Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 51.3°, average low 36.4°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (67.1°), the coolest 11 November (19.3°).
51.3°/36.4°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
58.5°
50.5°
+4.4°
9 November – 18 November
39.4°
44.8°
-3°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
41.9°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°1 October 2019All-time high
21.7°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Sat, 3153° / 29°0
53 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 29°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sun, 0163° / 37°0
63 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 37°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.2 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 0264° / 42°0
64 °
Short Tract, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 0367° / 46°0
67 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 0467° / 50°0
67 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Thu, 0561° / 53°0.09
61 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.5 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 0661° / 48°0.12
61 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sat, 0745° / 39°0.02
45 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0845° / 29°0
45 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 45°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.2 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 0946° / 28°0.14
46 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.2 mph E
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 1034° / 32°0.41
34 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Snow. High 34°, low 32°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1134° / 19°0
34 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 19°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.9 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Thu, 1240° / 23°0
40 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 23°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1337° / 32°0.17
37 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 37°, low 32°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SW
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 1446° / 36°0
46 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1544° / 32°0.17
44 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (1960)
Record low10° (1967)
Mon, 1644° / 31°0.15
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high62° (1990)
Record low-3° (1967)
Tue, 1743° / 31°0.13
43 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high59° (1987)
Record low10° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.