Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 44.9°, average low 33.7°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 November (56°), the coolest 19 November (22.6°).
44.9°/33.7°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
8 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
42.3°
45.6°
-1.8°
17 November – 26 November
49.1°
42.3°
+3.8°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
38.6°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Sun, 0851° / 42°0.01
51 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind14.3 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 0944° / 39°0.08
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1049° / 40°0
49 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Wed, 1146° / 39°0
46 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1245° / 33°0.11
45 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1331° / 28°0.24
31 °
Short Tract, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 31°, low 28°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.3 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1431° / 27°0.11
31 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 31°, low 27°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1534° / 31°0.08
34 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 15 November
Light snow. High 34°, low 31°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 1643° / 24°0
43 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 24°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1751° / 31°0
51 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1841° / 24°0
41 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 24°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind11.9 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 1947° / 23°0
47 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 47°, low 23°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind8.9 mph S
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point7°
Fri, 2052° / 30°0
52 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.6 mph SW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 2148° / 45°0.14
48 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2256° / 48°0.29
56 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.4 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2342° / 28°0.07
42 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.09
42 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low12° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 31°0.18
42 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1979)
Record low14° (1974)
Fri, 2742° / 30°0.11
42 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low12° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 29°0.22
41 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low4° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 28°0.09
39 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low7° (2013)
Mon, 3039° / 28°0.11
39 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low1° (2013)
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 26°0.12
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 25°0.11
38 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1982)
Record low-3° (1976)
Fri, 0437° / 24°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low-12° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 25°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low-3° (1989)
Sun, 0637° / 25°0.13
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low5° (2007)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.