Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 59.9°, average low 45.4°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.3°), the coolest 28 October (31.9°).
59.9°/45.4°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
62.4°
56°
+3.5°
23 October – 1 November
55.8°
53.2°
+1.5°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
49.2°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2019All-time high
17.6°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).
Wed, 1463° / 54°0.04
63 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Thu, 1563° / 52°0.02
63 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Fri, 1667° / 44°1.33
67 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity99%
Visibility2.5 mi
Dew point55°
Sat, 1746° / 37°0.15
46 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1856° / 39°0
56 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 1961° / 45°0
61 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2057° / 51°0
57 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2166° / 48°0
66 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2269° / 54°0
69 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.2 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 2370° / 56°0
70 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2464° / 50°0
64 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind17.8 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2552° / 38°0
52 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15.7 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2649° / 36°0.1
49 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.6 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2745° / 32°0.03
45 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2854° / 32°0
54 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2951° / 39°0.14
51 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (1971)
Record low27° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 40°0.11
53 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low28° (2011)
Sat, 3153° / 41°0.16
53 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low27° (2020)
Sun, 0153° / 41°0.15
53 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high67° (1984)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 0253° / 40°0.2
53 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1982)
Record low26° (2020)
Tue, 0351° / 39°0.14
51 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high73° (1961)
Record low28° (1966)
Wed, 0450° / 39°0.13
50 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low26° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 39°0.15
50 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low22° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.15
49 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1992)
Sun, 0848° / 37°0.11
48 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.12
49 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1992)
Tue, 1048° / 36°0.18
48 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low16° (2017)
Wed, 1146° / 36°0.18
46 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low15° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.