Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 48.8°, average low 39.6°. That is 3.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (56.8°), the coolest 24 November (25.2°).
48.8°/39.6°
Average high / low
+3.3°
Above normal
2 / 9
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
49.3°
43.5°
+3.2°
25 November – 4 December
48°
40.6°
+4.1°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
36°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Mon, 1648° / 38°0
48 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 1751° / 47°0
51 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SW
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 1850° / 49°0
50 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 49°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1954° / 45°0
54 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 45°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2053° / 50°0
53 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 50°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind19.5 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 2157° / 48°0
57 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2257° / 46°0.03
57 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.5 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 2344° / 29°0.07
44 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind17 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2437° / 25°0
37 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 37°, low 25°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Wed, 2543° / 30°0
43 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 2649° / 34°0
49 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Fri, 2750° / 38°0
50 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2852° / 41°0
52 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 2950° / 41°0
50 °
The Elms, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 3045° / 35°0
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 30 November
Clear. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.5 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0140° / 30°0.24
40 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.16
39 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.18
39 °
The Elms, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.15
38 °
The Elms, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low7° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 27°0.15
37 °
The Elms, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (2025)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.17
38 °
The Elms, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low13° (1980)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.15
35 °
The Elms, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0835° / 24°0.11
35 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low5° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 25°0.17
36 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 1037° / 26°0.15
37 °
The Elms, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (1966)
Record low4° (1976)
Fri, 1136° / 25°0.18
36 °
The Elms, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high58° (2021)
Record low1° (1988)
Sat, 1235° / 25°0.14
35 °
The Elms, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high52° (2015)
Record low-4° (1988)
Sun, 1336° / 24°0.14
36 °
The Elms, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high52° (1991)
Record low0° (2000)
Mon, 1435° / 24°0.18
35 °
The Elms, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high60° (2015)
Record low-3° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.