Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 54.1°, average low 40.4°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (65.6°), the coolest 10 November (30.3°).
54.1°/40.4°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
4 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
26 October – 4 November
58.4°
52°
+3.6°
5 November – 14 November
47°
46.7°
+0.2°
15 November – 24 November
at normal
42.7°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
21.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Tue, 2752° / 32°0
52 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 32°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 2864° / 31°0
64 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 2966° / 45°0
66 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 3058° / 44°0.02
58 °
Short Tract, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 3158° / 40°0
58 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.9 mph W
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0154° / 47°0.03
54 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.3 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0256° / 51°0.29
56 °
Short Tract, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.6 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Tue, 0357° / 51°0.01
57 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 0455° / 43°0.64
55 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.6 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0549° / 40°0
49 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.3 mph W
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0656° / 41°0
56 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 0748° / 37°0.35
48 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0843° / 38°0.27
43 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 0939° / 35°0.01
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Light snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1047° / 30°0
47 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1145° / 34°0.17
45 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high66° (2012)
Record low16° (2017)
Thu, 1244° / 32°0.13
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Fri, 1344° / 31°0.08
44 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (1961)
Record low7° (2019)
Sat, 1444° / 32°0.13
44 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low5° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.17
44 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1960)
Record low10° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.15
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.