Monthly outlook for Toad Harbor, NY: average high 55.4°, average low 41.8°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (71.2°), the coolest 18 October (29.6°).
55.4°/41.8°
Average high / low
−1.5°
Below normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
56°
59.1°
-1.7°
21 October – 30 October
54.5°
55.4°
-0.5°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°4 October 2023All-time high
27.7°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Syracuse (14 mi).
Mon, 1267° / 44°0
67 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1371° / 51°0.65
71 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 71°, low 51°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity97%
Visibility5.6 mi
Dew point62°
Wed, 1464° / 56°0
64 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Thu, 1556° / 46°0.01
56 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Fri, 1651° / 45°0.55
51 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 1743° / 33°0.27
43 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.9 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1841° / 30°0.01
41 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 41°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.9 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1954° / 31°0
54 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2055° / 40°0
55 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2155° / 41°0
55 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2257° / 42°0
57 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2359° / 43°0
59 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2455° / 44°0
55 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2551° / 40°0
51 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 2650° / 37°0.14
50 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.15
55 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2855° / 41°0.15
55 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high76° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 40°0.12
52 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (1989)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 40°0.1
53 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low30° (2008)
Sat, 3155° / 41°0.13
55 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1972)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.11
54 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low29° (2002)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2015)
Record low29° (2013)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0652° / 40°0.15
52 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1962)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low18° (1962)
Sun, 0850° / 37°0.14
50 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 37°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toad Harbor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toad Harbor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.