Weather in Vail Mills, NY
Vail Mills, Thursday, 5 November, 23:53
Clear. Feels like 54°. High 67°, low 55°.
Monthly outlook for Vail Mills, NY: average high 48.6°, average low 36.3°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (68.4°), the coolest 14 November (23.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 49.9° | 47.2° | +1.5° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 46.4° | 42.4° | +2.2° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 39.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hagaman (6 mi).
0
Vail Mills, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 52°.
0.13
Vail Mills, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 41°.
0.12Vail Mills, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
0.08Vail Mills, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 41°.
0
Vail Mills, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 41°.
0.09Vail Mills, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 41°.
0Vail Mills, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 29°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 27°.
0Vail Mills, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 24°.
0Vail Mills, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 28°.
0Vail Mills, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 28°.
0Vail Mills, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 33°.
0Vail Mills, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 30°.
0.02Vail Mills, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 36°.
0Vail Mills, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.
0.11Vail Mills, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Vail Mills, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Vail Mills, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Vail Mills, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Vail Mills, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Vail Mills, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Vail Mills, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Vail Mills, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Vail Mills, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Vail Mills, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Vail Mills, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Vail Mills, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Vail Mills, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Vail Mills, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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