Monthly outlook for Elpis, NY: average high 55.4°, average low 42.3°. That is 3.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (68.8°), the coolest 13 November (27.5°).
55.4°/42.3°
Average high / low
+3.6°
Above normal
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
58.4°
50.9°
+4.2°
11 November – 20 November
50.3°
45.1°
+2.9°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
42.2°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°5 November 2022All-time high
-1.1°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (7 mi).
Mon, 0263° / 40°0
63 °
Elpis, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.1 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0362° / 45°0
62 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.9 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 0469° / 49°0
69 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 69°, low 49°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 0562° / 54°0.52
62 °
Elpis, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9 mph SE
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 0666° / 51°0.01
66 °
Elpis, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0754° / 52°0.17
54 °
Elpis, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0854° / 47°0.14
54 °
Elpis, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind11.4 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 0948° / 45°0.18
48 °
Elpis, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 1046° / 39°0.09
46 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind19.2 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1145° / 33°0
45 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.2 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1242° / 30°0.16
42 °
Elpis, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 42°, low 30°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 1340° / 27°0
40 °
Elpis, Friday, 13 November
Partly cloudy. High 40°, low 27°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind8.8 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Sat, 1456° / 38°0
56 °
Elpis, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1556° / 42°0.37
56 °
Elpis, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind10.9 mph W
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 1664° / 52°0.05
64 °
Elpis, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low18° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.1
44 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.11
45 °
Elpis, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Elpis, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Elpis, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Elpis, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Elpis, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low16° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation82%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.17
41 °
Elpis, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low18° (1989)
Mon, 3041° / 30°0.15
41 °
Elpis, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low12° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elpis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elpis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.