Weather in Messenger Bay, NY
Messenger Bay, Thursday, 12 November, 14:38
Rain. Feels like 35°. High 45°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Messenger Bay, NY: average high 50.2°, average low 38.1°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (62.6°), the coolest 21 November (32.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 47.7° | 44.6° | +1.7° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 54.5° | 41.9° | +7° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 37° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (5 mi).
0.11
Messenger Bay, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 41°, low 35°.
0.19Messenger Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 37°.
0
Messenger Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 37°.
0Messenger Bay, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 40°.
0Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 38°.
0Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
0
Messenger Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
0Messenger Bay, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 60°, low 41°.
0Messenger Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
0.03Messenger Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 33°.
0Messenger Bay, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
0Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 49°.
0.14Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 42°.
0
Messenger Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 35°.
0Messenger Bay, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 33°.
0.24Messenger Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Messenger Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Messenger Bay, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Messenger Bay, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Messenger Bay, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Messenger Bay, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Messenger Bay, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Messenger Bay, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Messenger Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Messenger Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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