Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 55°, average low 43.5°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 28 November (64.6°), the coolest 25 November (30.7°).
55°/43.5°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
56.6°
55.5°
+0.6°
24 November – 3 December
52.2°
53.9°
-0.9°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
50.4°
—
November records over 66 years
80.8°7 November 2024All-time high
26.6°25 November 2013All-time low
Sun, 1552° / 42°0
52 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Mon, 1652° / 38°0
52 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8.8 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1755° / 38°0
55 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 38°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1860° / 40°0
60 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 40°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind5.3 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Thu, 1962° / 43°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2063° / 44°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2157° / 51°0
57 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sun, 2260° / 56°0
60 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.5 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 2356° / 42°0
56 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind23 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 2438° / 31°0
38 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 38°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind23.5 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Wed, 2544° / 31°0
44 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind16.9 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2653° / 38°0
53 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Fri, 2761° / 55°0.15
61 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 27 November
Rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind30.1 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2865° / 55°0.88
65 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind42.6 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 2954° / 50°0
54 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 54°, low 50°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind20.8 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3053° / 42°0.13
53 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low27° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 42°0.09
53 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 0252° / 41°0.09
52 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low28° (1971)
Thu, 0352° / 41°0.08
52 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low24° (1976)
Fri, 0452° / 40°0.06
52 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sat, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low29° (2007)
Sun, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low27° (2007)
Mon, 0750° / 39°0.1
50 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low27° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 39°0.11
49 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low26° (1970)
Wed, 0950° / 39°0.19
50 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low25° (1960)
Thu, 1051° / 40°0.17
51 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (1972)
Record low21° (1968)
Fri, 1151° / 39°0.21
51 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high66° (1971)
Record low24° (1995)
Sat, 1249° / 39°0.09
49 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high65° (2007)
Record low19° (1988)
Sun, 1350° / 38°0.12
50 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (2015)
Record low16° (1960)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.