As of 13:04 MDT

Weather in Chance, MT

84°

Chance, Friday, 9 October, 13:04

Mostly clear. Feels like 81°. High 84°, low 46°.

Pressure29.59 inHg

Wind11.5 mph SE

Humidity12%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point28°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, MT: average high 59.6°, average low 41.8°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (84°), the coolest 13 October (29.4°).

59.6°/41.8°

Average high / low

+1.5°

Above normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.7 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
9 October – 18 October	56.9°	57.5°	-0.3°
19 October – 28 October	64°	54.6°	+5.2°
29 October – 7 November	at normal	47.9°	—

October records over 66 years

84.6°1 October 2011All-time high

-14.1°30 October 1991All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Clark (9 mi).

Sat, 1072° / 48°

0.01

72 °

Chance, Saturday, 10 October

Light rain. High 72°, low 48°.

Pressure29.56 inHg

Wind4.7 mph NE

Humidity33%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point31°

Sun, 1146° / 36°

0.48

46 °

Chance, Sunday, 11 October

Rain. High 46°, low 36°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind12.1 mph N

Humidity84%

Visibility4.9 mi

Dew point38°

Mon, 1236° / 31°

0.11

36 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Snow. High 36°, low 31°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind11.5 mph N

Humidity89%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point29°

Tue, 1341° / 29°

0.07

41 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 41°, low 29°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind3.1 mph E

Humidity82%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point33°

Wed, 1455° / 39°

0.04

55 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 39°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind3.7 mph S

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Thu, 1554° / 42°

54 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Mostly clear. High 54°, low 42°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind19.3 mph N

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Fri, 1648° / 35°

0.02

48 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Snow. High 48°, low 35°.

Pressure30.62 inHg

Wind22.5 mph N

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Sat, 1767° / 43°

67 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Overcast. High 67°, low 43°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind10.8 mph SE

Humidity24%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Sun, 1865° / 44°

65 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 65°, low 44°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind7.5 mph SE

Humidity29%

Visibility—

Dew point24°

Mon, 1971° / 51°

71 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 71°, low 51°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind9.6 mph SE

Humidity21%

Visibility—

Dew point22°

Tue, 2059° / 50°

59 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 50°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind13.9 mph N

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Wed, 2168° / 45°

68 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 45°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind12 mph SE

Humidity25%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Thu, 2253° / 42°

53 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 42°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind13.8 mph N

Humidity35%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Fri, 2361° / 40°

61 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 61°, low 40°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind13.5 mph SE

Humidity29%

Visibility—

Dew point21°

Sat, 2471° / 48°

71 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Partly cloudy. High 71°, low 48°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind9.3 mph SE

Humidity15%

Visibility—

Dew point14°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sun, 2554° / 32°

0.04

54 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high54°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high70° (2014)

Record low-7° (2020)

Mon, 2653° / 31°

0.06

53 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high53°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high68° (2024)

Record low-8° (2020)

Tue, 2752° / 30°

0.06

52 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high52°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high69° (2024)

Record low0° (1996)

Wed, 2851° / 29°

0.08

51 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high51°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high68° (1987)

Record low5° (2023)

Thu, 2949° / 30°

0.07

49 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high67° (1962)

Record low-12° (1971)

Fri, 3049° / 27°

0.06

49 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high68° (1962)

Record low-14° (1991)

Sat, 3148° / 28°

0.08

48 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high65° (1987)

Record low-9° (1972)

Sun, 0148° / 28°

0.06

48 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (1988)

Record low-10° (2002)

Mon, 0247° / 26°

0.06

47 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high64° (1965)

Record low-15° (1995)

Tue, 0348° / 27°

0.03

48 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high66° (2020)

Record low-13° (1991)

Wed, 0449° / 26°

0.04

49 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high49°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high65° (1962)

Record low-1° (1973)

Thu, 0548° / 28°

0.06

48 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (2010)

Record low-14° (2003)

Fri, 0647° / 26°

0.06

47 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high65° (1999)

Record low-11° (2003)

Sat, 0747° / 26°

0.05

47 °

Chance, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high47°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high66° (1999)

Record low-3° (1990)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.