Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 40.4°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 5.4 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 2 November (69.2°), the coolest 15 November (30.4°).
52.6°/40.4°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
9 / 7
Wet days / normal
5.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
59.1°
50.2°
+5°
10 November – 19 November
41.7°
44.4°
-1.5°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
41.4°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
21.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Sun, 0166° / 34°0
66 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.3 mph S
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 0269° / 43°0.01
69 °
Short Tract, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0364° / 48°0.01
64 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 0469° / 50°0
69 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 0564° / 48°0.29
64 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0659° / 48°0.67
59 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 0757° / 48°0.19
57 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0847° / 40°0.41
47 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind13.4 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Mon, 0943° / 40°0.38
43 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 43°, low 40°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind20.2 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 1042° / 38°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1138° / 35°0.17
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Snow. High 38°, low 35°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.7 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1243° / 35°0.01
43 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1348° / 35°0.03
48 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1443° / 39°1.96
43 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Heavy rain. High 43°, low 39°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind22.6 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 1537° / 30°1.22
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 37°, low 30°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind22.3 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.15
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.