Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 64.7°, average low 58°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 10 days (about 2.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (81.4°), the coolest 18 October (46.6°).
64.7°/58°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
10 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
16 October – 25 October
63.5°
65°
-0.9°
26 October – 4 November
66.8°
62.6°
+2.3°
5 November – 14 November
at normal
58.6°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Sat, 1765° / 50°0.35
65 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 17 October
Rain. High 65°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.7 mph N
Humidity92%
Visibility2.4 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 1857° / 47°0
57 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 47°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind20.5 mph NE
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Mon, 1960° / 55°0.01
60 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 19 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind21.1 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Tue, 2060° / 56°0.72
60 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 20 October
Rain. High 60°, low 56°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind19.6 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Wed, 2162° / 59°0.1
62 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 59°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind24.3 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 2261° / 60°0.26
61 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 60°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind29.3 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 2361° / 59°0.18
61 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind26.7 mph NE
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Sat, 2462° / 57°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 57°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind25.3 mph NE
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sun, 2566° / 61°0.43
66 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 25 October
Rain. High 66°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind31.7 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Mon, 2665° / 58°0.04
65 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.6 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Tue, 2765° / 55°0
65 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11 mph N
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2871° / 61°0
71 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Thu, 2963° / 59°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.4 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 3066° / 62°0.35
66 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 66°, low 62°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind18.3 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 3170° / 64°0.26
70 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 70°, low 64°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind25.3 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 0164° / 53°0.11
64 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low42° (1975)
Mon, 0263° / 53°0.12
63 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1971)
Record low38° (1976)
Tue, 0362° / 51°0.09
62 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low39° (1996)
Wed, 0461° / 50°0.1
61 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Thu, 0561° / 51°0.11
61 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Fri, 0660° / 50°0.09
60 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low34° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 49°0.08
60 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1986)
Record low35° (1960)
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1257° / 47°0.24
57 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low35° (1996)
Fri, 1356° / 45°0.15
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.08
56 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low30° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.