Weather in Belle Ayr, NY
Belle Ayr, Sunday, 15 November, 07:35
Overcast. Feels like 23°. High 38°, low 31°.
Monthly outlook for Belle Ayr, NY: average high 46.5°, average low 31.7°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (54.2°), the coolest 24 November (19.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 45.6° | 40.4° | +2.9° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 47.9° | 37.5° | +5.8° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 33.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rockland (13 mi).
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 28°.
0
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 46°, low 28°.
0Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 51°, low 32°.
0Belle Ayr, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
0Belle Ayr, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
0
Belle Ayr, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 37°.
0.01
Belle Ayr, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
0.04
Belle Ayr, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 37°, low 20°.
0Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 37°, low 20°.
0Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 26°.
0
Belle Ayr, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 31°.
0Belle Ayr, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 51°, low 34°.
0Belle Ayr, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
0Belle Ayr, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 32°.
0.17
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Belle Ayr, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Belle Ayr, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Belle Ayr, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Belle Ayr, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Belle Ayr, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Belle Ayr, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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