Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 56.6°, average low 45.8°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (72.3°), the coolest 31 October (37°).
56.6°/45.8°
Average high / low
+3.6°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
3.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
59°
51.7°
+4°
8 November – 17 November
52.6°
46.2°
+3.6°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
42.8°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Fri, 3055° / 39°0.02
55 °
The Elms, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.9 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 3150° / 37°0
50 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 0155° / 44°0
55 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility1.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 0256° / 50°0
56 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 0362° / 53°0
62 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.9 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 0463° / 55°0
63 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.3 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 0564° / 56°0.44
64 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind20.9 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 0663° / 40°2.25
63 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 40°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind21.9 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 0749° / 37°0
49 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0853° / 37°0
53 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0956° / 44°0
56 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.1 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1053° / 49°0.39
53 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 1152° / 47°0.03
52 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 1253° / 49°0
53 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17 mph SE
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 1349° / 46°0.14
49 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind20.2 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.