Weather in Vail Mills, NY
Vail Mills, Monday, 19 October, 16:12
Clear. Feels like 64°. High 65°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 54.3°, average low 36.5°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (65.4°), the coolest 29 October (28.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 57.7° | 54.3° | +1.9° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 48.7° | 50.8° | -1.2° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 45.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
0Vail Mills, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 37°.
0Vail Mills, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 58°, low 32°.
0
Vail Mills, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 37°.
0
Vail Mills, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 36°.
0Vail Mills, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 32°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 35°.
0Vail Mills, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 42°.
0.01
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.
0.17Vail Mills, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 58°, low 35°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 28°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
0
Vail Mills, Saturday, 31 October
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 33°.
0.29Vail Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 49°, low 41°.
0.43Vail Mills, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 51°, low 46°.
1.28Vail Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 50°, low 46°.
0.09Vail Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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