Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Friday, 23 October, 00:08
Mostly clear. Feels like 44°. High 54°, low 30°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 36.6°. That is 0° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (62.4°), the coolest 7 November (23.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 October – 1 November | 55.4° | 53.5° | +1.1° |
| 2 November – 11 November | 48° | 49.9° | -1.1° |
| 12 November – 21 November | at normal | 44.3° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 25°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 60°, low 30°.
0
Fourth Lake, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 37°.
0
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 28°.
0Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 27°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
0
Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 42°.
0.29
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
0.21Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 55°.
0.19Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 47°.
0.38Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 49°, low 38°.
0.62Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 43°, low 40°.
0.07
Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Snow. High 45°, low 33°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 37°, low 24°.
0.13Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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