Weather in Messenger Bay, NY
Messenger Bay, Monday, 9 November, 12:57
Overcast. Feels like 43°. High 49°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for Messenger Bay, NY: average high 46.7°, average low 38.5°. That is 1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 November (57.2°), the coolest 24 November (31.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 November – 18 November | 45.6° | 46° | -0.3° |
| 19 November – 28 November | 48.6° | 42.9° | +3.2° |
| 29 November – 8 December | at normal | 38.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (5 mi).
0.02
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
0Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 44°.
0.32Messenger Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 46°, low 41°.
0.03Messenger Bay, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 39°.
0Messenger Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 37°.
0.14Messenger Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 39°.
0.06Messenger Bay, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 38°.
0Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 36°.
0
Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 46°, low 33°.
0
Messenger Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 33°.
0Messenger Bay, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
0.35Messenger Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 55°, low 44°.
0Messenger Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 40°.
0.03Messenger Bay, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 35°.
0Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 42°, low 31°.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.27Messenger Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Messenger Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Messenger Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Messenger Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Messenger Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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