Weather in Belle Ayr, NY
Belle Ayr, Saturday, 7 November, 17:26
Overcast. Feels like 31°. High 48°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Belle Ayr, NY: average high 41.2°, average low 30.1°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (52°), the coolest 18 November (15.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 November – 16 November | 41.6° | 43.6° | -1.1° |
| 17 November – 26 November | 40.6° | 40° | +0.3° |
| 27 November – 6 December | at normal | 36.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Rockland (13 mi).
0.09
Belle Ayr, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 49°, low 41°.
0.15Belle Ayr, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
0Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 37°.
0.02Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
0.02Belle Ayr, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 36°.
0.81
Belle Ayr, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 36°, low 29°.
0.56Belle Ayr, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 31°, low 28°.
0.15Belle Ayr, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 33°, low 29°.
0Belle Ayr, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 34°, low 19°.
0
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 34°, low 16°.
0Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 15°.
0Belle Ayr, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 22°.
0.06Belle Ayr, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 36°.
0.02Belle Ayr, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 32°.
0Belle Ayr, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 49°, low 27°.
0.1
Belle Ayr, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12
Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Belle Ayr, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Belle Ayr, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Belle Ayr, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Belle Ayr, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Belle Ayr, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Belle Ayr, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Belle Ayr, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Belle Ayr, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Belle Ayr, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Belle Ayr, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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