Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 53.5°, average low 40.1°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 October (61.3°), the coolest 24 October (31.8°).
53.5°/40.1°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
56.1°
53.4°
+1.5°
3 November – 12 November
49.3°
49.3°
+0°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
44°
—
October records over 66 years
83.7°4 October 2023All-time high
27.5°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Sun, 2561° / 36°0
61 °
The Elms, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2657° / 42°0.03
57 °
The Elms, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 2747° / 39°0
47 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 39°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.9 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Wed, 2855° / 39°0
55 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Thu, 2961° / 49°0.04
61 °
The Elms, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind13.9 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 3056° / 43°0.17
56 °
The Elms, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 3154° / 36°0
54 °
The Elms, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 0156° / 41°0
56 °
The Elms, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0252° / 43°0
52 °
The Elms, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 0348° / 41°0.34
48 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 0442° / 39°0.03
42 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 42°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.4 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 0542° / 35°0
42 °
The Elms, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Fri, 0651° / 33°0
51 °
The Elms, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 0757° / 45°0.05
57 °
The Elms, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 0855° / 48°0.37
55 °
The Elms, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0949° / 37°0.13
49 °
The Elms, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low23° (1976)
Tue, 1049° / 38°0.18
49 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 37°0.18
47 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 36°0.2
46 °
The Elms, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high67° (1964)
Record low23° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 34°0.15
45 °
The Elms, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 35°0.13
45 °
The Elms, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 1544° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 1645° / 34°0.17
45 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low16° (2019)
Tue, 1744° / 34°0.17
44 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high63° (1987)
Record low20° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 34°0.1
44 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 34°0.11
45 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low21° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 34°0.16
44 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low22° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 32°0.17
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high53° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 32°0.15
42 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high61° (1999)
Record low11° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.