Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 55.1°, average low 38.5°. That is 3.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (64.6°), the coolest 8 November (29.7°).
55.1°/38.5°
Average high / low
+3.5°
Above normal
3 / 6
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
58°
50.5°
+4.2°
9 November – 18 November
50.3°
45°
+2.9°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
41.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°4 October 2023All-time high
24.4°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
Sat, 3154° / 30°0
54 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 30°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sun, 0157° / 35°0
57 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 57°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0262° / 43°0
62 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 0364° / 49°0
64 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0465° / 48°0.01
65 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 0562° / 48°0.25
62 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.6 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 0664° / 41°0.59
64 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure29.35 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 0748° / 32°0
48 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sun, 0849° / 30°0
49 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 30°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 0941° / 36°0.04
41 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Snow. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1044° / 39°0
44 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1150° / 32°0
50 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1250° / 30°0.02
50 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1358° / 44°0.02
58 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 1460° / 40°0
60 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind2.9 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.15
44 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1989)
Record low17° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 32°0.11
44 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low14° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 30°0.13
43 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high64° (2023)
Record low16° (1972)
Wed, 1843° / 31°0.08
43 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low15° (1997)
Thu, 1943° / 30°0.09
43 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (1985)
Record low13° (1997)
Fri, 2043° / 30°0.17
43 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (1991)
Record low9° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (1991)
Record low13° (1987)
Sun, 2240° / 29°0.11
40 °
Vail Mills, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low1° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 28°0.11
41 °
Vail Mills, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low-4° (2018)
Tue, 2441° / 28°0.1
41 °
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low9° (1971)
Wed, 2541° / 29°0.14
41 °
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high57° (2004)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2641° / 29°0.2
41 °
Vail Mills, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (1978)
Fri, 2741° / 29°0.12
41 °
Vail Mills, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (2015)
Record low11° (1978)
Sat, 2842° / 29°0.2
42 °
Vail Mills, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low3° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.