Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 62.8°, average low 53.3°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (67.8°), the coolest 30 October (46.3°).
62.8°/53.3°
Average high / low
−0.2°
Below normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
62.7°
63.7°
-0.5°
31 October – 9 November
63°
61.1°
+1.1°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
57°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Thu, 2265° / 49°0
65 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.7 mph N
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Fri, 2362° / 52°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.1 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Sat, 2461° / 52°0
61 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind11.6 mph E
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Sun, 2563° / 51°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Mon, 2665° / 48°0
65 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 65°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2763° / 49°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 63°, low 49°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.2 mph E
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2864° / 60°0
64 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.4 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 2967° / 52°0
67 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind22.3 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3055° / 46°0
55 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 55°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind18.5 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 3158° / 50°0
58 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 50°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind12.6 mph S
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 0163° / 56°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 0264° / 60°0
64 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 60°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Tue, 0368° / 63°0
68 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.5 mph S
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Wed, 0466° / 55°0.09
66 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 55°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind27 mph NE
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0558° / 55°0.35
58 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 58°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind22.2 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0660° / 50°0.09
60 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low34° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 49°0.08
60 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1986)
Record low35° (1960)
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1257° / 47°0.24
57 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low35° (1996)
Fri, 1356° / 45°0.15
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.08
56 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low30° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 46°0.12
57 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Mon, 1657° / 46°0.08
57 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low28° (1967)
Tue, 1756° / 45°0.11
56 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1856° / 44°0.04
56 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low32° (2014)
Thu, 1956° / 44°0.09
56 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low28° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.