Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 50.8°, average low 42.2°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 4.7 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (65.4°), the coolest 15 November (25.1°).
50.8°/42.2°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
9 / 9
Wet days / normal
4.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
57°
50.6°
+3.6°
11 November – 20 November
40.5°
44.9°
-2.5°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
42°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Mon, 0263° / 43°0
63 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Tue, 0360° / 55°0.14
60 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point50°
Wed, 0465° / 55°0
65 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0560° / 58°0.78
60 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 60°, low 58°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 0655° / 51°0.3
55 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind18.6 mph E
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 0757° / 53°1.92
57 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 57°, low 53°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind18.1 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 0853° / 50°0.2
53 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 53°, low 50°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind18.4 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0949° / 43°0.31
49 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 43°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 1048° / 45°0.2
48 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind15.8 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1145° / 35°0.04
45 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.2 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1242° / 32°0
42 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 1338° / 35°0.72
38 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 38°, low 35°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 1436° / 30°0.08
36 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 30°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1536° / 25°0
36 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.7 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1646° / 31°0
46 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.2 mph W
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation83%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.19
41 °
The Elms, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low15° (2013)
Mon, 3041° / 31°0.18
41 °
The Elms, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low13° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.