 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October

Light rain. High 46°, low 36°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind15.4 mph NW

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sun, 0153° / 41°

0.15

53 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low41°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation47%

Record high67° (1984)

Record low28° (2023)

Mon, 0253° / 40°

0.2

53 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low40°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high69° (1982)

Record low26° (2020)

Tue, 0351° / 39°

0.14

51 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation42%

Record high73° (1961)

Record low28° (1966)

Wed, 0450° / 39°

0.13

50 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation42%

Record high71° (2015)

Record low26° (1991)

Thu, 0550° / 39°

0.15

50 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high72° (2022)

Record low22° (1991)

Fri, 0649° / 38°

0.15

49 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low38°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation57%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low26° (1967)

Sat, 0748° / 37°

0.12

48 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation55%

Record high69° (1975)

Record low23° (1992)

Sun, 0848° / 37°

0.11

48 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation43%

Record high67° (2020)

Record low20° (1967)

Mon, 0949° / 37°

0.12

49 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation47%

Record high69° (2020)

Record low19° (1992)

Tue, 1048° / 36°

0.18

48 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.18 in

Chance of precipitation50%

Record high70° (2020)

Record low16° (2017)

Wed, 1146° / 36°

0.18

46 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.18 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high65° (2012)

Record low15° (2017)

Thu, 1245° / 33°

0.14

45 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high64° (1964)

Record low12° (2019)

Fri, 1344° / 33°

0.12

44 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation58%

Record high62° (1989)

Record low11° (2019)

Sat, 1444° / 34°

0.16

44 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 14 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.16 in

Chance of precipitation45%

Record high64° (1994)

Record low17° (1996)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.