Monthly outlook for Erial, NJ: average high 67.4°, average low 52.9°. That is 0.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 13 October (79.5°), the coolest 7 October (40.9°).
67.4°/52.9°
Average high / low
+0.7°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 October – 16 October
70.1°
67.3°
+1.6°
17 October – 26 October
62.8°
63.4°
-0.3°
27 October – 5 November
at normal
60.5°
—
October records over 66 years
94.3°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°24 October 1969All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mount Ephraim (9 mi).
Thu, 0876° / 50°0
76 °
Erial, Thursday, 8 October
Clear. High 76°, low 50°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.6 mph W
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 0971° / 50°0
71 °
Erial, Friday, 9 October
Clear. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.7 mph W
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sat, 1071° / 50°0
71 °
Erial, Saturday, 10 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 50°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sun, 1170° / 58°0.03
70 °
Erial, Sunday, 11 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 1276° / 67°0.15
76 °
Erial, Monday, 12 October
Light rain. High 76°, low 67°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind12.1 mph SE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Tue, 1380° / 65°0.01
80 °
Erial, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 80°, low 65°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SW
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Wed, 1462° / 46°0.17
62 °
Erial, Wednesday, 14 October
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Thu, 1562° / 45°0
62 °
Erial, Thursday, 15 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1666° / 55°0
66 °
Erial, Friday, 16 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 1766° / 59°0
66 °
Erial, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 1876° / 63°0
76 °
Erial, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 76°, low 63°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.5 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 1966° / 54°0
66 °
Erial, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.9 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2063° / 50°0
63 °
Erial, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 50°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Wed, 2154° / 47°0.09
54 °
Erial, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind12.4 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Thu, 2253° / 45°0.02
53 °
Erial, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.3 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2363° / 48°0.07
63 °
Erial, Friday, 23 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high78° (2007)
Record low32° (1969)
Sat, 2463° / 47°0.12
63 °
Erial, Saturday, 24 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high79° (2001)
Record low27° (1969)
Sun, 2562° / 48°0.13
62 °
Erial, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high78° (2021)
Record low34° (1962)
Mon, 2662° / 47°0.11
62 °
Erial, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high78° (2023)
Record low34° (1960)
Tue, 2762° / 47°0.16
62 °
Erial, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high80° (1963)
Record low32° (1976)
Wed, 2861° / 46°0.13
61 °
Erial, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high83° (2023)
Record low29° (1976)
Thu, 2960° / 45°0.22
60 °
Erial, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.22 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (1984)
Record low32° (1965)
Fri, 3060° / 44°0.09
60 °
Erial, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (2016)
Record low31° (1962)
Sat, 3160° / 44°0.05
60 °
Erial, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low31° (1988)
Sun, 0162° / 46°0.08
62 °
Erial, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2024)
Record low33° (2002)
Mon, 0261° / 47°0.08
61 °
Erial, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high77° (1971)
Record low31° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 45°0.08
61 °
Erial, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (2003)
Record low32° (1980)
Wed, 0459° / 44°0.08
59 °
Erial, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high76° (1974)
Record low31° (2006)
Thu, 0559° / 44°0.12
59 °
Erial, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high77° (2022)
Record low31° (1991)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Erial, NJ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Erial, NJ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.