Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 53.6°, average low 41.4°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (66.7°), the coolest 8 November (31.7°).
53.6°/41.4°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
3.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
58.3°
52.1°
+3.4°
7 November – 16 November
45.8°
46.7°
-0.5°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
43.1°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Thu, 2967° / 45°0.07
67 °
The Elms, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 67°, low 45°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 3056° / 49°0.02
56 °
The Elms, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sat, 3149° / 45°0
49 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.4 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 0153° / 43°0
53 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 53°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 0254° / 43°0
54 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0358° / 47°0
58 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0457° / 46°0.02
57 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 0561° / 48°2.24
61 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind24.2 mph SE
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 0662° / 43°0.84
62 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure29.26 inHg
Wind18.5 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0741° / 37°0
41 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 0842° / 32°0
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 0946° / 33°0
46 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1048° / 34°0
48 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1150° / 41°0.13
50 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1247° / 41°0.42
47 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.