Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 22 October, 14:13
Clear. Feels like 60°. High 62°, low 34°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 52.6°, average low 34.1°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 26 October (64.5°), the coolest 24 October (26°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 October – 31 October | 54.6° | 53.7° | +0.5° |
| 1 November – 10 November | 49.3° | 50.5° | -0.7° |
| 11 November – 20 November | at normal | 44.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 53°, low 29°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 56°, low 26°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 29°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 65°, low 35°.
0
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 29°.
0
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 28°.
0.06
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
0.1Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
0.11Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 48°.
0Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
0.06
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Light snow. High 42°, low 30°.
0
Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 29°.
0.07
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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