Monthly outlook for Chance, MT: average high 57.4°, average low 41.8°. That is 0.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 October (84.8°), the coolest 13 October (29.6°).
57.4°/41.8°
Average high / low
+0.3°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 October – 18 October
57.8°
57.5°
+0.2°
19 October – 28 October
56.9°
54.6°
+1.3°
29 October – 7 November
at normal
47.9°
—
October records over 66 years
84.6°1 October 2011All-time high
-14.1°30 October 1991All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Clark (9 mi).
Sat, 1073° / 46°0.03
73 °
Chance, Saturday, 10 October
Light rain. High 73°, low 46°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NE
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 1144° / 38°0.48
44 °
Chance, Sunday, 11 October
Rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity82%
Visibility4.0 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 1238° / 33°0.08
38 °
Chance, Monday, 12 October
Snow. High 38°, low 33°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.9 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point29°
Tue, 1343° / 30°0.02
43 °
Chance, Tuesday, 13 October
Snow. High 43°, low 30°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind4.6 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1458° / 36°0
58 °
Chance, Wednesday, 14 October
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1548° / 37°0.13
48 °
Chance, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind23.6 mph N
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Fri, 1654° / 33°0
54 °
Chance, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 54°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind13 mph SE
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sat, 1768° / 44°0
68 °
Chance, Saturday, 17 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SE
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 1868° / 51°0
68 °
Chance, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SW
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1973° / 50°0
73 °
Chance, Monday, 19 October
Mostly clear. High 73°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind9.3 mph SE
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 2066° / 51°0
66 °
Chance, Tuesday, 20 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 51°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind19.4 mph N
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 2148° / 40°0.14
48 °
Chance, Wednesday, 21 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind20.1 mph N
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2246° / 41°0.02
46 °
Chance, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 2351° / 44°0.02
51 °
Chance, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sat, 2458° / 44°0
58 °
Chance, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.3 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2554° / 32°0.04
54 °
Chance, Sunday, 25 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2014)
Record low-7° (2020)
Mon, 2653° / 31°0.06
53 °
Chance, Monday, 26 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (2024)
Record low-8° (2020)
Tue, 2752° / 30°0.06
52 °
Chance, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (2024)
Record low0° (1996)
Wed, 2851° / 29°0.08
51 °
Chance, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high68° (1987)
Record low5° (2023)
Thu, 2949° / 30°0.07
49 °
Chance, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high67° (1962)
Record low-12° (1971)
Fri, 3049° / 27°0.06
49 °
Chance, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high68° (1962)
Record low-14° (1991)
Sat, 3148° / 28°0.08
48 °
Chance, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high65° (1987)
Record low-9° (1972)
Sun, 0148° / 28°0.06
48 °
Chance, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1988)
Record low-10° (2002)
Mon, 0247° / 26°0.06
47 °
Chance, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (1965)
Record low-15° (1995)
Tue, 0348° / 27°0.03
48 °
Chance, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (2020)
Record low-13° (1991)
Wed, 0449° / 26°0.04
49 °
Chance, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1962)
Record low-1° (1973)
Thu, 0548° / 28°0.06
48 °
Chance, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (2010)
Record low-14° (2003)
Fri, 0647° / 26°0.06
47 °
Chance, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high65° (1999)
Record low-11° (2003)
Sat, 0747° / 26°0.05
47 °
Chance, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low-3° (1990)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, MT are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, MT since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.