Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 54.2°, average low 44.9°. That is 0.8° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 November (66.9°), the coolest 24 November (34.3°).
54.2°/44.9°
Average high / low
−0.8°
Below normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
11 November – 20 November
54.8°
56.5°
-1°
21 November – 30 November
53.2°
54.4°
-0.7°
1 December – 10 December
at normal
51.1°
—
November records over 66 years
80.8°7 November 2024All-time high
26.6°25 November 2013All-time low
Thu, 1267° / 53°0.02
67 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Fri, 1351° / 43°0
51 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind15.2 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Sat, 1448° / 40°0
48 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Sun, 1550° / 41°0
50 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 41°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind15.3 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 1652° / 41°0
52 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.4 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1754° / 48°0.03
54 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind19.4 mph NE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 1854° / 48°0.3
54 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 54°, low 48°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind27.4 mph NE
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 1954° / 43°0
54 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18.5 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 2053° / 46°0
53 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 46°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.4 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2157° / 51°0
57 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sun, 2261° / 55°0.22
61 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 55°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind23.8 mph S
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Mon, 2354° / 49°0
54 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 49°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2451° / 34°0.06
51 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind28 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Wed, 2544° / 34°0
44 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind19.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2652° / 44°0
52 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 52°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2756° / 44°0.11
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (1974)
Sat, 2856° / 45°0.1
56 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low28° (1996)
Sun, 2953° / 42°0.09
53 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2011)
Record low28° (2023)
Mon, 3053° / 42°0.13
53 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low27° (1976)
Tue, 0153° / 42°0.09
53 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2001)
Record low25° (1976)
Wed, 0252° / 41°0.09
52 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low28° (1971)
Thu, 0352° / 41°0.08
52 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1991)
Record low24° (1976)
Fri, 0452° / 40°0.06
52 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sat, 0551° / 40°0.16
51 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high67° (1982)
Record low29° (2007)
Sun, 0651° / 40°0.09
51 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low27° (2007)
Mon, 0750° / 39°0.1
50 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low27° (2002)
Tue, 0849° / 39°0.11
49 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low26° (1970)
Wed, 0950° / 39°0.19
50 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high69° (1978)
Record low25° (1960)
Thu, 1051° / 40°0.17
51 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high64° (1972)
Record low21° (1968)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.