Monthly outlook for Vermilion, NY: average high 55.1°, average low 45.5°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 6.8 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (70.6°), the coolest 1 November (30.8°).
55.1°/45.5°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
11 / 9
Wet days / normal
6.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
60.1°
51.1°
+5°
10 November – 19 November
46.8°
45.4°
+0.7°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
42.3°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (11 mi).
Sun, 0160° / 31°0
60 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Mon, 0265° / 48°0
65 °
Vermilion, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 0356° / 53°0.13
56 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 56°, low 53°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point51°
Wed, 0471° / 55°0
71 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0570° / 57°0.78
70 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.8 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Fri, 0662° / 54°0.21
62 °
Vermilion, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0761° / 53°0.44
61 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 0852° / 46°0.21
52 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure29.29 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0949° / 44°1.47
49 °
Vermilion, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.15 inHg
Wind21.9 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1047° / 44°0.22
47 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1145° / 42°0.43
45 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 45°, low 42°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1246° / 41°0.07
46 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 1352° / 39°0
52 °
Vermilion, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1448° / 44°2.17
48 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 44°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind24.2 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 1544° / 39°0.63
44 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind26.4 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
Vermilion, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
Vermilion, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
Vermilion, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
Vermilion, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
Vermilion, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
Vermilion, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
Vermilion, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Vermilion, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation83%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.19
41 °
Vermilion, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low15° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vermilion, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vermilion, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.