Monthly outlook for Ellis, NY: average high 56°, average low 39°. That is 2.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.4°), the coolest 19 October (25.2°).
56°/39°
Average high / low
−2.1°
Below normal
6 / 7
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
57.2°
60.7°
-1.9°
20 October – 29 October
54°
57.1°
-1.7°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
53.9°
—
October records over 66 years
86°1 October 2019All-time high
27.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Ithaca (6 mi).
Sun, 1157° / 45°0.77
57 °
Ellis, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point52°
Mon, 1263° / 45°0
63 °
Ellis, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Tue, 1375° / 52°0.23
75 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 75°, low 52°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point63°
Wed, 1462° / 57°0.07
62 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 57°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5 mph NW
Humidity93%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 1554° / 46°0.04
54 °
Ellis, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 1661° / 45°0.38
61 °
Ellis, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 1753° / 37°0.08
53 °
Ellis, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 1840° / 31°0.08
40 °
Ellis, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1942° / 25°0
42 °
Ellis, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 42°, low 25°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 2047° / 26°0
47 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 26°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind3.2 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Wed, 2153° / 31°0
53 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Thu, 2255° / 33°0
55 °
Ellis, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Fri, 2356° / 35°0
56 °
Ellis, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind9.2 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2457° / 38°0
57 °
Ellis, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2557° / 38°0
57 °
Ellis, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.5 mph E
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2656° / 44°0.13
56 °
Ellis, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high79° (1963)
Record low31° (1972)
Tue, 2756° / 43°0.14
56 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2856° / 42°0.13
56 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high77° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2954° / 41°0.13
54 °
Ellis, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3054° / 40°0.09
54 °
Ellis, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low31° (1990)
Sat, 3156° / 41°0.09
56 °
Ellis, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low28° (1988)
Sun, 0156° / 42°0.11
56 °
Ellis, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low33° (1992)
Mon, 0256° / 42°0.17
56 °
Ellis, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low28° (1965)
Tue, 0355° / 41°0.09
55 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low31° (1993)
Wed, 0454° / 41°0.11
54 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2015)
Record low28° (1991)
Thu, 0553° / 41°0.11
53 °
Ellis, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.11
53 °
Ellis, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low28° (1962)
Sat, 0751° / 39°0.1
51 °
Ellis, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low14° (1962)
Sun, 0851° / 38°0.14
51 °
Ellis, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low26° (2019)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.