Weather in Chincoteague, VA
Chincoteague, Monday, 19 October, 09:49
Partly cloudy. Feels like 50°. High 62°, low 50°.
Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 60.8°, average low 50.1°. That is 1.6° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (66.5°), the coolest 29 October (42.3°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 October – 28 October | 62° | 64.3° | -1.3° |
| 29 October – 7 November | 58.7° | 61.6° | -1.6° |
| 8 November – 17 November | at normal | 57.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 51°.
0
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 50°.
0Chincoteague, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
0Chincoteague, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 56°, low 46°.
0Chincoteague, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
0Chincoteague, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 47°.
0
Chincoteague, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 55°.
0Chincoteague, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 59°.
0.19
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 49°.
0Chincoteague, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 51°, low 42°.
0Chincoteague, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
0Chincoteague, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 55°.
0.3Chincoteague, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 62°, low 61°.
0.78Chincoteague, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 65°, low 53°.
0.04Chincoteague, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 49°.
0.1Chincoteague, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11
Chincoteague, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chincoteague, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chincoteague, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chincoteague, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chincoteague, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chincoteague, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chincoteague, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.24Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Chincoteague, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chincoteague, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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