Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 52.9°, average low 43.1°. That is 3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (75.4°), the coolest 13 November (30.1°).
52.9°/43.1°
Average high / low
+3°
Above normal
5 / 9
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
55.3°
49.3°
+3.4°
13 November – 22 November
48.9°
44°
+2.7°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
41.5°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Wed, 0475° / 53°0
75 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 75°, low 53°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Thu, 0560° / 55°0.31
60 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 0658° / 53°0
58 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 0754° / 50°0.01
54 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.1 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sun, 0852° / 49°0.07
52 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 49°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind24.4 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0949° / 41°0.17
49 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.3 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1054° / 38°0.01
54 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1148° / 34°0
48 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1238° / 30°0
38 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 1343° / 30°0
43 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1448° / 37°0
48 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1551° / 39°0
51 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 51°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1653° / 41°0
53 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 1749° / 42°1.1
49 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 1849° / 44°0.27
49 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 49°, low 44°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation83%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.19
41 °
The Elms, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low15° (2013)
Mon, 3041° / 31°0.18
41 °
The Elms, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low13° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 30°0.24
40 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.16
39 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.