Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NJ: average high 58.3°, average low 47°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (70.5°), the coolest 1 November (40.7°).
58.3°/47°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
62.8°
58.2°
+2.5°
9 November – 18 November
50.8°
53.7°
-1.6°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
51.1°
—
October records over 66 years
92.1°2 October 2019All-time high
32.4°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Red Bank (3 mi).
Sat, 3157° / 45°0
57 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sun, 0160° / 41°0
60 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind2.3 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 0264° / 47°0
64 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 47°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Tue, 0369° / 50°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Wed, 0470° / 53°0
70 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 70°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.9 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0563° / 61°0.3
63 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 63°, low 61°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind24.9 mph E
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point59°
Fri, 0663° / 60°0.93
63 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 60°.
Pressure29.38 inHg
Wind9.8 mph S
Humidity99%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0760° / 46°0.17
60 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 60°, low 46°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind22 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sun, 0852° / 42°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind20.2 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 0952° / 42°0
52 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1050° / 44°0.06
50 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 1148° / 43°0.94
48 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 48°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind23.6 mph NE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1251° / 43°0.03
51 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind17.6 mph N
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1353° / 42°0
53 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1451° / 44°0
51 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.1 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1554° / 42°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low26° (1967)
Mon, 1653° / 41°0.13
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1752° / 40°0.1
52 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (2023)
Record low29° (1967)
Wed, 1852° / 40°0.07
52 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low28° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 41°0.08
52 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2052° / 40°0.1
52 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low29° (1984)
Sat, 2151° / 39°0.11
51 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low21° (1987)
Sun, 2250° / 40°0.12
50 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low21° (2018)
Mon, 2349° / 38°0.09
49 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1992)
Record low19° (2018)
Tue, 2451° / 39°0.07
51 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2014)
Record low20° (1989)
Wed, 2551° / 38°0.15
51 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low24° (2005)
Thu, 2652° / 40°0.16
52 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low28° (2005)
Fri, 2752° / 39°0.11
52 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high64° (1988)
Record low27° (1974)
Sat, 2852° / 40°0.12
52 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low26° (1996)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NJ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NJ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.