Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 51.1°, average low 37.4°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (64.3°), the coolest 5 November (28.3°).
51.1°/37.4°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
55°
52.7°
+1.3°
5 November – 14 November
44.6°
47.9°
-1.9°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
43.5°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Tue, 2752° / 31°0
52 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Wed, 2858° / 40°0
58 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 2963° / 52°0.1
63 °
The Elms, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 3058° / 52°0.2
58 °
The Elms, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 58°, low 52°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind14.9 mph W
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 3151° / 40°0
51 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 0155° / 37°0
55 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.2 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0259° / 45°0.35
59 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 0348° / 36°0.38
48 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.4 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 0442° / 31°0
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NE
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 0543° / 28°0
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 43°, low 28°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind10.3 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 0644° / 30°0
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 0750° / 32°0
50 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 0850° / 41°0.45
50 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SE
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0942° / 32°0.13
42 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Snow. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.5 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1038° / 31°0.02
38 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.1 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1147° / 37°0.18
47 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.2
46 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.