Monthly outlook for Welcome, NY: average high 53°, average low 37.1°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (62.6°), the coolest 24 October (26.4°).
53°/37.1°
Average high / low
+0.4°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
53°
53.2°
-0.1°
29 October – 7 November
53.1°
49.9°
+1.8°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
44.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.6°4 October 2023All-time high
22.6°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mount Vision (5 mi).
Tue, 2057° / 37°0
57 °
Welcome, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.1 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 2155° / 33°0
55 °
Welcome, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.9 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 2252° / 35°0.01
52 °
Welcome, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 2346° / 30°0
46 °
Welcome, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 2453° / 26°0
53 °
Welcome, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 26°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2555° / 32°0
55 °
Welcome, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2653° / 39°0
53 °
Welcome, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2750° / 38°0.17
50 °
Welcome, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 2848° / 40°0.01
48 °
Welcome, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2950° / 36°0.01
50 °
Welcome, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 36°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 3055° / 46°0
55 °
Welcome, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 3155° / 47°0.15
55 °
Welcome, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 47°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.4 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 0163° / 49°1.04
63 °
Welcome, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind22.6 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Mon, 0246° / 40°0.01
46 °
Welcome, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind19.3 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 0350° / 33°0
50 °
Welcome, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 50°, low 33°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0449° / 36°0.09
49 °
Welcome, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (1994)
Record low24° (2013)
Thu, 0549° / 36°0.12
49 °
Welcome, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low19° (1962)
Fri, 0648° / 36°0.1
48 °
Welcome, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low21° (1962)
Sat, 0747° / 34°0.09
47 °
Welcome, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (1975)
Record low7° (1962)
Sun, 0846° / 33°0.12
46 °
Welcome, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low20° (2019)
Mon, 0947° / 33°0.13
47 °
Welcome, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low17° (1992)
Tue, 1047° / 34°0.12
47 °
Welcome, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low17° (1995)
Wed, 1145° / 34°0.14
45 °
Welcome, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2022)
Record low13° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 31°0.16
44 °
Welcome, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1964)
Record low15° (1976)
Fri, 1343° / 30°0.11
43 °
Welcome, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high59° (1964)
Record low11° (2019)
Sat, 1443° / 31°0.12
43 °
Welcome, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low13° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 31°0.13
44 °
Welcome, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1993)
Record low14° (1967)
Mon, 1643° / 30°0.12
43 °
Welcome, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high61° (1990)
Record low12° (1967)
Tue, 1742° / 29°0.12
42 °
Welcome, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low5° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welcome, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welcome, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.