Weather in Vail Mills, NY
Vail Mills, Saturday, 31 October, 03:45
Clear. Feels like 32°. High 52°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 54.8°, average low 40.3°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (64.7°), the coolest 15 November (29.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 October – 9 November | 58.5° | 50.2° | +4.6° |
| 10 November – 19 November | 48.8° | 44.6° | +2.3° |
| 20 November – 29 November | at normal | 41.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
0
Vail Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 58°, low 33°.
0
Vail Mills, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 44°.
0
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 49°.
0Vail Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 48°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 49°.
0.27
Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 56°.
0.69Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
0Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 35°.
0Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
0Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 57°, low 36°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 37°.
0.14Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 35°.
0.03Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 29°.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Vail Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Vail Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Vail Mills, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Vail Mills, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vail Mills, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Vail Mills, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vail Mills, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Vail Mills, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Vail Mills, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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