Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 51.3°, average low 33.9°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 3.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (64.7°), the coolest 1 November (26.6°).
51.3°/33.9°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
3.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
54.9°
52°
+1.6°
7 November – 16 November
45.4°
46.8°
-0.7°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
42.5°
—
October records over 66 years
82.4°7 October 1963All-time high
23.9°31 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
Thu, 2965° / 38°0
65 °
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 65°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 3053° / 38°0
53 °
Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sat, 3146° / 30°0
46 °
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 46°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point24°
Sun, 0155° / 27°0
55 °
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 55°, low 27°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.8 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0260° / 29°0
60 °
Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 60°, low 29°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.4 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 0349° / 38°0
49 °
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.4 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 0451° / 38°0
51 °
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.7 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.43
58 °
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 0662° / 42°2.15
62 °
Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure29.29 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NW
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 0744° / 32°0
44 °
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 44°, low 32°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 0845° / 30°0
45 °
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.1 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Mon, 0948° / 31°0
48 °
Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind2.7 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Tue, 1047° / 31°0
47 °
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 1147° / 33°0
47 °
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 33°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.6 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1241° / 36°0.82
41 °
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1345° / 32°0.13
45 °
Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high62° (1964)
Record low8° (2019)
Sat, 1445° / 32°0.13
45 °
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high63° (1989)
Record low12° (1986)
Sun, 1545° / 32°0.15
45 °
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high63° (2008)
Record low18° (2018)
Mon, 1645° / 31°0.13
45 °
Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low13° (1972)
Tue, 1744° / 31°0.14
44 °
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low12° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 31°0.09
44 °
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1963)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 1944° / 30°0.09
44 °
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low14° (1997)
Fri, 2043° / 31°0.19
43 °
Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low14° (1986)
Sat, 2142° / 29°0.13
42 °
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high58° (1991)
Record low14° (2018)
Sun, 2241° / 29°0.11
41 °
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high59° (1999)
Record low-5° (2018)
Mon, 2341° / 29°0.11
41 °
Fourth Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (1999)
Record low-4° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 29°0.09
42 °
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low10° (1971)
Wed, 2542° / 29°0.15
42 °
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low9° (1997)
Thu, 2642° / 30°0.22
42 °
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low13° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.