Weather in Chapel Hill, MO
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November, 11:58
Overcast. Feels like 40°. High 46°, low 25°.
Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, MO: average high 55.1°, average low 39.5°. That is 2.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (69.2°), the coolest 14 November (25.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 November – 23 November | 56.2° | 52.5° | +2.1° |
| 24 November – 3 December | 53.3° | 46.9° | +3.5° |
| 4 December – 13 December | at normal | 42.8° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Mayview (15 mi).
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 28°.
0
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 31°.
0Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
0Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
0.03
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 54°.
0.05Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 56°.
0.2Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 65°, low 48°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 49°, low 37°.
0
Chapel Hill, Monday, 23 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 33°.
0.2Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 24 November
Rain. High 51°, low 35°.
0.15Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 44°.
0.02Chapel Hill, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
0.93Chapel Hill, Friday, 27 November
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 51°.
0Chapel Hill, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
0Chapel Hill, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 47°, low 28°.
0.09
Chapel Hill, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Chapel Hill, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chapel Hill, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Chapel Hill, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Chapel Hill, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Chapel Hill, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Chapel Hill, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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