Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 47.2°, average low 34.8°. That is 2.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (62.9°), the coolest 27 November (23.7°).
47.2°/34.8°
Average high / low
+2.4°
Above normal
3 / 7
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
45.2°
43.5°
+1°
22 November – 1 December
50.6°
40.9°
+5.4°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
36.2°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Fri, 1339° / 28°0
39 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 28°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.9 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sat, 1436° / 30°0.01
36 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 36°, low 30°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1537° / 34°0.02
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 37°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1642° / 34°0
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1748° / 32°0
48 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind10 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1850° / 30°0
50 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1953° / 32°0
53 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.1 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2054° / 34°0
54 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sat, 2149° / 36°0
49 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 2255° / 43°0
55 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2356° / 48°0
56 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.2 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2463° / 44°0
63 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2561° / 39°0.2
61 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 61°, low 39°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind20.4 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2637° / 31°0.08
37 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Light snow. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.3 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2731° / 24°0
31 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 31°, low 24°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind15.1 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 26°0.12
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 25°0.11
38 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1982)
Record low-3° (1976)
Fri, 0437° / 24°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low-12° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 25°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low-3° (1989)
Sun, 0637° / 25°0.13
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low5° (2007)
Mon, 0734° / 23°0.09
34 °
Short Tract, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low6° (1987)
Tue, 0835° / 22°0.06
35 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1966)
Record low1° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 23°0.13
36 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low-6° (2002)
Thu, 1036° / 24°0.12
36 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high56° (1966)
Record low1° (1964)
Fri, 1135° / 23°0.15
35 °
Short Tract, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high58° (2021)
Record low-10° (1977)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.