Weather in Connelly, NY
Connelly, Sunday, 18 October, 15:31
Clear. Feels like 58°. High 60°, low 33°.
Monthly outlook for Connelly, NY: average high 61.1°, average low 40.9°. That is 2.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (74.6°), the coolest 28 October (32°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 58.9° | 58.1° | +0.4° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 64.7° | 54.7° | +5.5° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 49.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Red Hook (9 mi).
0Connelly, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 38°.
0Connelly, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 45°.
0Connelly, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
0Connelly, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
0
Connelly, Friday, 23 October
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 38°.
0Connelly, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
0
Connelly, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 34°.
0Connelly, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 42°.
0Connelly, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 37°.
0Connelly, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 32°.
0.58
Connelly, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 56°, low 44°.
0.09Connelly, Friday, 30 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 55°.
0Connelly, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.
0.04Connelly, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 51°.
0Connelly, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 42°.
0.13
Connelly, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Connelly, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Connelly, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Connelly, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Connelly, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Connelly, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Connelly, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Connelly, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Connelly, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Connelly, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Connelly, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Connelly, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Connelly, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Connelly, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Connelly, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Connelly, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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