Weather in El Refugio, NM
El Refugio, Monday, 19 October, 20:40
Partly cloudy. Feels like 54°. High 67°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for El Refugio, NM: average high 59.6°, average low 44.4°. That is 1.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (70.9°), the coolest 28 October (38.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 60.9° | 63.7° | -1.5° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 57.4° | 59.5° | -1.2° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 55.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Placitas (15 mi).
0.02
El Refugio, Tuesday, 20 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 47°.
0.11El Refugio, Wednesday, 21 October
Rain. High 71°, low 47°.
0.07El Refugio, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 51°.
0.16El Refugio, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 49°.
0.46El Refugio, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 55°, low 46°.
0.05El Refugio, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.
0
El Refugio, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 59°, low 42°.
0.01El Refugio, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 55°, low 41°.
0
El Refugio, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 38°.
0El Refugio, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
0El Refugio, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 45°.
0.42El Refugio, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0
El Refugio, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 44°.
0El Refugio, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 58°, low 42°.
0
El Refugio, Tuesday, 3 November
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 43°.
0.06El Refugio, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05El Refugio, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03El Refugio, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04El Refugio, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02El Refugio, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for El Refugio, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in El Refugio, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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