Monthly outlook for Bagdad, NY: average high 57.7°, average low 44.1°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 8 days and 2.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (75.5°), the coolest 18 October (28.4°).
57.7°/44.1°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
8 / 8
Wet days / normal
2.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
62.3°
55.9°
+3.6°
22 October – 31 October
49.9°
52.4°
-1.4°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
49.2°
—
October records over 66 years
84.4°1 October 2019All-time high
24.1°20 October 1972All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — North Collins (7 mi).
Tue, 1375° / 56°0.11
75 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 56°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind10.7 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Wed, 1465° / 56°0.07
65 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point57°
Thu, 1561° / 52°0
61 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.5 mph E
Humidity60%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Fri, 1658° / 45°0.89
58 °
Bagdad, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 58°, low 45°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind18.4 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 1746° / 30°0.04
46 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1853° / 28°0
53 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 28°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SW
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1963° / 40°0
63 °
Bagdad, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind14.1 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2064° / 45°0
64 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 20 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2168° / 47°0
68 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind7.7 mph SE
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2267° / 50°0.2
67 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind21.8 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Fri, 2357° / 44°0.71
57 °
Bagdad, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2444° / 40°0.1
44 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind21.2 mph NW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2541° / 37°0.02
41 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind21 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2644° / 41°0.07
44 °
Bagdad, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 41°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2746° / 41°0.03
46 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2852° / 40°0.14
52 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high69° (2014)
Record low28° (1976)
Thu, 2950° / 39°0.14
50 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high67° (1971)
Record low26° (1965)
Fri, 3051° / 39°0.11
51 °
Bagdad, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high73° (2024)
Record low29° (1983)
Sat, 3153° / 40°0.18
53 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low26° (2020)
Sun, 0152° / 41°0.14
52 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation47%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low30° (1965)
Mon, 0252° / 40°0.19
52 °
Bagdad, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation53%
Record high65° (1982)
Record low24° (1965)
Tue, 0351° / 39°0.13
51 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high70° (1961)
Record low28° (1984)
Wed, 0449° / 38°0.14
49 °
Bagdad, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low24° (1991)
Thu, 0550° / 38°0.14
50 °
Bagdad, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation55%
Record high75° (2022)
Record low20° (1991)
Fri, 0649° / 37°0.14
49 °
Bagdad, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation58%
Record high69° (2022)
Record low25° (1967)
Sat, 0747° / 37°0.11
47 °
Bagdad, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation50%
Record high69° (1975)
Record low23° (1967)
Sun, 0847° / 36°0.1
47 °
Bagdad, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low19° (1967)
Mon, 0948° / 36°0.12
48 °
Bagdad, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high74° (2020)
Record low11° (1991)
Tue, 1047° / 36°0.16
47 °
Bagdad, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation48%
Record high73° (2020)
Record low19° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bagdad, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bagdad, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.