Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 52.1°, average low 41.5°. That is 1.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (66.3°), the coolest 13 November (34.1°).
52.1°/41.5°
Average high / low
+1.7°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
29 October – 7 November
58.2°
50.8°
+4.1°
8 November – 17 November
42°
45.2°
-1.8°
18 November – 27 November
at normal
42.2°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
21.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Fri, 3052° / 41°0.04
52 °
Short Tract, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.5 mph NW
Humidity69%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 3151° / 35°0
51 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Sun, 0160° / 37°0
60 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.4 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 0265° / 45°0
65 °
Short Tract, Monday, 2 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 0361° / 49°0
61 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.8 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 0456° / 49°0.18
56 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14.6 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Thu, 0561° / 57°0.06
61 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind22.8 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 0660° / 54°0.59
60 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 54°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0749° / 36°0.04
49 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.9 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 0837° / 35°0.02
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 37°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.3 mph N
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0939° / 36°0
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1048° / 40°0.07
48 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind10.7 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1139° / 36°0.04
39 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 39°, low 36°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.2 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1244° / 35°0.02
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1344° / 34°0.01
44 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 1444° / 32°0.13
44 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low5° (1986)
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.17
44 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1960)
Record low10° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.15
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.