Monthly outlook for Black Lake, NM: average high 49.9°, average low 33.3°. That is 2.8° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (65.8°), the coolest 5 November (21.4°).
49.9°/33.3°
Average high / low
−2.8°
Below normal
8 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
54.6°
56.3°
-0.9°
31 October – 9 November
42°
52.4°
-5.7°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
48.7°
—
October records over 66 years
78.4°7 October 2020All-time high
-2.4°22 October 1996All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Guadalupita (11 mi).
Thu, 2263° / 44°0.2
63 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 2357° / 39°0.21
57 °
Black Lake, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SW
Humidity59%
Visibility5.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sat, 2450° / 40°0.23
50 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 50°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility4.5 mi
Dew point42°
Sun, 2552° / 35°0.09
52 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Mon, 2653° / 31°0
53 °
Black Lake, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 53°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2755° / 33°0
55 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11 mph W
Humidity26%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2856° / 36°0
56 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 36°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Thu, 2950° / 35°0
50 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 3044° / 38°0.26
44 °
Black Lake, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.6 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sat, 3143° / 37°0.02
43 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 43°, low 37°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.2 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0150° / 32°0
50 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 32°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 0253° / 32°0.41
53 °
Black Lake, Monday, 2 November
Snow. High 53°, low 32°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 0335° / 30°0.2
35 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 30°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind22.5 mph W
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Wed, 0436° / 23°0.09
36 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 36°, low 23°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 0535° / 21°0.03
35 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Light snow. High 35°, low 21°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0653° / 29°0.02
53 °
Black Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low6° (1992)
Sat, 0753° / 29°0.07
53 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2021)
Record low6° (1972)
Sun, 0852° / 29°0.04
52 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2006)
Record low-3° (2000)
Mon, 0951° / 28°0.03
51 °
Black Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high65° (1980)
Record low1° (1986)
Tue, 1051° / 28°0.02
51 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (1980)
Record low8° (1972)
Wed, 1150° / 27°0.05
50 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high67° (1980)
Record low4° (1986)
Thu, 1249° / 27°0.04
49 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low1° (2000)
Fri, 1350° / 27°0.04
50 °
Black Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low-5° (2000)
Sat, 1449° / 27°0.04
49 °
Black Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (2025)
Record low-2° (2000)
Sun, 1548° / 26°0.05
48 °
Black Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low2° (1993)
Mon, 1648° / 25°0.06
48 °
Black Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low-7° (1997)
Tue, 1748° / 25°0.02
48 °
Black Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low-8° (2014)
Wed, 1847° / 26°0.02
47 °
Black Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high63° (2007)
Record low-3° (2014)
Thu, 1947° / 25°0.04
47 °
Black Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low-6° (1962)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Black Lake, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Black Lake, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.