Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 18 October, 08:29
Clear. Feels like 25°. High 55°, low 29°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 55.8°, average low 37.2°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 31 October (67°), the coolest 18 October (28.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 53.3° | 55.4° | -1.2° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 59.9° | 52° | +4.4° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 46.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
0
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 41°.
0Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 55°, low 34°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 31°.
0
Fourth Lake, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 35°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 47°, low 33°.
0Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
0Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
0.05
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 39°.
0.52Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
0.02Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 46°.
0.15
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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