Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 56.6°, average low 41°. That is 4.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (69.6°), the coolest 17 October (33.9°).
56.6°/41°
Average high / low
−4.7°
Below normal
4 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 October – 22 October
60.5°
66.5°
-3.3°
23 October – 1 November
50.1°
61.6°
-6.4°
2 November – 11 November
at normal
58.3°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°1 October 2015All-time high
18.5°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
Wed, 1466° / 46°0.04
66 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SW
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 1564° / 35°0
64 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 64°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5 mph NE
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Fri, 1656° / 35°0
56 °
El Refugio, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 35°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind12.1 mph E
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point19°
Sat, 1753° / 34°0
53 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Sun, 1856° / 41°0.1
56 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 1962° / 42°0
62 °
El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2064° / 49°0
64 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 2162° / 49°0
62 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind24.8 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Thu, 2251° / 41°0.04
51 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.6 mph W
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Fri, 2356° / 38°0
56 °
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 2454° / 41°0
54 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind26.8 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 2542° / 40°0.21
42 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 42°, low 40°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind19.6 mph E
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 2641° / 36°0.22
41 °
El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Snow. High 41°, low 36°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind22.8 mph E
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2752° / 38°0.01
52 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.6 mph W
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2857° / 40°0
57 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.5 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 2962° / 41°0.02
62 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high76° (2003)
Record low25° (2009)
Fri, 3060° / 39°0.03
60 °
El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low23° (2019)
Sat, 3160° / 39°0.05
60 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low19° (2019)
Sun, 0159° / 39°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low16° (1991)
Mon, 0260° / 38°0.03
60 °
El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low23° (1991)
Tue, 0359° / 38°0.05
59 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low19° (1991)
Wed, 0459° / 39°0.06
59 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0559° / 38°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low27° (1992)
Fri, 0659° / 38°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low26° (1993)
Sat, 0759° / 38°0.05
59 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 0858° / 38°0.03
58 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low16° (2024)
Mon, 0957° / 37°0.02
57 °
El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (1980)
Record low17° (2024)
Tue, 1057° / 36°0.02
57 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (1980)
Record low24° (2000)
Wed, 1156° / 36°0.04
56 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low24° (2022)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.