Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 24 October, 02:40
Overcast. Feels like 32°. High 57°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 52.5°, average low 34.9°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (67.2°), the coolest 28 October (27.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 October – 2 November | 55.6° | 53.2° | +1.3° |
| 3 November – 12 November | 47.5° | 49.2° | -1° |
| 13 November – 22 November | at normal | 43.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0
Fourth Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 34°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 37°.
0Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
0
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 28°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 44°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 41°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 54°, low 38°.
0.07
Fourth Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
0.17Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 36°.
0.05Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 30°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 30°.
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
0.09Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 32°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
0.14Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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