Weather in Belle Ayr, NY
Belle Ayr, Sunday, 15 November, 17:08
Overcast. Feels like 27°. High 39°, low 30°.
Monthly outlook for Belle Ayr, NY: average high 47.8°, average low 34.7°. That is 4.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 November (58.5°), the coolest 24 November (24.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 47.3° | 40.4° | +3.8° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 48.7° | 37.5° | +6.2° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 33.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rockland (13 mi).
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 32°.
0
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
0
Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Belle Ayr, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
0
Belle Ayr, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 37°.
0Belle Ayr, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
0.16
Belle Ayr, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 25°.
0Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 45°, low 25°.
0Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 30°.
0.05Belle Ayr, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
1.78Belle Ayr, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 59°, low 49°.
0.02Belle Ayr, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
0Belle Ayr, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
0.41Belle Ayr, Monday, 30 November
Rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0.17
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Belle Ayr, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Belle Ayr, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Belle Ayr, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Belle Ayr, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Belle Ayr, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Belle Ayr, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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