As of 03:30 EDT

Weather in Elm Tree, NY

38°

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October, 03:30

Clear. Feels like 35°. High 62°, low 38°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind4.6 mph N

Humidity97%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point37°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 37.8°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 October (62.3°), the coolest 29 October (27.2°).

52.6°/37.8°

Average high / low

−0.3°

Below normal

6 / 7

Wet days / normal

1.9 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
20 October – 29 October	53.5°	53.6°	-0.1°
30 October – 8 November	51.2°	50.8°	+0.2°
9 November – 18 November	at normal	45.3°	—

October records over 66 years

82.8°1 October 2019All-time high

17.6°20 October 1972All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).

Wed, 2159° / 34°

59 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 59°, low 34°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind2.9 mph NW

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point39°

Thu, 2254° / 45°

0.08

54 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind9.6 mph N

Humidity88%

Visibility3.3 mi

Dew point50°

Fri, 2349° / 38°

49 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October

Mostly clear. High 49°, low 38°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind8.1 mph N

Humidity61%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point35°

Sat, 2455° / 32°

55 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 55°, low 32°.

Pressure30.50 inHg

Wind5.3 mph SE

Humidity41%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Sun, 2562° / 38°

62 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October

Mostly clear. High 62°, low 38°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind10.1 mph SW

Humidity39%

Visibility—

Dew point34°

Mon, 2662° / 48°

0.02

62 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October

Light rain. High 62°, low 48°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind9.7 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point46°

Tue, 2752° / 41°

0.53

52 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October

Rain. High 52°, low 41°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind16.9 mph SW

Humidity93%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Wed, 2839° / 29°

0.35

39 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October

Snow. High 39°, low 29°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind12.6 mph NW

Humidity95%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Thu, 2941° / 27°

41 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October

Overcast. High 41°, low 27°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind19 mph W

Humidity63%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Fri, 3047° / 31°

47 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October

Overcast. High 47°, low 31°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind14.6 mph W

Humidity54%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Sat, 3153° / 33°

53 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October

Overcast. High 53°, low 33°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind8.4 mph W

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Sun, 0155° / 37°

55 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November

Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind13.6 mph S

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Mon, 0255° / 44°

0.2

55 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November

Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind13.7 mph SE

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Tue, 0353° / 48°

0.52

53 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November

Rain. High 53°, low 48°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind13.3 mph S

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Wed, 0445° / 41°

0.23

45 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November

Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind17.1 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Thu, 0550° / 39°

0.15

50 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°

Average low39°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high72° (2022)

Record low22° (1991)

Fri, 0649° / 38°

0.15

49 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low38°

Average precipitation0.15 in

Chance of precipitation57%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low26° (1967)

Sat, 0748° / 37°

0.12

48 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation55%

Record high69° (1975)

Record low23° (1992)

Sun, 0848° / 37°

0.11

48 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation43%

Record high67° (2020)

Record low20° (1967)

Mon, 0949° / 37°

0.12

49 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low37°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation47%

Record high69° (2020)

Record low19° (1992)

Tue, 1048° / 36°

0.18

48 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.18 in

Chance of precipitation50%

Record high70° (2020)

Record low16° (2017)

Wed, 1146° / 36°

0.18

46 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°

Average low36°

Average precipitation0.18 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high65° (2012)

Record low15° (2017)

Thu, 1245° / 33°

0.14

45 °

Elm Tree, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.14 in

Chance of precipitation53%

Record high64° (1964)

Record low12° (2019)

Fri, 1344° / 33°

0.12

44 °

Elm Tree, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation58%

Record high62° (1989)

Record low11° (2019)

Sat, 1444° / 34°

0.16

44 °

Elm Tree, Saturday, 14 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.16 in

Chance of precipitation45%

Record high64° (1994)

Record low17° (1996)

Sun, 1545° / 33°

0.2

45 °

Elm Tree, Sunday, 15 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.2 in

Chance of precipitation58%

Record high62° (1989)

Record low14° (1996)

Mon, 1644° / 33°

0.19

44 °

Elm Tree, Monday, 16 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.19 in

Chance of precipitation50%

Record high63° (1988)

Record low8° (1967)

Tue, 1744° / 33°

0.17

44 °

Elm Tree, Tuesday, 17 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.17 in

Chance of precipitation58%

Record high61° (1987)

Record low20° (2019)

Wed, 1844° / 33°

0.09

44 °

Elm Tree, Wednesday, 18 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation42%

Record high67° (2016)

Record low10° (2014)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.