Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 55.4°, average low 39.4°. That is 4.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (69.7°), the coolest 13 November (21.3°).
55.4°/39.4°
Average high / low
+4.7°
Above normal
2 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
2 November – 11 November
57.3°
48.9°
+4.7°
12 November – 21 November
52.2°
43.5°
+4.9°
22 November – 1 December
at normal
40.9°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Tue, 0370° / 45°0.03
70 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 70°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 0469° / 50°0
69 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 0563° / 50°0.18
63 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 0661° / 45°0
61 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0752° / 42°0
52 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.5 mph W
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0848° / 36°0
48 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 0947° / 37°0
47 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1053° / 36°0
53 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.8 mph W
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1143° / 30°0
43 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1233° / 23°0.08
33 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 23°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1342° / 21°0
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 21°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 1456° / 39°0
56 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind18.5 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1559° / 47°0
59 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind19.1 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 1660° / 42°0
60 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1764° / 45°0
64 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.07
44 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.