Weather in El Guacho, NM
El Guacho, Friday, 16 October, 15:32
Clear. Feels like 61°. High 64°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for El Guacho, NM: average high 65.3°, average low 46.5°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 October (70.9°), the coolest 18 October (36.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 65.4° | 65.1° | +0.2° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 65° | 59.7° | +2.9° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 56.7° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — El Valle de Arroyo Seco (5 mi).
0
El Guacho, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 42°.
0
El Guacho, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 36°.
0
El Guacho, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 42°.
0.06
El Guacho, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 48°.
0.24El Guacho, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 46°.
0.97El Guacho, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 66°, low 53°.
0.02El Guacho, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
0El Guacho, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 62°, low 50°.
0El Guacho, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
0.04El Guacho, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0.02El Guacho, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 51°.
0El Guacho, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 71°, low 51°.
0El Guacho, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 68°, low 49°.
0El Guacho, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 50°.
0.09El Guacho, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
0.02El Guacho, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Guacho, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Guacho, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Guacho, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Guacho, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01El Guacho, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Guacho, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Guacho, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Guacho, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.01El Guacho, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Guacho, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Guacho, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Guacho, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Guacho, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Guacho, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Guacho, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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