Monthly outlook for Short Tract, NY: average high 44.4°, average low 29.7°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (56°), the coolest 25 November (10.4°).
44.4°/29.7°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
46.1°
42.7°
+1.9°
25 November – 4 December
41.6°
39.7°
+1°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
35.5°
—
November records over 66 years
72°5 November 2022All-time high
-2.9°16 November 1967All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Genesee Falls (8 mi).
Mon, 1644° / 35°0
44 °
Short Tract, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Tue, 1749° / 34°0
49 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Wed, 1851° / 34°0
51 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.4 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Thu, 1954° / 36°0
54 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 2050° / 39°0.01
50 °
Short Tract, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.4 mph SW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2156° / 37°0
56 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.5 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2255° / 39°0.04
55 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind17.3 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2340° / 16°0.2
40 °
Short Tract, Monday, 23 November
Snow. High 40°, low 16°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2422° / 13°0.02
22 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 24 November
Light snow. High 22°, low 13°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Wed, 2533° / 10°0
33 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 33°, low 10°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Thu, 2640° / 18°0
40 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 18°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Fri, 2748° / 26°0.01
48 °
Short Tract, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 26°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind22.8 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 2855° / 39°0.43
55 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind29.7 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2938° / 34°0.04
38 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 29 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 34°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind20 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 3035° / 31°0.1
35 °
Short Tract, Monday, 30 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0138° / 27°0.16
38 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1963)
Wed, 0238° / 26°0.12
38 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high62° (1982)
Record low1° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 25°0.11
38 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high65° (1982)
Record low-3° (1976)
Fri, 0437° / 24°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (2012)
Record low-12° (1966)
Sat, 0537° / 25°0.09
37 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high66° (1982)
Record low-3° (1989)
Sun, 0637° / 25°0.13
37 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low5° (2007)
Mon, 0734° / 23°0.09
34 °
Short Tract, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low6° (1987)
Tue, 0835° / 22°0.06
35 °
Short Tract, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1966)
Record low1° (2008)
Wed, 0936° / 23°0.13
36 °
Short Tract, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high57° (1966)
Record low-6° (2002)
Thu, 1036° / 24°0.12
36 °
Short Tract, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high56° (1966)
Record low1° (1964)
Fri, 1135° / 23°0.15
35 °
Short Tract, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high58° (2021)
Record low-10° (1977)
Sat, 1236° / 22°0.09
36 °
Short Tract, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high59° (2015)
Record low-20° (1988)
Sun, 1335° / 23°0.08
35 °
Short Tract, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (2015)
Record low-5° (2000)
Mon, 1435° / 22°0.14
35 °
Short Tract, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high61° (2015)
Record low-10° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Short Tract, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Short Tract, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.