Weather in Vail Mills, NY
Vail Mills, Sunday, 18 October, 21:19
Clear. Feels like 38°. High 57°, low 29°.
Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 55.4°, average low 37.7°. That is 1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (64.1°), the coolest 18 October (29.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 57.2° | 54.6° | +1.5° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 52.4° | 51.3° | +0.6° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 46° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
0
Vail Mills, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
0Vail Mills, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 52°, low 34°.
0Vail Mills, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 54°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
0.08
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 37°.
0
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
0.31Vail Mills, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 54°, low 44°.
1.05Vail Mills, Sunday, 1 November
Heavy rain. High 56°, low 49°.
0.03Vail Mills, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 43°.
0.12
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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