Weather in Vail Mills, NY
Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November, 08:05
Light rain. Feels like 36°. High 43°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 47.1°, average low 34.9°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 November (57.5°), the coolest 27 November (27.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 46.3° | 43.5° | +1.5° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 48.5° | 40.4° | +4.5° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 35.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
0.17
Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 43°, low 34°.
0
Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 31°.
0
Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 34°.
0Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
0Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 31°.
0
Vail Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 31°.
0
Vail Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 36°.
0Vail Mills, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 38°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
0.02Vail Mills, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 41°.
0.03Vail Mills, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 44°.
0.61Vail Mills, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0.05Vail Mills, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 29°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 27°.
0.2Vail Mills, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09
Vail Mills, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Vail Mills, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Vail Mills, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Vail Mills, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Vail Mills, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vail Mills, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Vail Mills, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vail Mills, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Vail Mills, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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