Monthly outlook for Elm Tree, NY: average high 55°, average low 35.3°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (66.5°), the coolest 30 October (23.9°).
55°/35.3°
Average high / low
+0.9°
Above normal
1 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
57.5°
54°
+2°
29 October – 7 November
50.8°
51.1°
-0.1°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
45.7°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2019All-time high
17.6°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (13 mi).
Tue, 2062° / 39°0
62 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2157° / 33°0
57 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind1.2 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Thu, 2255° / 43°0.02
55 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 2349° / 39°0
49 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2455° / 34°0
55 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2560° / 38°0
60 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2662° / 45°0
62 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.1 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2766° / 44°0.01
66 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2846° / 34°0.15
46 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.7 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 2941° / 25°0
41 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 29 October
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 3043° / 24°0
43 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 30 October
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 24°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 3149° / 25°0
49 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 49°, low 25°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 0154° / 30°0
54 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 0258° / 35°0
58 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 0360° / 41°0
60 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0450° / 39°0.13
50 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low26° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 39°0.15
50 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low22° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 38°0.15
49 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low26° (1967)
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.12
48 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1992)
Sun, 0848° / 37°0.11
48 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (1967)
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.12
49 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low19° (1992)
Tue, 1048° / 36°0.18
48 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low16° (2017)
Wed, 1146° / 36°0.18
46 °
Elm Tree, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low15° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 33°0.14
45 °
Elm Tree, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1964)
Record low12° (2019)
Fri, 1344° / 33°0.12
44 °
Elm Tree, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high62° (1989)
Record low11° (2019)
Sat, 1444° / 34°0.16
44 °
Elm Tree, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high64° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1545° / 33°0.2
45 °
Elm Tree, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high62° (1989)
Record low14° (1996)
Mon, 1644° / 33°0.19
44 °
Elm Tree, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high63° (1988)
Record low8° (1967)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elm Tree, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low20° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elm Tree, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elm Tree, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.