Monthly outlook for Bernhards Bay, NY: average high 49.6°, average low 38.4°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 9 days (about 1.9 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.4 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (74.6°), the coolest 18 November (28.9°).
49.6°/38.4°
Average high / low
+1.3°
Above normal
9 / 8
Wet days / normal
1.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
54.4°
48.7°
+3.2°
14 November – 23 November
41.4°
44°
-1.4°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
41.3°
—
November records over 66 years
73.9°5 November 2022All-time high
-1.1°23 November 2018All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Sylvan Beach (11 mi).
Thu, 0570° / 55°0.58
70 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind8.7 mph W
Humidity98%
Visibility4.7 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 0662° / 50°0.01
62 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind1 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Sat, 0751° / 43°0.5
51 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind3.5 mph NW
Humidity99%
Visibility2.0 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 0851° / 36°0.06
51 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.3 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Mon, 0945° / 39°0.21
45 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 39°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1057° / 45°0
57 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.1 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1146° / 33°0
46 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 11 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1243° / 30°0
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.1 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Fri, 1345° / 36°0.09
45 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 45°, low 36°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sat, 1438° / 29°0.05
38 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 14 November
Light snow. High 38°, low 29°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1541° / 31°0
41 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 31°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.2 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Mon, 1641° / 32°0.2
41 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 16 November
Snow. High 41°, low 32°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Tue, 1735° / 30°0.11
35 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 17 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1846° / 29°0
46 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 18 November
Partly cloudy. High 46°, low 29°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind11.9 mph W
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 1948° / 39°0.07
48 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 39°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind18.1 mph W
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2044° / 33°0.17
44 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high69° (1991)
Record low16° (1986)
Sat, 2143° / 31°0.16
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high55° (2003)
Record low16° (1987)
Sun, 2242° / 31°0.15
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high61° (1963)
Record low12° (2018)
Mon, 2343° / 30°0.13
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low-1° (2018)
Tue, 2442° / 31°0.14
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high66° (2014)
Record low12° (1971)
Wed, 2543° / 31°0.15
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation52%
Record high60° (2001)
Record low14° (1995)
Thu, 2643° / 32°0.27
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.27 in
Chance of precipitation63%
Record high64° (1979)
Record low18° (1978)
Fri, 2742° / 32°0.17
42 °
Bernhards Bay, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low16° (1978)
Sat, 2843° / 32°0.24
43 °
Bernhards Bay, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation82%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2941° / 31°0.17
41 °
Bernhards Bay, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high62° (2005)
Record low18° (1989)
Mon, 3041° / 30°0.15
41 °
Bernhards Bay, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation65%
Record high62° (2006)
Record low12° (2013)
Tue, 0140° / 29°0.23
40 °
Bernhards Bay, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high59° (2006)
Record low10° (1989)
Wed, 0239° / 28°0.15
39 °
Bernhards Bay, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation62%
Record high58° (1998)
Record low4° (1989)
Thu, 0339° / 27°0.18
39 °
Bernhards Bay, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high60° (1982)
Record low2° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bernhards Bay, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bernhards Bay, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.