Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October, 22:02
Overcast. Feels like 53°. High 67°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 61.2°, average low 45.4°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (73.8°), the coolest 27 October (39.2°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 October – 29 October | 61.3° | 63.3° | -1.1° |
| 30 October – 8 November | 61° | 59.2° | +1° |
| 9 November – 18 November | at normal | 55.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0.07
El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 74°, low 53°.
0.21El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 71°, low 52°.
0.06El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 48°.
0.29El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 45°.
0.16El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 47°.
0.09El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 39°.
0
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 42°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
0El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 43°.
0El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 58°, low 43°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 62°, low 44°.
0El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 49°.
0.02
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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