Monthly outlook for Vermilion, NY: average high 54°, average low 39.3°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (62.5°), the coolest 23 October (32.3°).
54°/39.3°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
22 October – 31 October
56.5°
53.8°
+1.5°
1 November – 10 November
49.9°
50.6°
-0.4°
11 November – 20 November
at normal
44.9°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (11 mi).
Fri, 2357° / 32°0
57 °
Vermilion, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 32°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.2 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 2456° / 37°0
56 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind2.1 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 2561° / 41°0
61 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 2660° / 44°0
60 °
Vermilion, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 2751° / 42°0
51 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2851° / 39°0.28
51 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2948° / 37°0.01
48 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 3056° / 34°0
56 °
Vermilion, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 34°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 3162° / 38°0
62 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0162° / 44°0
62 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.1 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 0253° / 49°0.41
53 °
Vermilion, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.5 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 0348° / 39°0.3
48 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 3 November
Snow. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind22.9 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 0442° / 34°0.15
42 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind22.5 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 0551° / 44°0.33
51 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind21.5 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 0645° / 42°0.02
45 °
Vermilion, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind19.2 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 0749° / 38°0.13
49 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1962)
Sun, 0848° / 37°0.16
48 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low25° (1992)
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.13
49 °
Vermilion, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 38°0.18
49 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 37°0.18
47 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.2
46 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
Vermilion, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
Vermilion, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
Vermilion, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vermilion, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vermilion, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.