Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 52.2°, average low 38.2°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72.5°), the coolest 13 November (23.8°).
52.2°/38.2°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
5 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
55°
48°
+3.8°
13 November – 22 November
47.6°
43.2°
+2.5°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
40.5°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Wed, 0473° / 51°0.06
73 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 73°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.7 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 0564° / 47°0.07
64 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Fri, 0660° / 45°0.01
60 °
Short Tract, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 0751° / 45°0.65
51 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.3 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility4.3 mi
Dew point49°
Sun, 0846° / 42°0.02
46 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 42°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.8 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Mon, 0944° / 34°0
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1058° / 33°0
58 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 33°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1146° / 32°0
46 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1238° / 31°0.05
38 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.8 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 1339° / 24°0
39 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 24°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1448° / 28°0
48 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 48°, low 28°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.9 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 1555° / 32°0
55 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 1651° / 38°0.01
51 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1742° / 39°0.69
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Rain. High 42°, low 39°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Wed, 1851° / 38°0.01
51 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.4 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (1985)
Record low7° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.11
43 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 29°0.09
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high56° (2003)
Record low11° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.12
41 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low-3° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 26°0.12
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.