Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, NJ: average high 59.8°, average low 50°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (70.6°), the coolest 28 October (44.2°).
59.8°/50°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
6 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
62.4°
58.8°
+2°
7 November – 16 November
55.4°
54.5°
+0.5°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
51.1°
—
October records over 66 years
92.1°2 October 2019All-time high
32.4°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Red Bank (3 mi).
Thu, 2971° / 45°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 71°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Fri, 3069° / 53°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 3159° / 48°0
59 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Sun, 0165° / 51°0
65 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 65°, low 51°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.7 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0266° / 50°0
66 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 66°, low 50°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 0362° / 50°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind28.4 mph NE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Wed, 0454° / 49°0
54 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind28.7 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 0557° / 54°1.72
57 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 57°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind35.7 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 0655° / 51°0.31
55 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 55°, low 51°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind27 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 0753° / 49°0.28
53 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 49°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.9 mph N
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 0854° / 52°0.31
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.2 mph E
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 0953° / 51°0.33
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Rain. High 53°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19.5 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Tue, 1055° / 52°0
55 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SW
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 1161° / 50°0
61 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 61°, low 50°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.3 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 1256° / 49°0.17
56 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind23.3 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1353° / 41°0.2
53 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1453° / 41°0.09
53 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1993)
Record low27° (1986)
Sun, 1554° / 42°0.11
54 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high74° (1993)
Record low26° (1967)
Mon, 1653° / 41°0.13
53 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (2005)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1752° / 40°0.1
52 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (2023)
Record low29° (1967)
Wed, 1852° / 40°0.07
52 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low28° (2014)
Thu, 1952° / 41°0.08
52 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1985)
Record low24° (2014)
Fri, 2052° / 40°0.1
52 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low29° (1984)
Sat, 2151° / 39°0.11
51 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low21° (1987)
Sun, 2250° / 40°0.12
50 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (2007)
Record low21° (2018)
Mon, 2349° / 38°0.09
49 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1992)
Record low19° (2018)
Tue, 2451° / 39°0.07
51 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2014)
Record low20° (1989)
Wed, 2551° / 38°0.15
51 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high66° (1979)
Record low24° (2005)
Thu, 2652° / 40°0.16
52 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low28° (2005)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, NJ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, NJ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.