Monthly outlook for Toad Harbor, NY: average high 56°, average low 41°. That is 1.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (77.3°), the coolest 19 October (29.6°).
56°/41°
Average high / low
−1.2°
Below normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
58.5°
59.1°
-0.3°
21 October – 30 October
51.8°
55.4°
-2°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
52.4°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°4 October 2023All-time high
27.7°23 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Syracuse (14 mi).
Mon, 1267° / 47°0.03
67 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1377° / 54°0.19
77 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Wed, 1465° / 58°0.06
65 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.1 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Thu, 1556° / 44°0.01
56 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1662° / 42°0.45
62 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.4 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 1753° / 35°0.09
53 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 1843° / 31°0
43 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind13.4 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 1948° / 30°0
48 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 48°, low 30°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind4.3 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 2053° / 36°0
53 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2158° / 39°0
58 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 39°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2265° / 49°0.01
65 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.9 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2353° / 41°0.06
53 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2441° / 33°0.03
41 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 24 October
Snow. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2545° / 31°0
45 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.1 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2649° / 37°0.02
49 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2755° / 43°0.15
55 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2855° / 41°0.15
55 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high76° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2952° / 40°0.12
52 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high70° (1989)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 3053° / 40°0.1
53 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low30° (2008)
Sat, 3155° / 41°0.13
55 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (1972)
Sun, 0155° / 42°0.14
55 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1974)
Record low31° (2023)
Mon, 0254° / 42°0.21
54 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low27° (1965)
Tue, 0354° / 41°0.11
54 °
Toad Harbor, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low29° (2002)
Wed, 0452° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high72° (2015)
Record low29° (2013)
Thu, 0552° / 40°0.13
52 °
Toad Harbor, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1991)
Fri, 0652° / 40°0.15
52 °
Toad Harbor, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low27° (1962)
Sat, 0750° / 38°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low18° (1962)
Sun, 0850° / 37°0.14
50 °
Toad Harbor, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Mon, 0950° / 37°0.11
50 °
Toad Harbor, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toad Harbor, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toad Harbor, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.