Monthly outlook for Churchtown, NY: average high 48.3°, average low 34.3°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (57.8°), the coolest 25 November (24.1°).
48.3°/34.3°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
2 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
50.8°
45.9°
+2.7°
24 November – 3 December
44.1°
43.4°
+0.4°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
38.6°
—
November records over 66 years
78.3°6 November 2024All-time high
5.4°23 November 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Lorenz Park (7 mi).
Sun, 1544° / 37°0
44 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1645° / 35°0
45 °
Churchtown, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 1752° / 34°0
52 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 17 November
Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 34°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.1 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 1854° / 34°0
54 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind3 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 1951° / 36°0
51 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.4 mph SE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2056° / 40°0
56 °
Churchtown, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 2158° / 42°0
58 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sun, 2258° / 42°0
58 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 2349° / 33°0.08
49 °
Churchtown, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2441° / 27°0
41 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 27°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.4 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 2535° / 24°0
35 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 35°, low 24°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.1 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Thu, 2644° / 28°0
44 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 28°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.7 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 2741° / 26°0
41 °
Churchtown, Friday, 27 November
Mostly clear. High 41°, low 26°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.6 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 2849° / 25°0
49 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 25°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind14.5 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sun, 2955° / 53°0.51
55 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 29 November
Rain. High 55°, low 53°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3042° / 30°0.13
42 °
Churchtown, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (2006)
Record low17° (2013)
Tue, 0142° / 29°0.11
42 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (2006)
Record low11° (1971)
Wed, 0241° / 28°0.13
41 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low7° (1971)
Thu, 0341° / 28°0.14
41 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high60° (2009)
Record low1° (1971)
Fri, 0440° / 27°0.09
40 °
Churchtown, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1998)
Record low8° (1966)
Sat, 0539° / 27°0.11
39 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (2001)
Record low-2° (1971)
Sun, 0641° / 28°0.14
41 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low14° (1964)
Mon, 0739° / 26°0.1
39 °
Churchtown, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (1998)
Record low4° (1964)
Tue, 0837° / 25°0.08
37 °
Churchtown, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high55° (1966)
Record low1° (1964)
Wed, 0938° / 25°0.14
38 °
Churchtown, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high58° (1966)
Record low6° (2025)
Thu, 1038° / 26°0.09
38 °
Churchtown, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high57° (2023)
Record low1° (1964)
Fri, 1139° / 25°0.17
39 °
Churchtown, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high60° (2021)
Record low-7° (1977)
Sat, 1237° / 24°0.13
37 °
Churchtown, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high60° (1979)
Record low-2° (1977)
Sun, 1337° / 24°0.1
37 °
Churchtown, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high58° (1984)
Record low1° (1960)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Churchtown, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Churchtown, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.