Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 62.1°, average low 52.2°. That is 1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (67.1°), the coolest 28 October (43.2°).
62.1°/52.2°
Average high / low
−1°
Below normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.6 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
62.7°
64.6°
-1.1°
27 October – 5 November
61.2°
62.3°
-0.7°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
58.2°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Sun, 1859° / 46°0
59 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 18 October
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind15 mph NE
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 1962° / 50°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NE
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 2067° / 54°0
67 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.4 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2161° / 53°0
61 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.5 mph N
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2262° / 48°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2362° / 54°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind17.9 mph N
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 2461° / 56°0
61 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 61°, low 56°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind21.9 mph NE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2562° / 52°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 52°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind14.2 mph NE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2666° / 56°0
66 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind13.7 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2764° / 51°0
64 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 64°, low 51°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind23.8 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2859° / 43°0.05
59 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind19.5 mph N
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2963° / 56°0.64
63 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 29 October
Rain. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.8 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 3061° / 57°0
61 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 57°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph NE
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 3164° / 58°0.35
64 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 64°, low 58°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind21.7 mph SW
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sun, 0155° / 53°0.09
55 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 55°, low 53°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind24.1 mph NW
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0263° / 53°0.12
63 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high63°
Average low53°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1971)
Record low38° (1976)
Tue, 0362° / 51°0.09
62 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1974)
Record low39° (1996)
Wed, 0461° / 50°0.1
61 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high74° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Thu, 0561° / 51°0.11
61 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high73° (2003)
Record low37° (2006)
Fri, 0660° / 50°0.09
60 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low34° (1991)
Sat, 0760° / 49°0.08
60 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low36° (1962)
Sun, 0859° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (1986)
Record low35° (1960)
Mon, 0959° / 48°0.07
59 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (2023)
Record low31° (1976)
Tue, 1060° / 49°0.12
60 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high60°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high70° (2021)
Record low36° (1973)
Wed, 1158° / 48°0.12
58 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2020)
Record low29° (2017)
Thu, 1257° / 47°0.24
57 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.24 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low35° (1996)
Fri, 1356° / 45°0.15
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (2019)
Sat, 1456° / 45°0.08
56 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low30° (1986)
Sun, 1557° / 46°0.12
57 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high75° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.