As of 08:56 EDT

Weather in Chance, MD

65°

Chance, Thursday, 8 October, 08:56

Clear. Feels like 65°. High 78°, low 57°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind11 mph W

Humidity83%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point60°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, MD: average high 69.6°, average low 59.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 8 October (78.3°), the coolest 9 October (50.4°).

69.6°/59.2°

Average high / low

+1.5°

Above normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.5 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
8 October – 17 October	70.9°	68.1°	+1.6°
18 October – 27 October	67.5°	64.4°	+1.7°
28 October – 6 November	at normal	61.8°	—

October records over 66 years

90.9°2 October 2019All-time high

34°24 October 1969All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Dames Quarter (3 mi).

Fri, 0976° / 50°

76 °

Chance, Friday, 9 October

Overcast. High 76°, low 50°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind2.9 mph SW

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point53°

Sat, 1072° / 53°

72 °

Chance, Saturday, 10 October

Overcast. High 72°, low 53°.

Pressure30.45 inHg

Wind11 mph E

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point54°

Sun, 1169° / 65°

0.28

69 °

Chance, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 69°, low 65°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind17.8 mph E

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point64°

Mon, 1273° / 70°

0.02

73 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 73°, low 70°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind13.3 mph N

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point70°

Tue, 1373° / 68°

0.06

73 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 73°, low 68°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind22.4 mph NW

Humidity84%

Visibility—

Dew point65°

Wed, 1462° / 54°

62 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear. High 62°, low 54°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind20.5 mph N

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Thu, 1564° / 51°

64 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Clear. High 64°, low 51°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind15.2 mph S

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Fri, 1669° / 63°

69 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 69°, low 63°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind16.3 mph S

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Sat, 1773° / 58°

73 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 73°, low 58°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind16.7 mph N

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point56°

Sun, 1865° / 54°

65 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Clear. High 65°, low 54°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind11.7 mph E

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point45°

Mon, 1967° / 62°

67 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 67°, low 62°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind9.3 mph S

Humidity75%

Visibility—

Dew point56°

Tue, 2070° / 65°

0.07

70 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 70°, low 65°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind8.3 mph S

Humidity82%

Visibility—

Dew point61°

Wed, 2166° / 61°

0.06

66 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 61°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind10 mph NE

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point62°

Thu, 2268° / 56°

68 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Clear. High 68°, low 56°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind10.1 mph NE

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point53°

Fri, 2368° / 60°

68 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Overcast. High 68°, low 60°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind9 mph SE

Humidity67%

Visibility—

Dew point55°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 2464° / 53°

0.1

64 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high78° (2007)

Record low34° (1969)

Sun, 2564° / 53°

0.13

64 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high77° (2021)

Record low41° (1962)

Mon, 2663° / 53°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high75° (2023)

Record low39° (1962)

Tue, 2764° / 52°

0.13

64 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high78° (1984)

Record low37° (1976)

Wed, 2863° / 52°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low35° (1976)

Thu, 2962° / 51°

0.22

62 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.22 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high79° (2023)

Record low36° (1965)

Fri, 3061° / 49°

0.11

61 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high79° (2023)

Record low36° (1965)

Sat, 3162° / 51°

0.06

62 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high77° (2019)

Record low37° (1966)

Sun, 0163° / 52°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low38° (1975)

Mon, 0263° / 52°

0.1

63 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high76° (1971)

Record low38° (2023)

Tue, 0362° / 50°

0.09

62 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low50°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high75° (2016)

Record low38° (1980)

Wed, 0461° / 49°

0.09

61 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high74° (2003)

Record low37° (2006)

Thu, 0561° / 50°

0.1

61 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low50°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high76° (2022)

Record low34° (2006)

Fri, 0660° / 49°

0.09

60 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high76° (2022)

Record low35° (1967)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.