Monthly outlook for Vermilion, NY: average high 53.6°, average low 37.5°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (65.3°), the coolest 29 October (30.6°).
53.6°/37.5°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
56.2°
54.5°
+1°
30 October – 8 November
49.2°
51.4°
-1.2°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
45.8°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (11 mi).
Wed, 2159° / 32°0
59 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 32°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind2.8 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 2253° / 33°0
53 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.2 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point47°
Fri, 2348° / 41°0
48 °
Vermilion, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sat, 2455° / 37°0
55 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind3.3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 2563° / 41°0
63 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 2665° / 50°0
65 °
Vermilion, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2763° / 43°0.24
63 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 27 October
Rain. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2842° / 35°0.03
42 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2952° / 31°0.01
52 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 3043° / 38°0.32
43 °
Vermilion, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3145° / 33°0
45 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0148° / 36°0.06
48 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 0247° / 37°0.06
47 °
Vermilion, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 0354° / 35°0
54 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 0457° / 40°0
57 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.1 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 0651° / 40°0.17
51 °
Vermilion, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high71° (2005)
Record low29° (1987)
Sat, 0749° / 38°0.13
49 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 37°0.16
48 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low25° (1992)
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.13
49 °
Vermilion, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 38°0.18
49 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 37°0.18
47 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.2
46 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
Vermilion, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
Vermilion, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vermilion, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vermilion, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.