Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 44.8°, average low 35.7°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (56°), the coolest 17 November (23.4°).
44.8°/35.7°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
41.9°
45.2°
-1.8°
18 November – 27 November
49.5°
42.2°
+4.1°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
37.9°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Mon, 0949° / 39°0.07
49 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1052° / 37°0
52 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.8 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 1147° / 37°0
47 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Thu, 1241° / 36°0.56
41 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NE
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1335° / 30°1
35 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.4 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1432° / 30°0.63
32 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 32°, low 30°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind12 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1537° / 32°0.11
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 37°, low 32°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind18.6 mph W
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1639° / 31°0
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 31°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.1 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1737° / 23°0
37 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 23°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1845° / 24°0
45 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 24°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 1948° / 36°0.07
48 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2054° / 42°0
54 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 2156° / 48°0.06
56 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 2251° / 45°0.68
51 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 2343° / 39°0.02
43 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 26°0.12
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 25°0.11
38 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1982)
Record low-3° (1976)
Fri, 0437° / 24°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low-12° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 25°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low-3° (1989)
Sun, 0637° / 25°0.13
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low5° (2007)
Mon, 0734° / 23°0.09
34 °
Short Tract, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low6° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.