Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Sunday, 18 October, 19:58
Clear. Feels like 53°. High 64°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 57.2°, average low 42.6°. That is 3.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (70.3°), the coolest 1 November (32°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 October – 27 October | 60.9° | 64.2° | -1.8° |
| 28 October – 6 November | 51° | 59.8° | -4.9° |
| 7 November – 16 November | at normal | 56.1° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0.24
El Refugio, Monday, 19 October
Rain. High 66°, low 43°.
0.14El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 65°, low 41°.
0.15El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 52°.
0.2El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 69°, low 51°.
0.11El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.
0.3El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 59°, low 45°.
0.1El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 45°.
0.46El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 51°, low 47°.
0.03El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
0El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 46°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 41°.
0
El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.
0
El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 36°.
0El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 32°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 39°.
0.05
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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