Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Sunday, 11 October, 23:08
Clear. Feels like 59°. High 73°, low 54°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 61.6°, average low 45.1°. That is 2.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (73.4°), the coolest 17 October (34.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 62.3° | 67.5° | -2.9° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 60.5° | 62.6° | -1.2° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 58.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0
El Refugio, Monday, 12 October
Mostly clear. High 70°, low 54°.
0
El Refugio, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 67°, low 51°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
0.1
El Refugio, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 37°.
0.22El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 34°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 60°, low 46°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 63°, low 47°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 50°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
0
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.
0.22El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 57°, low 48°.
0
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 46°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
0.05El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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