As of 22:20 MDT

Weather in Chance, MT

70°

Chance, Friday, 9 October, 22:20

Mostly clear. Feels like 68°. High 84°, low 46°.

Pressure29.53 inHg

Wind6.2 mph SW

Humidity27%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point34°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, MT: average high 56.8°, average low 39.6°. That is 0.1° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 1.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (83.9°), the coolest 13 October (30.6°).

56.8°/39.6°

Average high / low

−0.1°

Below normal

6 / 4

Wet days / normal

1.0 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
9 October – 18 October	57.3°	57.5°	-0.1°
19 October – 28 October	56°	54.6°	+0.8°
29 October – 7 November	at normal	47.9°	—

October records over 66 years

84.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-14.1°30 October 1991All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Clark (9 mi).

Sat, 1072° / 48°

0.03

72 °

Chance, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 72°, low 48°.

Pressure29.59 inHg

Wind2.8 mph NE

Humidity35%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point32°

Sun, 1148° / 37°

0.58

48 °

Chance, Sunday, 11 October

Rain. High 48°, low 37°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind13.8 mph N

Humidity84%

Visibility3.9 mi

Dew point40°

Mon, 1238° / 33°

0.11

38 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Snow. High 38°, low 33°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind10.4 mph N

Humidity88%

Visibility5.7 mi

Dew point30°

Tue, 1353° / 31°

53 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 31°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind4.1 mph NE

Humidity72%

Visibility5.4 mi

Dew point36°

Wed, 1451° / 40°

51 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind4.1 mph NE

Humidity76%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Thu, 1554° / 41°

0.04

54 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 41°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind21.1 mph N

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Fri, 1645° / 34°

45 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 45°, low 34°.

Pressure30.65 inHg

Wind13.8 mph N

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point26°

Sat, 1763° / 37°

63 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 63°, low 37°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind14.9 mph SE

Humidity28%

Visibility—

Dew point20°

Sun, 1865° / 48°

65 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 48°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind7.1 mph SE

Humidity30%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Mon, 1966° / 50°

66 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 66°, low 50°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind21 mph W

Humidity27%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Tue, 2055° / 40°

0.06

55 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Snow. High 55°, low 40°.

Pressure29.68 inHg

Wind25.5 mph N

Humidity33%

Visibility—

Dew point26°

Wed, 2154° / 37°

0.11

54 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 37°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind10.2 mph SW

Humidity37%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Thu, 2255° / 39°

0.04

55 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind17.9 mph N

Humidity41%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Fri, 2350° / 37°

0.01

50 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 50°, low 37°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind6.3 mph SW

Humidity34%

Visibility—

Dew point18°

Sat, 2455° / 37°

55 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Overcast. High 55°, low 37°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind9.5 mph S

Humidity31%

Visibility—

Dew point18°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sun, 2554° / 32°

0.04

54 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high54°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high70° (2014)

Record low-7° (2020)

Mon, 2653° / 31°

0.06

53 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high68° (2024)

Record low-8° (2020)

Tue, 2752° / 30°

0.06

52 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high69° (2024)

Record low0° (1996)

Wed, 2851° / 29°

0.08

51 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high68° (1987)

Record low5° (2023)

Thu, 2949° / 30°

0.07

49 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high67° (1962)

Record low-12° (1971)

Fri, 3049° / 27°

0.06

49 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high68° (1962)

Record low-14° (1991)

Sat, 3148° / 28°

0.08

48 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high65° (1987)

Record low-9° (1972)

Sun, 0148° / 28°

0.06

48 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (1988)

Record low-10° (2002)

Mon, 0247° / 26°

0.06

47 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high64° (1965)

Record low-15° (1995)

Tue, 0348° / 27°

0.03

48 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high66° (2020)

Record low-13° (1991)

Wed, 0449° / 26°

0.04

49 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high65° (1962)

Record low-1° (1973)

Thu, 0548° / 28°

0.06

48 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (2010)

Record low-14° (2003)

Fri, 0647° / 26°

0.06

47 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (1999)

Record low-11° (2003)

Sat, 0747° / 26°

0.05

47 °

Chance, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high66° (1999)

Record low-3° (1990)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.