Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 27 October, 12:13
Clear. Feels like 44°. High 49°, low 35°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 49.9°, average low 36°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 4.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (61.9°), the coolest 1 November (27.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 51.2° | 52.3° | -0.6° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 47.7° | 47.3° | +0.2° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 42.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 30°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
0.01
Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 38°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 48°, low 30°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 55°, low 28°.
0.84Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 49°, low 36°.
0.53Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Rain. High 49°, low 40°.
0Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 31°.
0.48Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 47°, low 36°.
0.9Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 49°, low 43°.
0.5Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 46°, low 42°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 41°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 52°, low 38°.
0.86Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 51°, low 41°.
0Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 28°.
0.13
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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