Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 58.4°, average low 47.1°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 4.1 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (69.3°), the coolest 25 October (34.9°).
58.4°/47.1°
Average high / low
+3.6°
Above normal
7 / 8
Wet days / normal
4.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
25 October – 3 November
61.8°
53.1°
+4.8°
4 November – 13 November
52.7°
48.5°
+2.3°
14 November – 23 November
at normal
43.8°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Mon, 2664° / 41°0.01
64 °
The Elms, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind12 mph W
Humidity88%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Tue, 2749° / 40°0
49 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Wed, 2856° / 39°0
56 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 2962° / 52°0.09
62 °
The Elms, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 3057° / 50°0.09
57 °
The Elms, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.3 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 3159° / 43°0
59 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 0168° / 54°0
68 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 0268° / 57°0
68 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Tue, 0369° / 61°0.35
69 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 69°, low 61°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 0462° / 60°1.79
62 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 60°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Thu, 0554° / 50°0.85
54 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 0651° / 47°0.03
51 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 0755° / 46°0.33
55 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0848° / 40°0.52
48 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind14.8 mph N
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 0945° / 40°0
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1049° / 38°0.18
49 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 37°0.18
47 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.2
46 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.