Monthly outlook for Lake Vanare, NY: average high 53.7°, average low 39.5°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (64.7°), the coolest 28 October (26.9°).
53.7°/39.5°
Average high / low
+0.6°
Above normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
23 October – 1 November
54.2°
53.5°
+0.4°
2 November – 11 November
52.8°
49.9°
+1.6°
12 November – 21 November
at normal
44.3°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°7 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (10 mi).
Sat, 2455° / 29°0
55 °
Lake Vanare, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 29°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 2560° / 30°0
60 °
Lake Vanare, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.2 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 2665° / 36°0.01
65 °
Lake Vanare, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 2746° / 29°0
46 °
Lake Vanare, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.5 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Wed, 2845° / 27°0
45 °
Lake Vanare, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 45°, low 27°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2961° / 36°0
61 °
Lake Vanare, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 36°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.9 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 3059° / 47°0
59 °
Lake Vanare, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 3149° / 42°0.11
49 °
Lake Vanare, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0147° / 42°0.5
47 °
Lake Vanare, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind2.5 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0251° / 47°1.56
51 °
Lake Vanare, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 51°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind3.6 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0355° / 48°0
55 °
Lake Vanare, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind3.4 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Wed, 0452° / 46°0
52 °
Lake Vanare, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 0546° / 44°0.63
46 °
Lake Vanare, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 46°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 0655° / 44°0.12
55 °
Lake Vanare, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.7 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0758° / 51°0.19
58 °
Lake Vanare, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind13.9 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0848° / 35°0.13
48 °
Lake Vanare, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low21° (2002)
Mon, 0948° / 35°0.14
48 °
Lake Vanare, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low22° (1971)
Tue, 1049° / 35°0.14
49 °
Lake Vanare, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low22° (2017)
Wed, 1147° / 35°0.15
47 °
Lake Vanare, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low17° (2017)
Thu, 1246° / 33°0.13
46 °
Lake Vanare, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (2022)
Record low18° (2019)
Fri, 1345° / 32°0.13
45 °
Lake Vanare, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 32°0.13
45 °
Lake Vanare, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low12° (1986)
Sun, 1545° / 32°0.15
45 °
Lake Vanare, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (2008)
Record low18° (2018)
Mon, 1645° / 31°0.13
45 °
Lake Vanare, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1744° / 31°0.14
44 °
Lake Vanare, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low12° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.09
44 °
Lake Vanare, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1963)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Lake Vanare, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low14° (1997)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.19
43 °
Lake Vanare, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 29°0.13
42 °
Lake Vanare, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1991)
Record low14° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Vanare, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Vanare, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.