Monthly outlook for Leoncito, NM: average high 71.4°, average low 50.5°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 2 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (79.1°), the coolest 17 October (38.2°).
71.4°/50.5°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
2 / 2
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
10 October – 19 October
70.7°
68.9°
+1°
20 October – 29 October
72.7°
64.5°
+4.5°
30 October – 8 November
at normal
60.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.9°1 October 2015All-time high
13.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Derramadero (15 mi).
Sun, 1179° / 55°0
79 °
Leoncito, Sunday, 11 October
Clear. High 79°, low 55°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.6 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 1279° / 53°0
79 °
Leoncito, Monday, 12 October
Clear. High 79°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 1378° / 58°0
78 °
Leoncito, Tuesday, 13 October
Mostly clear. High 78°, low 58°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity29%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1477° / 56°0
77 °
Leoncito, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 77°, low 56°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 1568° / 53°0.35
68 °
Leoncito, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NE
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 1654° / 47°0.81
54 °
Leoncito, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind17.9 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 1757° / 38°0
57 °
Leoncito, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind15.9 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1868° / 40°0
68 °
Leoncito, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 68°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity13%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Mon, 1971° / 46°0
71 °
Leoncito, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Tue, 2072° / 50°0
72 °
Leoncito, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 72°, low 50°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.4 mph W
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 2172° / 53°0
72 °
Leoncito, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 72°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.9 mph W
Humidity17%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Thu, 2273° / 51°0
73 °
Leoncito, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 73°, low 51°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SE
Humidity23%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 2374° / 52°0
74 °
Leoncito, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 74°, low 52°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity29%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2472° / 53°0
72 °
Leoncito, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 72°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.9 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2572° / 52°0
72 °
Leoncito, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2663° / 44°0.04
63 °
Leoncito, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (1979)
Record low15° (2020)
Tue, 2762° / 42°0.05
62 °
Leoncito, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low14° (2020)
Wed, 2863° / 42°0.02
63 °
Leoncito, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high78° (2024)
Record low21° (2020)
Thu, 2964° / 42°0.02
64 °
Leoncito, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high77° (1968)
Record low26° (1976)
Fri, 3062° / 41°0.05
62 °
Leoncito, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high76° (2016)
Record low19° (2019)
Sat, 3161° / 40°0.06
61 °
Leoncito, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high75° (2016)
Record low16° (1991)
Sun, 0160° / 40°0.02
60 °
Leoncito, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high74° (2008)
Record low9° (1991)
Mon, 0261° / 39°0.04
61 °
Leoncito, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high76° (2025)
Record low14° (1991)
Tue, 0360° / 39°0.04
60 °
Leoncito, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high72° (2023)
Record low6° (1991)
Wed, 0460° / 41°0.06
60 °
Leoncito, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high73° (2025)
Record low25° (1991)
Thu, 0561° / 40°0.02
61 °
Leoncito, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation5%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low25° (1967)
Fri, 0661° / 40°0.01
61 °
Leoncito, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high74° (2021)
Record low22° (1993)
Sat, 0760° / 40°0.06
60 °
Leoncito, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high74° (2012)
Record low22° (2000)
Sun, 0861° / 40°0.01
61 °
Leoncito, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.01 in
Chance of precipitation7%
Record high76° (2006)
Record low9° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Leoncito, NM are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Leoncito, NM since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.