Monthly outlook for The Elms, NY: average high 45°, average low 36.9°. That is 1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 9 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (55.6°), the coolest 25 November (25.3°).
45°/36.9°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
3 / 9
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
47.9°
43.8°
+2.3°
24 November – 3 December
40°
41.1°
-0.6°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
36.3°
—
November records over 66 years
73°5 November 2022All-time high
7.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Richland (8 mi).
Sun, 1541° / 36°0.16
41 °
The Elms, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1648° / 37°0
48 °
The Elms, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1750° / 47°0
50 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 47°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind15.8 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1849° / 48°0
49 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1952° / 44°0
52 °
The Elms, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 2052° / 50°0
52 °
The Elms, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2156° / 47°0
56 °
The Elms, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind16 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2254° / 40°0.06
54 °
The Elms, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind22.8 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 2336° / 27°0
36 °
The Elms, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 36°, low 27°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind20.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2431° / 26°0
31 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 31°, low 26°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Wed, 2536° / 25°0
36 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point12°
Thu, 2642° / 30°0
42 °
The Elms, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 2740° / 30°0
40 °
The Elms, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 40°, low 30°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 2842° / 34°0
42 °
The Elms, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2948° / 33°0
48 °
The Elms, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3041° / 31°0.18
41 °
The Elms, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low13° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 30°0.24
40 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low11° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.16
39 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high56° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
Thu, 0339° / 28°0.18
39 °
The Elms, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high61° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 27°0.15
38 °
The Elms, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low7° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 27°0.15
37 °
The Elms, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (2025)
Sun, 0638° / 28°0.17
38 °
The Elms, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low13° (1980)
Mon, 0735° / 26°0.15
35 °
The Elms, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high62° (1998)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0835° / 24°0.11
35 °
The Elms, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low5° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 25°0.17
36 °
The Elms, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 1037° / 26°0.15
37 °
The Elms, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (1966)
Record low4° (1976)
Fri, 1136° / 25°0.18
36 °
The Elms, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation68%
Record high58° (2021)
Record low1° (1988)
Sat, 1235° / 25°0.14
35 °
The Elms, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high52° (2015)
Record low-4° (1988)
Sun, 1336° / 24°0.14
36 °
The Elms, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high52° (1991)
Record low0° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for The Elms, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in The Elms, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.