Monthly outlook for Elpis, NY: average high 48°, average low 37.4°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (68.8°), the coolest 14 November (27.6°).
48°/37.4°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
5 November – 14 November
51°
48.1°
+1.6°
15 November – 24 November
43.1°
43.7°
-0.3°
25 November – 4 December
at normal
40.8°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°5 November 2022All-time high
-1.1°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (7 mi).
Fri, 0666° / 50°0.01
66 °
Elpis, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind6.2 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sat, 0754° / 42°0.61
54 °
Elpis, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.9 mph W
Humidity92%
Visibility2.1 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 0855° / 44°0.36
55 °
Elpis, Sunday, 8 November
Rain. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind11.7 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 0947° / 40°0.26
47 °
Elpis, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Tue, 1055° / 39°0.01
55 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1148° / 37°0.09
48 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1238° / 30°0
38 °
Elpis, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 30°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.6 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 1338° / 28°0
38 °
Elpis, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind5.3 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 1439° / 28°0
39 °
Elpis, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 28°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 1538° / 28°0
38 °
Elpis, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 1639° / 29°0
39 °
Elpis, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 29°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 1738° / 31°0.01
38 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 38°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1845° / 30°0
45 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1952° / 43°0.1
52 °
Elpis, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 43°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Fri, 2046° / 40°0
46 °
Elpis, Friday, 20 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.1 mph W
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Elpis, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Elpis, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Elpis, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Elpis, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low16° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation82%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.17
41 °
Elpis, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low18° (1989)
Mon, 3041° / 30°0.15
41 °
Elpis, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low12° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 29°0.23
40 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low10° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.15
39 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1989)
Thu, 0339° / 27°0.18
39 °
Elpis, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high60° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
Fri, 0438° / 26°0.13
38 °
Elpis, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high64° (2012)
Record low6° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elpis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elpis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.