Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 52.5°, average low 32.3°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (65.3°), the coolest 31 October (25.8°).
52.5°/32.3°
Average high / low
−0.1°
Below normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
54.9°
53.4°
+0.8°
31 October – 9 November
48.4°
50.2°
-1°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
44.6°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°4 October 2023All-time high
24.4°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
Thu, 2265° / 28°0
65 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 28°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 2353° / 34°0
53 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.1 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sat, 2453° / 34°0
53 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind2.4 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 2558° / 36°0
58 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.4 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2662° / 39°0
62 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.3 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2764° / 41°0
64 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2846° / 30°0
46 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2940° / 28°0.16
40 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 29 October
Snow. High 40°, low 28°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 3046° / 31°0.03
46 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 3146° / 26°0
46 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 46°, low 26°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 0153° / 30°0
53 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0261° / 42°0.89
61 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.6 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0345° / 33°0
45 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.4 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 0443° / 27°0
43 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.4 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 0542° / 27°0
42 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 42°, low 27°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0650° / 37°0.12
50 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low25° (2012)
Sat, 0748° / 35°0.08
48 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (2022)
Record low22° (2002)
Sun, 0847° / 35°0.13
47 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low21° (2002)
Mon, 0948° / 34°0.13
48 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low20° (2019)
Tue, 1048° / 35°0.13
48 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1146° / 34°0.15
46 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (2022)
Record low17° (2017)
Thu, 1245° / 33°0.14
45 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high63° (2022)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1344° / 31°0.13
44 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high62° (1985)
Record low11° (2019)
Sat, 1444° / 32°0.13
44 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low15° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.15
44 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1989)
Record low17° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 32°0.11
44 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low14° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 30°0.13
43 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low16° (1972)
Wed, 1843° / 31°0.08
43 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low15° (1997)
Thu, 1943° / 30°0.09
43 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (1985)
Record low13° (1997)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.