Weather in Bear Tavern, NJ
Bear Tavern, Thursday, 15 October, 01:18
Overcast. Feels like 64°. High 65°, low 48°.
Monthly outlook for Bear Tavern, NJ: average high 64.7°, average low 49.8°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (75.9°), the coolest 18 October (37.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 64.7° | 63.3° | +0.8° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 64.8° | 59.9° | +2.7° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 55.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The College of New Jersey (5 mi).
0.2
Bear Tavern, Friday, 16 October
Rain. High 76°, low 51°.
0.03Bear Tavern, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 42°.
0
Bear Tavern, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
0Bear Tavern, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
0Bear Tavern, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
0Bear Tavern, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 65°, low 49°.
0
Bear Tavern, Thursday, 22 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 49°.
0Bear Tavern, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 49°.
0Bear Tavern, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 54°.
0
Bear Tavern, Sunday, 25 October
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 54°.
0Bear Tavern, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 58°.
0.06Bear Tavern, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 58°.
0.83Bear Tavern, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 60°, low 57°.
1.75Bear Tavern, Thursday, 29 October
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 58°.
0Bear Tavern, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 60°, low 51°.
0.06Bear Tavern, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Tavern, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Tavern, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Tavern, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bear Tavern, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Tavern, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Tavern, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bear Tavern, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bear Tavern, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bear Tavern, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16
Bear Tavern, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Bear Tavern, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Bear Tavern, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Bear Tavern, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bear Tavern, NJ are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bear Tavern, NJ since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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