Weather in Monterey, VA
Monterey, Sunday, 11 October, 19:02
Overcast. Feels like 55°. High 56°, low 51°.
Monthly outlook for Monterey, VA: average high 61.2°, average low 43.2°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 14 October (74.8°), the coolest 18 October (23.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 60.6° | 59.8° | +0.4° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 62.2° | 56.5° | +3.2° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 53.5° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arbovale (13 mi).
0Monterey, Monday, 12 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 49°.
0
Monterey, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 74°, low 49°.
0.06
Monterey, Wednesday, 14 October
Light rain. High 75°, low 58°.
0.08Monterey, Thursday, 15 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 58°.
0.24Monterey, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 67°, low 44°.
0.01
Monterey, Saturday, 17 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 26°.
0Monterey, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 51°, low 23°.
0Monterey, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 31°.
0Monterey, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 64°, low 37°.
0Monterey, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 40°.
0Monterey, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 59°, low 38°.
0Monterey, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
0Monterey, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.
0Monterey, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 49°.
0.19Monterey, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 63°, low 45°.
0.15
Monterey, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Monterey, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19
Monterey, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Monterey, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Monterey, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Monterey, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Monterey, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Monterey, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18Monterey, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Monterey, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Monterey, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Monterey, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Monterey, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Monterey, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Monterey, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Monterey, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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