Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Monday, 12 October, 13:39
Mostly clear. Feels like 68°. High 69°, low 52°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 60.1°, average low 43.1°. That is 3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (70°), the coolest 17 October (32.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 October – 21 October | 61.4° | 67° | -3.1° |
| 22 October – 31 October | 58° | 62.1° | -2.3° |
| 1 November – 10 November | at normal | 58.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0
El Refugio, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 70°, low 51°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 65°, low 43°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 60°, low 37°.
0El Refugio, Friday, 16 October
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 33°.
0.37
El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 42°, low 33°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 41°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 48°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 51°.
0.03El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 51°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
0
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 45°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
0
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 41°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 64°, low 41°.
0.03El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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