As of 09:25 EDT

Weather in Chance, MD

60°

Chance, Saturday, 10 October, 09:25

Overcast. Feels like 60°. High 69°, low 53°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind10.7 mph NE

Humidity94%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point57°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Chance, MD: average high 65.6°, average low 55.1°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (74.5°), the coolest 19 October (40.5°).

65.6°/55.1°

Average high / low

−0.3°

Below normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

1.3 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
10 October – 19 October	67.6°	67.3°	+0.2°
20 October – 29 October	62.3°	63.9°	-0.9°
30 October – 8 November	at normal	61.1°	—

October records over 66 years

90.9°2 October 2019All-time high

34°24 October 1969All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Dames Quarter (3 mi).

Sun, 1170° / 58°

1.01

70 °

Chance, Sunday, 11 October

Heavy rain. High 70°, low 58°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind20.3 mph SE

Humidity90%

Visibility2.1 mi

Dew point67°

Mon, 1272° / 62°

0.05

72 °

Chance, Monday, 12 October

Light rain. High 72°, low 62°.

Pressure29.77 inHg

Wind25.5 mph NW

Humidity83%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point62°

Tue, 1373° / 67°

73 °

Chance, Tuesday, 13 October

Clear. High 73°, low 67°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind4.9 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point63°

Wed, 1475° / 70°

75 °

Chance, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear. High 75°, low 70°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind15.7 mph N

Humidity81%

Visibility—

Dew point66°

Thu, 1568° / 61°

68 °

Chance, Thursday, 15 October

Clear. High 68°, low 61°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind17.4 mph N

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point51°

Fri, 1672° / 60°

0.02

72 °

Chance, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 72°, low 60°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind21.3 mph S

Humidity79%

Visibility—

Dew point58°

Sat, 1771° / 51°

0.04

71 °

Chance, Saturday, 17 October

Light rain. High 71°, low 51°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind18.6 mph NW

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Sun, 1854° / 46°

54 °

Chance, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 54°, low 46°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind19 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

Mon, 1954° / 40°

54 °

Chance, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure30.53 inHg

Wind14.6 mph N

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point26°

Tue, 2059° / 44°

59 °

Chance, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 59°, low 44°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind8 mph E

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Wed, 2164° / 50°

64 °

Chance, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 64°, low 50°.

Pressure30.47 inHg

Wind9.6 mph SE

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Thu, 2266° / 59°

0.11

66 °

Chance, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind11.9 mph S

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point55°

Fri, 2363° / 57°

0.01

63 °

Chance, Friday, 23 October

Light rain. High 63°, low 57°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind10.2 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Sat, 2463° / 54°

63 °

Chance, Saturday, 24 October

Clear. High 63°, low 54°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind16 mph NW

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Sun, 2560° / 49°

60 °

Chance, Sunday, 25 October

Mostly clear. High 60°, low 49°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind17.1 mph SE

Humidity50%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Mon, 2663° / 53°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low53°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high75° (2023)

Record low39° (1962)

Tue, 2764° / 52°

0.13

64 °

Chance, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high64°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.13 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high78° (1984)

Record low37° (1976)

Wed, 2863° / 52°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high78° (2023)

Record low35° (1976)

Thu, 2962° / 51°

0.22

62 °

Chance, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.22 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high79° (2023)

Record low36° (1965)

Fri, 3061° / 49°

0.11

61 °

Chance, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.11 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high79° (2023)

Record low36° (1965)

Sat, 3162° / 51°

0.06

62 °

Chance, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low51°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high77° (2019)

Record low37° (1966)

Sun, 0163° / 52°

0.12

63 °

Chance, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.12 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low38° (1975)

Mon, 0263° / 52°

0.1

63 °

Chance, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high63°

Average low52°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high76° (1971)

Record low38° (2023)

Tue, 0362° / 50°

0.09

62 °

Chance, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high62°

Average low50°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high75° (2016)

Record low38° (1980)

Wed, 0461° / 49°

0.09

61 °

Chance, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation33%

Record high74° (2003)

Record low37° (2006)

Thu, 0561° / 50°

0.1

61 °

Chance, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high61°

Average low50°

Average precipitation0.1 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high76° (2022)

Record low34° (2006)

Fri, 0660° / 49°

0.09

60 °

Chance, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high60°

Average low49°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high76° (2022)

Record low35° (1967)

Sat, 0759° / 48°

0.07

59 °

Chance, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high59°

Average low48°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high76° (2024)

Record low34° (1991)

Sun, 0859° / 47°

0.08

59 °

Chance, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high59°

Average low47°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high72° (1986)

Record low33° (1960)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chance, MD are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chance, MD since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.