Monthly outlook for Ellis, NY: average high 54.2°, average low 39°. That is 2.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 2.8 inches), against a normal of 7 days and 2.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (76°), the coolest 18 October (21.5°).
54.2°/39°
Average high / low
−2.8°
Below normal
10 / 7
Wet days / normal
2.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 October – 20 October
55.1°
60.3°
-2.9°
21 October – 30 October
52.7°
56.7°
-2.2°
31 October – 9 November
at normal
53.5°
—
October records over 66 years
86°1 October 2019All-time high
27.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Ithaca (6 mi).
Mon, 1268° / 43°0.06
68 °
Ellis, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Tue, 1376° / 53°1.06
76 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 13 October
Heavy rain. High 76°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Wed, 1464° / 56°0.17
64 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 64°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NW
Humidity91%
Visibility5.2 mi
Dew point60°
Thu, 1555° / 46°0.02
55 °
Ellis, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 1653° / 47°0.7
53 °
Ellis, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.8 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 1745° / 34°0.07
45 °
Ellis, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 45°, low 34°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind12.8 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 1834° / 21°0.18
34 °
Ellis, Sunday, 18 October
Light snow. High 34°, low 21°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 1943° / 23°0
43 °
Ellis, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 43°, low 23°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2055° / 31°0
55 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2159° / 36°0
59 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.1 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 2260° / 38°0
60 °
Ellis, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2352° / 40°0.02
52 °
Ellis, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NW
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 2456° / 36°0.06
56 °
Ellis, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2549° / 39°0.04
49 °
Ellis, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 49°, low 39°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.3 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2640° / 34°0.08
40 °
Ellis, Monday, 26 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2756° / 43°0.14
56 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Wed, 2856° / 42°0.13
56 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high77° (1984)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2954° / 41°0.13
54 °
Ellis, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high71° (1989)
Record low29° (1965)
Fri, 3054° / 40°0.09
54 °
Ellis, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low31° (1990)
Sat, 3156° / 41°0.09
56 °
Ellis, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low28° (1988)
Sun, 0156° / 42°0.11
56 °
Ellis, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high72° (1974)
Record low33° (1992)
Mon, 0256° / 42°0.17
56 °
Ellis, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low28° (1965)
Tue, 0355° / 41°0.09
55 °
Ellis, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high73° (1982)
Record low31° (1993)
Wed, 0454° / 41°0.11
54 °
Ellis, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2015)
Record low28° (1991)
Thu, 0553° / 41°0.11
53 °
Ellis, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low25° (1991)
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.11
53 °
Ellis, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high74° (2022)
Record low28° (1962)
Sat, 0751° / 39°0.1
51 °
Ellis, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low14° (1962)
Sun, 0851° / 38°0.14
51 °
Ellis, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high72° (2020)
Record low26° (2019)
Mon, 0951° / 38°0.11
51 °
Ellis, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low22° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellis, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellis, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.