Monthly outlook for Elpis, NY: average high 56.1°, average low 42.7°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (68.5°), the coolest 14 November (30.9°).
56.1°/42.7°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
4 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
61.1°
51.3°
+5.4°
10 November – 19 November
47.7°
45.6°
+1.2°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
42.5°
—
October records over 66 years
85.3°4 October 2023All-time high
26.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (7 mi).
Sun, 0161° / 38°0
61 °
Elpis, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 0265° / 43°0
65 °
Elpis, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 43°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 0362° / 47°0
62 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 0468° / 48°0
68 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 0568° / 51°0
68 °
Elpis, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 0659° / 46°0
59 °
Elpis, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 0754° / 52°0.23
54 °
Elpis, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.5 mph E
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 0859° / 49°0.01
59 °
Elpis, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.5 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 0960° / 46°0.04
60 °
Elpis, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.8 mph E
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 1059° / 46°0.52
59 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 10 November
Rain. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.7 mph E
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 1155° / 43°0.94
55 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 11 November
Heavy rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 1245° / 39°0.03
45 °
Elpis, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17.7 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Fri, 1341° / 35°0
41 °
Elpis, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 35°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 1441° / 31°0
41 °
Elpis, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 1546° / 31°0
46 °
Elpis, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6.4 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.14
45 °
Elpis, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low18° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.1
44 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.11
45 °
Elpis, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Elpis, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Elpis, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Elpis, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Elpis, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low16° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation82%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.17
41 °
Elpis, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low18° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elpis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elpis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.