Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 52.5°, average low 42.8°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (63.6°), the coolest 12 November (29.9°).
52.5°/42.8°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
3 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
56.3°
51.4°
+2.7°
9 November – 18 November
46.2°
45.8°
+0.2°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
42.7°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Sat, 3153° / 44°0
53 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 44°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 0156° / 43°0
56 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Mon, 0258° / 53°0
58 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 0361° / 55°0.02
61 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14.6 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 0464° / 57°0
64 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 57°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 0562° / 56°0.07
62 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.1 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Fri, 0659° / 48°0.75
59 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind19.5 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 0745° / 38°0.03
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 38°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind18.5 mph N
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0844° / 35°0
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.1 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0943° / 32°0
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 1045° / 35°0
45 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.7 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1144° / 33°0
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 33°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1243° / 30°0
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1350° / 40°0
50 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 1452° / 35°0
52 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.9 mph SE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 31°0.13
43 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low8° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 32°0.14
42 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (2014)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 32°0.12
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 33°0.25
43 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low20° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 33°0.16
42 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high62° (1988)
Record low18° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation83%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.