Monthly outlook for Chincoteague, VA: average high 62.5°, average low 53.3°. That is 1.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 5 November (71°), the coolest 15 November (42°).
62.5°/53.3°
Average high / low
+1.6°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
31 October – 9 November
64.7°
61.1°
+2°
10 November – 19 November
58.8°
57°
+1°
20 November – 29 November
at normal
54.7°
—
October records over 66 years
88.5°2 October 2019All-time high
35.4°28 October 1976All-time low
Sun, 0162° / 48°0
62 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind6.1 mph NE
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0263° / 51°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.1 mph E
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Tue, 0368° / 53°0
68 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 53°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.4 mph E
Humidity71%
Visibility0.2 mi
Dew point56°
Wed, 0471° / 60°0
71 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 4 November
Mostly clear. High 71°, low 60°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 0571° / 65°0.09
71 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 65°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.5 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point64°
Fri, 0666° / 63°0.63
66 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 66°, low 63°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind12.9 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 0765° / 58°0.28
65 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 65°, low 58°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind17.6 mph N
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 0861° / 52°0
61 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 52°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind17.9 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Mon, 0959° / 52°0
59 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1063° / 51°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 63°, low 51°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.4 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1163° / 53°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 63°, low 53°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.8 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 1265° / 55°0
65 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 12 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 55°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Fri, 1363° / 56°0
63 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 63°, low 56°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind18.1 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 1451° / 46°0
51 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind24.2 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1548° / 42°0
48 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind23 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 1657° / 46°0.08
57 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low46°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high70° (2006)
Record low28° (1967)
Tue, 1756° / 45°0.11
56 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1993)
Record low32° (1967)
Wed, 1856° / 44°0.04
56 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low32° (2014)
Thu, 1956° / 44°0.09
56 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low28° (2014)
Fri, 2056° / 45°0.07
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1985)
Record low32° (1984)
Sat, 2155° / 43°0.11
55 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (1991)
Record low30° (1987)
Sun, 2254° / 44°0.15
54 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (2007)
Record low28° (1987)
Mon, 2353° / 42°0.07
53 °
Chincoteague, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high69° (1992)
Record low28° (2018)
Tue, 2454° / 43°0.09
54 °
Chincoteague, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (2014)
Record low28° (1970)
Wed, 2554° / 43°0.09
54 °
Chincoteague, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1973)
Record low27° (2013)
Thu, 2656° / 44°0.13
56 °
Chincoteague, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (1999)
Record low30° (2005)
Fri, 2756° / 44°0.11
56 °
Chincoteague, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low44°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high68° (1985)
Record low28° (1974)
Sat, 2856° / 45°0.1
56 °
Chincoteague, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (1973)
Record low28° (1996)
Sun, 2953° / 42°0.09
53 °
Chincoteague, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2011)
Record low28° (2023)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chincoteague, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chincoteague, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.