Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November, 20:37
Light rain. Feels like 30°. High 41°, low 36°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 48.1°, average low 35.1°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.1 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (60.7°), the coolest 27 November (25.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 November – 21 November | 45.5° | 44.3° | +0.7° |
| 22 November – 1 December | 52.4° | 41.3° | +6.2° |
| 2 December – 11 December | at normal | 36.7° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0.17
Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 41°, low 32°.
0
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 32°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 30°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 31°.
0
Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 29°.
0
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 33°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 38°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 49°, low 32°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 45°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
0Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 43°.
0.06Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
0.35Fourth Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Rain. High 52°, low 28°.
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 27 November
Partly cloudy. High 32°, low 26°.
0.21
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Fourth Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Fourth Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Fourth Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Fourth Lake, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Fourth Lake, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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