Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Thursday, 15 October, 08:28
Clear. Feels like 40°. High 64°, low 40°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 60.1°, average low 41.9°. That is 2.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (67.3°), the coolest 17 October (28.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 62° | 65.5° | -1.9° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 57° | 60.8° | -2.1° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 57.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0El Refugio, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 63°, low 29°.
0.02
El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 41°.
0.01El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 45°.
0.06El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 46°.
0.16El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 51°.
0.41El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 51°.
0.01El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 39°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 41°.
0.17El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 49°.
0.01El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 46°.
0
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 37°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
0El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 54°, low 40°.
0.05
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06
El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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