Weather in Messenger Bay, NY
Messenger Bay, Sunday, 8 November, 02:17
Light rain. Feels like 42°. High 55°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Messenger Bay, NY: average high 47.4°, average low 39.2°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (59.5°), the coolest 18 November (27°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 November – 17 November | 46.1° | 46.4° | -0.2° |
| 18 November – 27 November | 49.6° | 43° | +3.6° |
| 28 November – 7 December | at normal | 39.1° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (5 mi).
0.31Messenger Bay, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 49°, low 42°.
0.1Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 54°, low 44°.
0.08Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 45°.
0.14Messenger Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
0.54
Messenger Bay, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 45°, low 34°.
0.94Messenger Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Snow. High 37°, low 34°.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 42°, low 34°.
0.02Messenger Bay, Monday, 16 November
Snow. High 43°, low 36°.
0
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 30°.
0
Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 42°, low 27°.
0.02Messenger Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 34°.
0
Messenger Bay, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
0.15Messenger Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.71Messenger Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 53°, low 50°.
0.29Messenger Bay, Monday, 23 November
Rain. High 50°, low 43°.
0.14Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.27Messenger Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Messenger Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Messenger Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Messenger Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Messenger Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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