Monthly outlook for Elpis, NY: average high 53.7°, average low 37.9°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (68.4°), the coolest 8 November (30.4°).
53.7°/37.9°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
5 / 8
Wet days / normal
3.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
57.7°
52.4°
+2.9°
7 November – 16 November
47.1°
46.9°
+0.1°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
43.2°
—
October records over 66 years
85.3°4 October 2023All-time high
26.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (7 mi).
Thu, 2968° / 43°0.03
68 °
Elpis, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 3056° / 46°0.18
56 °
Elpis, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Sat, 3150° / 34°0
50 °
Elpis, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 0159° / 34°0
59 °
Elpis, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 59°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 0261° / 35°0
61 °
Elpis, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 61°, low 35°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 0358° / 44°0
58 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.4 mph E
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 0452° / 37°0
52 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind12.6 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 0556° / 45°1.22
56 °
Elpis, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.3 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 0656° / 38°0.65
56 °
Elpis, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.44 inHg
Wind12.9 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sat, 0736° / 34°0.14
36 °
Elpis, Saturday, 7 November
Snow. High 36°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0845° / 30°0
45 °
Elpis, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 45°, low 30°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 0947° / 34°0
47 °
Elpis, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.5 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 1050° / 34°0
50 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1156° / 37°0.02
56 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1248° / 46°1.41
48 °
Elpis, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 48°, low 46°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind19.8 mph W
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1345° / 33°0.15
45 °
Elpis, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low17° (2019)
Sat, 1446° / 34°0.14
46 °
Elpis, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high65° (1994)
Record low18° (1996)
Sun, 1545° / 33°0.19
45 °
Elpis, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high64° (1989)
Record low17° (1996)
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.14
45 °
Elpis, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low18° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.1
44 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.11
45 °
Elpis, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.17
44 °
Elpis, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Elpis, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Elpis, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Elpis, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Elpis, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Elpis, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Elpis, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Elpis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Elpis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.