Weather in Toluca, MT
Toluca, Friday, 16 October, 04:16
Mostly clear. Feels like 29°. High 66°, low 32°.
Monthly outlook for Toluca, MT: average high 58.8°, average low 41.3°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 3 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (74.9°), the coolest 16 October (32.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 October – 25 October | 63° | 60.6° | +1.3° |
| 26 October – 4 November | 51.8° | 53.9° | -1.2° |
| 5 November – 14 November | at normal | 48.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hardin (13 mi).
0
Toluca, Saturday, 17 October
Partly cloudy. High 75°, low 45°.
0
Toluca, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 44°.
0
Toluca, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
0Toluca, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 71°, low 45°.
0Toluca, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0Toluca, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 73°, low 51°.
0.29
Toluca, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 58°, low 45°.
0.39
Toluca, Saturday, 24 October
Snow. High 45°, low 39°.
0Toluca, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 48°, low 36°.
0Toluca, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 39°.
0Toluca, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 45°.
0.03Toluca, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 40°.
0.66Toluca, Thursday, 29 October
Snow. High 38°, low 34°.
0Toluca, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 36°.
0Toluca, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 41°.
0.04
Toluca, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Toluca, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Toluca, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Toluca, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Toluca, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toluca, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toluca, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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