Monthly outlook for Ellery Center, NY: average high 53.8°, average low 42.4°. That is 2.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (67.7°), the coolest 13 November (30.4°).
53.8°/42.4°
Average high / low
+2.9°
Above normal
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
58.5°
50.5°
+4.4°
10 November – 19 November
46°
44.8°
+0.7°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
41.8°
—
October records over 66 years
82.8°1 October 2019All-time high
17.6°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (7 mi).
Sun, 0162° / 40°0
62 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 40°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 0263° / 46°0
63 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.8 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 0364° / 51°0.01
64 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 0468° / 51°0
68 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Thu, 0559° / 49°0.29
59 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind19 mph S
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 0657° / 48°0.67
57 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind16.6 mph SE
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sat, 0755° / 52°0.29
55 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind12.8 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 0852° / 48°0.3
52 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.4 mph W
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0952° / 44°0.18
52 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind4.2 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1054° / 39°0
54 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 54°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1152° / 37°0
52 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.9 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1244° / 39°0.19
44 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 39°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NE
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Fri, 1340° / 30°0
40 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 30°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1446° / 31°0.22
46 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 1540° / 37°0.34
40 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1644° / 33°0.19
44 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high63° (1988)
Record low8° (1967)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low20° (2019)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.09
44 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high67° (2016)
Record low10° (2014)
Thu, 1944° / 33°0.12
44 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (2014)
Fri, 2043° / 32°0.16
43 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 31°0.15
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (1999)
Record low13° (2022)
Sun, 2241° / 31°0.16
41 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low5° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 31°0.09
42 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low4° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low17° (2005)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.23
43 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low15° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 31°0.25
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 30°0.15
39 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low15° (2023)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellery Center, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellery Center, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.