Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 46.7°, average low 38.5°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (54.9°), the coolest 17 November (31.4°).
46.7°/38.5°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
3 / 9
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 November – 19 November
45.4°
45.4°
+0°
20 November – 29 November
48.8°
42.3°
+3.6°
30 November – 9 December
at normal
37.8°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Wed, 1149° / 45°0
49 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Thu, 1245° / 40°0.46
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NE
Humidity88%
Visibility2.6 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 1341° / 37°0
41 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind16.1 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sat, 1443° / 40°0.02
43 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.8 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1542° / 40°0.04
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1643° / 35°0
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1742° / 31°0
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 42°, low 31°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1846° / 33°0
46 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1948° / 34°0
48 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.5 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2051° / 37°0.02
51 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.3 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2151° / 40°0.03
51 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2242° / 34°0
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph N
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2347° / 36°0
47 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 2455° / 44°0.38
55 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.8 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2548° / 46°0.03
48 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12 mph SW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation83%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.19
41 °
The Elms, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low15° (2013)
Mon, 3041° / 31°0.18
41 °
The Elms, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low13° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 30°0.24
40 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.16
39 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.18
39 °
The Elms, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.15
38 °
The Elms, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low7° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 27°0.15
37 °
The Elms, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (2025)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.17
38 °
The Elms, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low13° (1980)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.15
35 °
The Elms, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0835° / 24°0.11
35 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low5° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 25°0.17
36 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.