Weather in Fourth Lake, NY
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 5 November, 12:17
Overcast. Feels like 61°. High 64°, low 55°.
Monthly outlook for Fourth Lake, NY: average high 49.7°, average low 37.2°. That is 1.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (66.5°), the coolest 14 November (27.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 November – 14 November | 48.8° | 47.9° | +0.5° |
| 15 November – 24 November | 51.2° | 43.2° | +4.4° |
| 25 November – 4 December | at normal | 40.3° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Moreau (11 mi).
0Fourth Lake, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 49°.
0.92
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 44°.
0.11Fourth Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
0.04Fourth Lake, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 37°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 34°.
0
Fourth Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 40°, low 29°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 29°.
0Fourth Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 28°.
0Fourth Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 28°.
0Fourth Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 32°.
0Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 33°.
0
Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 40°.
0Fourth Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 37°.
0.01Fourth Lake, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 39°.
0.13
Fourth Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Fourth Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21Fourth Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Fourth Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Fourth Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Fourth Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Fourth Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Fourth Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Fourth Lake, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Fourth Lake, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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