Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 58.1°, average low 39.9°. That is 3.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 October (67.9°), the coolest 17 October (29.5°).
58.1°/39.9°
Average high / low
−3.3°
Below normal
2 / 2
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
60.6°
65.5°
-2.7°
25 October – 3 November
54°
60.8°
-3.7°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
57.5°
—
October records over 66 years
84.9°1 October 2015All-time high
18.5°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
Fri, 1655° / 35°0
55 °
El Refugio, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind8.5 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point22°
Sat, 1763° / 29°0
63 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 63°, low 29°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.4 mph SE
Humidity20%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point-13°
Sun, 1864° / 41°0
64 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.9 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point21°
Mon, 1968° / 45°0
68 °
El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SW
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 2064° / 50°0.4
64 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.8 mph E
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Wed, 2163° / 50°0.19
63 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind18.6 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2251° / 45°0.02
51 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 45°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind24.4 mph W
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2356° / 40°0
56 °
El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.6 mph W
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sat, 2457° / 40°0
57 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.8 mph W
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Sun, 2546° / 31°0
46 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 46°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NE
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point7°
Mon, 2650° / 34°0
50 °
El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point6°
Tue, 2753° / 34°0
53 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind5.6 mph E
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Wed, 2856° / 40°0
56 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.9 mph W
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2961° / 42°0
61 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind8.2 mph W
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 3058° / 46°0
58 °
El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3160° / 39°0.05
60 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high74° (2016)
Record low19° (2019)
Sun, 0159° / 39°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low16° (1991)
Mon, 0260° / 38°0.03
60 °
El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low23° (1991)
Tue, 0359° / 38°0.05
59 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low19° (1991)
Wed, 0459° / 39°0.06
59 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2025)
Record low23° (1991)
Thu, 0559° / 38°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low27° (1992)
Fri, 0659° / 38°0.02
59 °
El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low26° (1993)
Sat, 0759° / 38°0.05
59 °
El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (2023)
Record low27° (2000)
Sun, 0858° / 38°0.03
58 °
El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low16° (2024)
Mon, 0957° / 37°0.02
57 °
El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high73° (1980)
Record low17° (2024)
Tue, 1057° / 36°0.02
57 °
El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (1980)
Record low24° (2000)
Wed, 1156° / 36°0.04
56 °
El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (1999)
Record low24° (2022)
Thu, 1256° / 35°0.03
56 °
El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low19° (2000)
Fri, 1355° / 35°0.02
55 °
El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low14° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.