Monthly outlook for Ellery Center, NY: average high 44.9°, average low 34.6°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 11 days (about 1.5 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (71.4°), the coolest 13 November (22.6°).
44.9°/34.6°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
11 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
49.7°
47.6°
+1.2°
14 November – 23 November
36.9°
43.4°
-3.6°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
40.5°
—
November records over 66 years
72.9°3 November 1961All-time high
3.7°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sinclairville (7 mi).
Thu, 0562° / 50°0.22
62 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Fri, 0654° / 43°0.11
54 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Sat, 0745° / 39°0.25
45 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind9.1 mph W
Humidity86%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sun, 0848° / 41°0.13
48 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 0944° / 38°0.11
44 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NW
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1056° / 37°0
56 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1147° / 35°0
47 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1236° / 29°0.07
36 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 12 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 29°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 1333° / 23°0.13
33 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 33°, low 23°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sat, 1433° / 24°0.08
33 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 24°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 1532° / 23°0.13
32 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 15 November
Snow. High 32°, low 23°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1633° / 31°0.2
33 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 16 November
Light snow. High 33°, low 31°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1736° / 32°0.04
36 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 17 November
Snow. High 36°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind4 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1843° / 27°0
43 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind6.2 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1945° / 28°0
45 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 28°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2043° / 32°0.16
43 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1991)
Record low17° (1986)
Sat, 2141° / 31°0.15
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (1999)
Record low13° (2022)
Sun, 2241° / 31°0.16
41 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low5° (2018)
Mon, 2342° / 31°0.09
42 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high64° (1999)
Record low4° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low12° (2000)
Wed, 2542° / 31°0.13
42 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation57%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low17° (2005)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.23
43 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Ellery Center, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation67%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low15° (1974)
Sat, 2841° / 31°0.25
41 °
Ellery Center, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.25 in
Chance of precipitation72%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low17° (1996)
Sun, 2939° / 30°0.15
39 °
Ellery Center, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high60° (2005)
Record low15° (2023)
Mon, 3040° / 29°0.17
40 °
Ellery Center, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high63° (1991)
Record low6° (1976)
Tue, 0139° / 29°0.2
39 °
Ellery Center, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low12° (1976)
Wed, 0238° / 28°0.17
38 °
Ellery Center, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation70%
Record high64° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
Thu, 0338° / 27°0.15
38 °
Ellery Center, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation60%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low7° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Ellery Center, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Ellery Center, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.