Monthly outlook for Churchtown, NY: average high 57.9°, average low 40.1°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (69.9°), the coolest 13 November (26°).
57.9°/40.1°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
1 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
1 November – 10 November
60.8°
52.8°
+4.4°
11 November – 20 November
53.1°
47°
+3.3°
21 November – 30 November
at normal
44.2°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (7 mi).
Mon, 0265° / 38°0
65 °
Churchtown, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.7 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 0368° / 40°0
68 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.9 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 0470° / 51°0
70 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Thu, 0567° / 55°0.04
67 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.4 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point59°
Fri, 0660° / 55°0.81
60 °
Churchtown, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Sat, 0756° / 50°0
56 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 50°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0852° / 40°0
52 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0956° / 36°0
56 °
Churchtown, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1053° / 38°0
53 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Wed, 1151° / 37°0
51 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 51°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 1243° / 30°0
43 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 12 November
Mostly clear. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 1345° / 26°0
45 °
Churchtown, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 45°, low 26°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.1 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 1456° / 33°0
56 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 1562° / 38°0
62 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1661° / 44°0
61 °
Churchtown, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 1746° / 32°0.09
46 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1972)
Wed, 1846° / 33°0.09
46 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2021)
Record low20° (1997)
Thu, 1946° / 32°0.06
46 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low13° (1972)
Fri, 2046° / 32°0.15
46 °
Churchtown, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low8° (1986)
Sat, 2145° / 31°0.1
45 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high57° (1999)
Record low15° (1987)
Sun, 2243° / 31°0.11
43 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high59° (1963)
Record low11° (2018)
Mon, 2344° / 30°0.09
44 °
Churchtown, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1979)
Record low5° (1972)
Tue, 2444° / 31°0.09
44 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low15° (1989)
Wed, 2545° / 31°0.14
45 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high62° (2001)
Record low16° (1997)
Thu, 2645° / 32°0.18
45 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low19° (1978)
Fri, 2744° / 31°0.11
44 °
Churchtown, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low17° (1978)
Sat, 2845° / 32°0.17
45 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Sun, 2944° / 31°0.07
44 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high63° (2011)
Record low6° (2014)
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Churchtown, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Churchtown, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Churchtown, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.