Monthly outlook for Connelly, NY: average high 57.1°, average low 41.8°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (72.2°), the coolest 28 October (33.2°).
57.1°/41.8°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 October – 23 October
61.2°
59.8°
+0.8°
24 October – 2 November
50.2°
55.9°
-3.1°
3 November – 12 November
at normal
52.1°
—
October records over 66 years
85.5°6 October 2007All-time high
27°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Red Hook (9 mi).
Thu, 1559° / 50°0
59 °
Connelly, Thursday, 15 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Fri, 1672° / 51°0.27
72 °
Connelly, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind6 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sat, 1756° / 39°0
56 °
Connelly, Saturday, 17 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 39°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sun, 1851° / 36°0
51 °
Connelly, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 1961° / 39°0
61 °
Connelly, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 39°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind2.9 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2065° / 47°0
65 °
Connelly, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.9 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2166° / 46°0
66 °
Connelly, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.7 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2264° / 40°0.06
64 °
Connelly, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 2347° / 38°0
47 °
Connelly, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 2448° / 36°0
48 °
Connelly, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 2559° / 37°0
59 °
Connelly, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.8 mph W
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2650° / 43°0.02
50 °
Connelly, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2755° / 37°0
55 °
Connelly, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 2845° / 33°0.05
45 °
Connelly, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.1 mph W
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 2944° / 35°0
44 °
Connelly, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NW
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 3054° / 39°0.12
54 °
Connelly, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low30° (1990)
Sat, 3155° / 40°0.07
55 °
Connelly, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low28° (1988)
Sun, 0156° / 41°0.11
56 °
Connelly, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low31° (1964)
Mon, 0256° / 41°0.13
56 °
Connelly, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1982)
Record low28° (1965)
Tue, 0356° / 40°0.13
56 °
Connelly, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low29° (1980)
Wed, 0454° / 39°0.06
54 °
Connelly, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (1987)
Record low30° (2013)
Thu, 0554° / 40°0.15
54 °
Connelly, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low28° (1965)
Fri, 0653° / 40°0.09
53 °
Connelly, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low28° (2012)
Sat, 0752° / 38°0.08
52 °
Connelly, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low25° (1962)
Sun, 0851° / 37°0.18
51 °
Connelly, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1975)
Record low26° (1960)
Mon, 0951° / 37°0.11
51 °
Connelly, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (1975)
Record low24° (1971)
Tue, 1052° / 37°0.13
52 °
Connelly, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low24° (2017)
Wed, 1150° / 37°0.16
50 °
Connelly, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Thu, 1249° / 36°0.14
49 °
Connelly, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low24° (1987)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Connelly, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Connelly, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.