Monthly outlook for Bernhards Bay, NY: average high 55.3°, average low 45.3°. That is 3.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 3.6 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (68.1°), the coolest 1 November (36°).
55.3°/45.3°
Average high / low
+3.2°
Above normal
10 / 8
Wet days / normal
3.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
59.8°
51.3°
+4.7°
10 November – 19 November
47.8°
45.6°
+1.2°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
42.5°
—
October records over 66 years
85.3°4 October 2023All-time high
26.4°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (11 mi).
Sun, 0162° / 36°0
62 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 62°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind3 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Mon, 0264° / 45°0
64 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind2.3 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 0358° / 48°0
58 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 0468° / 51°0
68 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 4 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind4.6 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Thu, 0562° / 54°0.74
62 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Fri, 0660° / 53°0.35
60 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.3 mph E
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 0755° / 49°0.43
55 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 55°, low 49°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.2 mph E
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.06
59 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind7.9 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Mon, 0956° / 48°0.39
56 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 56°, low 48°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind10.5 mph E
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 1052° / 47°0.26
52 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 47°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1147° / 42°0.13
47 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 42°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind17.3 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1248° / 40°0.21
48 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 1344° / 42°0.04
44 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 42°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.7 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1447° / 41°0.33
47 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Rain. High 47°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.2 mph E
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 1548° / 41°0.69
48 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind17.9 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1645° / 33°0.14
45 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high64° (1990)
Record low15° (1996)
Tue, 1744° / 33°0.17
44 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high61° (1987)
Record low18° (1972)
Wed, 1844° / 33°0.1
44 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high63° (1994)
Record low22° (2014)
Thu, 1945° / 33°0.11
45 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low19° (2014)
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.17
44 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low16° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation82%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.17
41 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low18° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bernhards Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bernhards Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.