Monthly outlook for Elsmere, NY: average high 57.8°, average low 42.7°. That is 0.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (71°), the coolest 19 October (33°).
57.8°/42.7°
Average high / low
−0.6°
Below normal
6 / 5
Wet days / normal
2.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
59.3°
59.9°
-0.3°
20 October – 29 October
55.2°
56.2°
-0.5°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
52.7°
—
October records over 66 years
84.4°7 October 1963All-time high
25.7°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Albany (3 mi).
Sun, 1162° / 44°0.46
62 °
Elsmere, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Mon, 1270° / 49°0.78
70 °
Elsmere, Monday, 12 October
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind4.7 mph NW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1371° / 53°0.2
71 °
Elsmere, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.2 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Wed, 1463° / 53°0.04
63 °
Elsmere, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.8 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 1556° / 44°0
56 °
Elsmere, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 1657° / 41°0.59
57 °
Elsmere, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 57°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1758° / 43°0.01
58 °
Elsmere, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1845° / 36°0
45 °
Elsmere, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1951° / 33°0
51 °
Elsmere, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Tue, 2054° / 33°0
54 °
Elsmere, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 33°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 2156° / 37°0
56 °
Elsmere, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2252° / 42°0.05
52 °
Elsmere, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Fri, 2363° / 47°0.02
63 °
Elsmere, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.7 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2455° / 45°0.02
55 °
Elsmere, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.7 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 2551° / 41°0.01
51 °
Elsmere, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2655° / 41°0.12
55 °
Elsmere, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (1963)
Record low28° (1997)
Tue, 2755° / 41°0.16
55 °
Elsmere, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low28° (1976)
Wed, 2855° / 40°0.19
55 °
Elsmere, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2023)
Record low26° (1976)
Thu, 2953° / 38°0.14
53 °
Elsmere, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1989)
Record low28° (1969)
Fri, 3053° / 38°0.1
53 °
Elsmere, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low29° (1990)
Sat, 3154° / 37°0.1
54 °
Elsmere, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low26° (2020)
Sun, 0155° / 40°0.1
55 °
Elsmere, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low29° (1983)
Mon, 0255° / 39°0.12
55 °
Elsmere, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low26° (2002)
Tue, 0354° / 38°0.14
54 °
Elsmere, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high70° (1982)
Record low27° (1993)
Wed, 0453° / 38°0.07
53 °
Elsmere, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1994)
Record low27° (2013)
Thu, 0552° / 38°0.14
52 °
Elsmere, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low26° (1962)
Fri, 0652° / 38°0.11
52 °
Elsmere, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low26° (2011)
Sat, 0751° / 37°0.08
51 °
Elsmere, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low24° (1962)
Sun, 0850° / 36°0.13
50 °
Elsmere, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low24° (1960)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elsmere, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elsmere, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.