Weather in Messenger Bay, NY
Messenger Bay, Thursday, 12 November, 22:39
Snow. Feels like 30°. High 45°, low 34°.
Monthly outlook for Messenger Bay, NY: average high 49.2°, average low 39.1°. That is 3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (63.7°), the coolest 27 November (27.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 47.4° | 44.6° | +1.6° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 52.1° | 41.9° | +5.7° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 37° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (5 mi).
0.08
Messenger Bay, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 34°.
0.23Messenger Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 43°, low 36°.
0
Messenger Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 37°.
0Messenger Bay, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 41°.
0
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 38°.
0Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 39°.
0Messenger Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
0.03Messenger Bay, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
0Messenger Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 39°.
0.1Messenger Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 48°.
0Messenger Bay, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 49°.
0Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 48°.
0.98Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Rain. High 62°, low 42°.
0.58Messenger Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 38°, low 31°.
0.03Messenger Bay, Friday, 27 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 27°.
0.24Messenger Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Messenger Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Messenger Bay, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Messenger Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Messenger Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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