As of 22:27 MDT

Weather in Toluca, MT

40°Current weather

Toluca, Thursday, 15 October, 22:27

Clear. Feels like 37°. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure30.74 inHg
Wind3.6 mph NE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°

Monthly outlook for Toluca, MT: average high 59.2°, average low 41°. That is 0.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 17 October (75.1°), the coolest 16 October (33.7°).

59.2°/41°
Average high / low
+0.2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

PeriodForecast highNormalDifference
15 October – 24 October63.8°60.8°+1.7°
25 October – 3 November51.4°54.5°-1.7°
4 November – 13 Novemberat normal49.5°—

October records over 66 years

92.8°1 October 2011All-time high
-18.8°30 October 1991All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Hardin (13 mi).

Fri, 1667° / 34°0Clear
67 °Clear

Toluca, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 67°, low 34°.

Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sat, 1775° / 46°0Overcast
75 °Overcast

Toluca, Saturday, 17 October

Overcast. High 75°, low 46°.

Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind1.1 mph N
Humidity27%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Sun, 1864° / 45°0Overcast
64 °Overcast

Toluca, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 64°, low 45°.

Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph E
Humidity40%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Mon, 1968° / 44°0Mostly clear
68 °Mostly clear

Toluca, Monday, 19 October

Mostly clear. High 68°, low 44°.

Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.2 mph E
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 2069° / 47°0Overcast
69 °Overcast

Toluca, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.

Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind2.4 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2162° / 45°0Partly cloudy
62 °Partly cloudy

Toluca, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 45°.

Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.2 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2275° / 51°0.01Light rain
75 °Light rain

Toluca, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 75°, low 51°.

Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NE
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2359° / 41°0.27Light rain
59 °Light rain

Toluca, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 59°, low 41°.

Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind27.4 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sat, 2446° / 39°0.01Light snow
46 °Light snow

Toluca, Saturday, 24 October

Light snow. High 46°, low 39°.

Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind24.1 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sun, 2551° / 34°0Clear
51 °Clear

Toluca, Sunday, 25 October

Clear. High 51°, low 34°.

Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Mon, 2643° / 38°0.3Rain
43 °Rain

Toluca, Monday, 26 October

Rain. High 43°, low 38°.

Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 2746° / 36°0.06Snow
46 °Snow

Toluca, Tuesday, 27 October

Snow. High 46°, low 36°.

Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2854° / 38°0Overcast
54 °Overcast

Toluca, Wednesday, 28 October

Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.

Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind13.4 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2954° / 40°0Partly cloudy
54 °Partly cloudy

Toluca, Thursday, 29 October

Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind24.7 mph W
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 3061° / 41°0Overcast
61 °Overcast

Toluca, Friday, 30 October

Overcast. High 61°, low 41°.

Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind11.9 mph SW
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3153° / 32°0.04Climate normal
53 °Climate normal

Toluca, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high77° (1999)
Record low-1° (1991)
Sun, 0152° / 32°0.04Climate normal
52 °Climate normal

Toluca, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high74° (1965)
Record low-1° (1984)
Mon, 0252° / 31°0.02Climate normal
52 °Climate normal

Toluca, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1965)
Record low-11° (1991)
Tue, 0352° / 31°0.02Climate normal
52 °Climate normal

Toluca, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high72° (1962)
Record low-14° (1991)
Wed, 0454° / 32°0.02Climate normal
54 °Climate normal

Toluca, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high73° (1978)
Record low4° (1995)
Thu, 0553° / 32°0.04Climate normal
53 °Climate normal

Toluca, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high73° (2010)
Record low0° (1961)
Fri, 0651° / 31°0.04Climate normal
51 °Climate normal

Toluca, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (1999)
Record low6° (1961)
Sat, 0751° / 31°0.03Climate normal
51 °Climate normal

Toluca, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high74° (1999)
Record low6° (1991)
Sun, 0850° / 30°0.03Climate normal
50 °Climate normal

Toluca, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high50°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (1999)
Record low4° (1966)
Mon, 0948° / 28°0.06Climate normal
48 °Climate normal

Toluca, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (2016)
Record low-8° (1966)
Tue, 1047° / 26°0.04Climate normal
47 °Climate normal

Toluca, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high70° (2007)
Record low-18° (1986)
Wed, 1146° / 26°0.02Climate normal
46 °Climate normal

Toluca, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1990)
Record low-10° (2022)
Thu, 1248° / 26°0.03Climate normal
48 °Climate normal

Toluca, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high78° (1999)
Record low-12° (1986)
Fri, 1348° / 28°0.04Climate normal
48 °Climate normal

Toluca, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low-15° (1986)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toluca, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toluca, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.