Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, MO: average high 61.7°, average low 45.5°. That is 4.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (70.8°), the coolest 13 November (30.3°).
61.7°/45.5°
Average high / low
+4.7°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
61.1°
54.2°
+3.8°
18 November – 27 November
62.8°
50.4°
+6.9°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
44.9°
—
November records over 66 years
78.4°1 November 2016All-time high
9.1°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mayview (15 mi).
Mon, 0967° / 38°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 67°, low 38°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SW
Humidity74%
Visibility1.1 mi
Dew point53°
Tue, 1067° / 46°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind3.8 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Wed, 1162° / 50°0
62 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 62°, low 50°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind15.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 1247° / 40°0
47 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 1344° / 30°0
44 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.9 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sat, 1457° / 31°0
57 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 31°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Sun, 1567° / 43°0
67 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 67°, low 43°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.3 mph SW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Mon, 1669° / 48°0
69 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Tue, 1768° / 54°0.09
68 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Wed, 1867° / 58°0.34
67 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 58°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Thu, 1971° / 61°0.22
71 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind18.6 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 2062° / 53°0.54
62 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Rain. High 62°, low 53°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.3 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2156° / 45°0
56 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 2258° / 43°0.02
58 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.6 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2363° / 52°0.13
63 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 52°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.8 mph S
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2449° / 34°0.07
49 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low15° (2013)
Wed, 2549° / 34°0.07
49 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low20° (2004)
Thu, 2649° / 34°0.14
49 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high74° (1965)
Record low15° (1977)
Fri, 2746° / 33°0.13
46 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1960)
Record low12° (2018)
Sat, 2845° / 31°0.05
45 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low14° (2018)
Sun, 2947° / 33°0.09
47 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low14° (1976)
Mon, 3046° / 31°0.09
46 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1970)
Record low9° (1964)
Tue, 0146° / 31°0.09
46 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low4° (1985)
Wed, 0246° / 31°0.07
46 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low1° (1985)
Thu, 0345° / 31°0.06
45 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low4° (1985)
Fri, 0444° / 30°0.07
44 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (2017)
Record low1° (2006)
Sat, 0545° / 30°0.05
45 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high68° (1998)
Record low2° (1964)
Sun, 0642° / 29°0.06
42 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high64° (1980)
Record low7° (1972)
Mon, 0742° / 28°0.04
42 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high64° (1991)
Record low4° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.