Monthly outlook for Chacon, NM: average high 53.6°, average low 33.8°. That is 3.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (68.3°), the coolest 19 October (25.9°).
53.6°/33.8°
Average high / low
−3.8°
Below normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 October – 17 October
54.6°
61.4°
-3.8°
18 October – 27 October
51.9°
57.8°
-3.3°
28 October – 6 November
at normal
53.2°
—
October records over 66 years
78.4°7 October 2020All-time high
-2.4°22 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Guadalupita (7 mi).
Fri, 0968° / 36°0
68 °
Chacon, Friday, 9 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind1.3 mph W
Humidity31%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point23°
Sat, 1058° / 35°0
58 °
Chacon, Saturday, 10 October
Clear. High 58°, low 35°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.4 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Sun, 1160° / 38°0.06
60 °
Chacon, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Mon, 1260° / 37°0.05
60 °
Chacon, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 37°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Tue, 1355° / 43°0.47
55 °
Chacon, Tuesday, 13 October
Rain. High 55°, low 43°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7 mph SW
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Wed, 1453° / 36°0.05
53 °
Chacon, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 36°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind19 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1552° / 31°0
52 °
Chacon, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 1639° / 28°0
39 °
Chacon, Friday, 16 October
Partly cloudy. High 39°, low 28°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 1732° / 30°0.88
32 °
Chacon, Saturday, 17 October
Snow. High 32°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SE
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 1842° / 26°0.13
42 °
Chacon, Sunday, 18 October
Snow. High 42°, low 26°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity100%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 1951° / 26°0
51 °
Chacon, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 51°, low 26°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.7 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2053° / 32°0
53 °
Chacon, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 2157° / 34°0
57 °
Chacon, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 57°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.6 mph NW
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2254° / 36°0
54 °
Chacon, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SE
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2354° / 34°0
54 °
Chacon, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.6 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2457° / 34°0.06
57 °
Chacon, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high72° (2014)
Record low16° (1969)
Sun, 2558° / 33°0.04
58 °
Chacon, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high76° (2021)
Record low18° (2019)
Mon, 2656° / 33°0.07
56 °
Chacon, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1963)
Record low8° (2020)
Tue, 2755° / 32°0.07
55 °
Chacon, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (2016)
Record low8° (2020)
Wed, 2856° / 31°0.03
56 °
Chacon, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low5° (1970)
Thu, 2955° / 31°0.05
55 °
Chacon, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (1968)
Record low6° (2009)
Fri, 3053° / 30°0.05
53 °
Chacon, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low1° (1993)
Sat, 3153° / 30°0.06
53 °
Chacon, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low7° (1993)
Sun, 0152° / 30°0.04
52 °
Chacon, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low-1° (1991)
Mon, 0253° / 29°0.07
53 °
Chacon, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (2025)
Record low9° (1996)
Tue, 0352° / 29°0.06
52 °
Chacon, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low-4° (1991)
Wed, 0452° / 29°0.06
52 °
Chacon, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (2023)
Record low3° (1970)
Thu, 0553° / 29°0.03
53 °
Chacon, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low5° (1974)
Fri, 0653° / 29°0.02
53 °
Chacon, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low6° (1992)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chacon, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chacon, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.