Weather in Toluca, MT
Toluca, Saturday, 17 October, 07:37
Partly cloudy. Feels like 45°. High 77°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Toluca, MT: average high 57.5°, average low 40.2°. That is 0.2° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (76.8°), the coolest 31 October (16.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 62.8° | 60.2° | +1.4° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 48.7° | 53.5° | -2.7° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 48.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hardin (13 mi).
0Toluca, Sunday, 18 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 45°.
0
Toluca, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Toluca, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 67°, low 46°.
0
Toluca, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 43°.
0Toluca, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 48°.
0.39
Toluca, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 58°, low 46°.
1.19Toluca, Saturday, 24 October
Heavy rain. High 50°, low 41°.
0
Toluca, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 40°.
0Toluca, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 45°.
0Toluca, Tuesday, 27 October
Partly cloudy. High 61°, low 45°.
0.01Toluca, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
0Toluca, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 42°.
0.51
Toluca, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 43°, low 30°.
0.01Toluca, Saturday, 31 October
Light snow. High 38°, low 17°.
0Toluca, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 26°.
0.02Toluca, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Toluca, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toluca, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toluca, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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