Weather in Belle Ayr, NY
Belle Ayr, Thursday, 5 November, 05:01
Light rain. Feels like 60°. High 65°, low 53°.
Monthly outlook for Belle Ayr, NY: average high 46°, average low 35.9°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (64.7°), the coolest 14 November (26.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 46.8° | 44.6° | +1.2° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 44.6° | 40.4° | +2.3° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 37.5° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rockland (13 mi).
0
Belle Ayr, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 46°.
0.28Belle Ayr, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
0.02Belle Ayr, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0.13Belle Ayr, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 39°.
0
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
0
Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 32°.
0.02
Belle Ayr, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 27°.
0.01Belle Ayr, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 31°, low 26°.
0Belle Ayr, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 35°, low 26°.
0.08Belle Ayr, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 38°, low 30°.
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 27°.
0.73Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 46°, low 38°.
0.04Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 47°.
0.86Belle Ayr, Thursday, 19 November
Snow. High 55°, low 36°.
0Belle Ayr, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 33°.
0.13
Belle Ayr, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Belle Ayr, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Belle Ayr, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Belle Ayr, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Belle Ayr, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Belle Ayr, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Belle Ayr, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Belle Ayr, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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