Monthly outlook for Toad Harbor, NY: average high 57.9°, average low 43.4°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (71.2°), the coolest 18 October (35°).
57.9°/43.4°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
59.9°
57.8°
+1.2°
24 October – 2 November
54.5°
54.7°
-0.1°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
50.5°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°4 October 2023All-time high
27.7°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Syracuse (14 mi).
Thu, 1556° / 46°0
56 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind0.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Fri, 1671° / 50°0.96
71 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 16 October
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind12.9 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Sat, 1749° / 39°0.02
49 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1856° / 35°0
56 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 1962° / 41°0
62 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 2065° / 45°0
65 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2162° / 47°0
62 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2264° / 48°0.51
64 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.9 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 2348° / 38°0.01
48 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.3 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 2454° / 38°0
54 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 2557° / 45°0.26
57 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind20 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2646° / 37°0.01
46 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 2757° / 37°0
57 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 57°, low 37°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.9 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 2858° / 43°0
58 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2955° / 48°0.79
55 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3053° / 40°0.1
53 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low30° (2008)
Sat, 3155° / 41°0.13
55 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1972)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.11
54 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low29° (2002)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2015)
Record low29° (2013)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0652° / 40°0.15
52 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1962)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low18° (1962)
Sun, 0850° / 37°0.14
50 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 37°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 1050° / 38°0.15
50 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low20° (2017)
Wed, 1148° / 38°0.16
48 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high67° (2012)
Record low19° (2017)
Thu, 1247° / 36°0.18
47 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low15° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toad Harbor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toad Harbor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.