Monthly outlook for Vermilion, NY: average high 43.5°, average low 33.7°. That is 0° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (57.8°), the coolest 26 November (22.6°).
43.5°/33.7°
Average high / low
+0°
Above normal
7 / 9
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
48.1°
44°
+2.3°
23 November – 2 December
35.7°
41.5°
-3.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
36.6°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (11 mi).
Sat, 1438° / 34°0.59
38 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 38°, low 34°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 1544° / 33°0.26
44 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1646° / 41°0
46 °
Vermilion, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1750° / 41°0.01
50 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1851° / 43°0
51 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1955° / 38°0
55 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2052° / 40°0
52 °
Vermilion, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind14.7 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 2158° / 38°0
58 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2251° / 36°0.04
51 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 22 November
Snow. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind19.7 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2335° / 30°0.3
35 °
Vermilion, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.1 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2434° / 25°0.44
34 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 34°, low 25°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2531° / 25°0.09
31 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 25 November
Snow. High 31°, low 25°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2635° / 23°0
35 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 35°, low 23°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2738° / 29°0
38 °
Vermilion, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 29°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.7 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 2841° / 28°0
41 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 28°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.9 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.19
41 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low15° (2013)
Mon, 3041° / 31°0.18
41 °
Vermilion, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low13° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 30°0.24
40 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.16
39 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.18
39 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.15
38 °
Vermilion, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low7° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 27°0.15
37 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (2025)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.17
38 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low13° (1980)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.15
35 °
Vermilion, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0835° / 24°0.11
35 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low5° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 25°0.17
36 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 1037° / 26°0.15
37 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (1966)
Record low4° (1976)
Fri, 1136° / 25°0.18
36 °
Vermilion, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high58° (2021)
Record low1° (1988)
Sat, 1235° / 25°0.14
35 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high52° (2015)
Record low-4° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vermilion, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vermilion, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.