Monthly outlook for Ellery Center, NY: average high 52.5°, average low 39.6°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72°), the coolest 14 November (28.7°).
52.5°/39.6°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
6 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
3 November – 12 November
54.8°
48.4°
+3.6°
13 November – 22 November
48.8°
43.6°
+2.9°
23 November – 2 December
at normal
40.9°
—
November records over 66 years
72.9°3 November 1961All-time high
3.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (7 mi).
Wed, 0472° / 53°0.14
72 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 72°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.4 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Thu, 0561° / 50°0.22
61 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Fri, 0659° / 47°0
59 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 47°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind7.1 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 0750° / 46°0.55
50 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 50°, low 46°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility6.1 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 0848° / 43°0.18
48 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.1 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Mon, 0944° / 34°0.02
44 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.1 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1057° / 34°0
57 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.4 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1147° / 34°0
47 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.4 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1240° / 33°0.04
40 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 33°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.7 mph N
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1340° / 29°0.01
40 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 13 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1449° / 29°0
49 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.1 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1555° / 32°0
55 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 55°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1656° / 38°0
56 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Tue, 1742° / 41°0.44
42 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 41°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 1851° / 38°0.01
51 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.7 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1944° / 33°0.12
44 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 32°0.16
43 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 31°0.15
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (1999)
Record low13° (2022)
Sun, 2241° / 31°0.16
41 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low5° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 31°0.09
42 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low4° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low17° (2005)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.23
43 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low15° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 31°0.25
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 30°0.15
39 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low15° (2023)
Mon, 3040° / 29°0.17
40 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high63° (1991)
Record low6° (1976)
Tue, 0139° / 29°0.2
39 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low12° (1976)
Wed, 0238° / 28°0.17
38 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high64° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellery Center, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellery Center, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.