Monthly outlook for Black Lake, NM: average high 53.4°, average low 36.3°. That is 1.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (66.8°), the coolest 20 October (29.1°).
53.4°/36.3°
Average high / low
−1.1°
Below normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
53.2°
57°
-2.1°
30 October – 8 November
53.8°
52.6°
+0.6°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
49.1°
—
October records over 66 years
78.4°7 October 2020All-time high
-2.4°22 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Guadalupita (11 mi).
Wed, 2167° / 41°0
67 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Thu, 2259° / 44°0.24
59 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 2352° / 40°0.17
52 °
Black Lake, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.3 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility5.1 mi
Dew point42°
Sat, 2447° / 34°0.16
47 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2548° / 35°1.02
48 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Snow. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.7 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2656° / 37°0
56 °
Black Lake, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SW
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 2746° / 35°0.22
46 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Snow. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Wed, 2845° / 32°0.09
45 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Snow. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.6 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 2950° / 38°0
50 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Fri, 3047° / 34°0
47 °
Black Lake, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind13.5 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 3150° / 34°0.03
50 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 34°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.6 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 0151° / 33°0
51 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 51°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind20 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Mon, 0259° / 35°0
59 °
Black Lake, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 35°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Tue, 0359° / 38°0
59 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.8 mph NW
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Wed, 0457° / 40°0
57 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 40°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.2 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0553° / 29°0.03
53 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low5° (1974)
Fri, 0653° / 29°0.02
53 °
Black Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low6° (1992)
Sat, 0753° / 29°0.07
53 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2021)
Record low6° (1972)
Sun, 0852° / 29°0.04
52 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low-3° (2000)
Mon, 0951° / 28°0.03
51 °
Black Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1980)
Record low1° (1986)
Tue, 1051° / 28°0.02
51 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1980)
Record low8° (1972)
Wed, 1150° / 27°0.05
50 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low4° (1986)
Thu, 1249° / 27°0.04
49 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low1° (2000)
Fri, 1350° / 27°0.04
50 °
Black Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low-5° (2000)
Sat, 1449° / 27°0.04
49 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (2025)
Record low-2° (2000)
Sun, 1548° / 26°0.05
48 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low2° (1993)
Mon, 1648° / 25°0.06
48 °
Black Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low-7° (1997)
Tue, 1748° / 25°0.02
48 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low-8° (2014)
Wed, 1847° / 26°0.02
47 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2007)
Record low-3° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Lake, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Lake, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.