Monthly outlook for Tarsney Lakes, MO: average high 50.1°, average low 36.6°. That is 0.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (65.6°), the coolest 24 November (24.6°).
50.1°/36.6°
Average high / low
+0.1°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
53.7°
51.9°
+1°
25 November – 4 December
44.3°
46.1°
-1°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
42.5°
—
November records over 66 years
77.7°4 November 1978All-time high
9.9°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Independence (12 mi).
Mon, 1654° / 28°0
54 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 28°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind6.5 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1757° / 38°0
57 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1861° / 44°0
61 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Thu, 1959° / 53°0
59 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.1 mph SW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2066° / 52°0
66 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 66°, low 52°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.1 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 2158° / 48°0.59
58 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 21 November
Rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind23.8 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 2247° / 37°0.01
47 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 2340° / 31°0
40 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 40°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind9.9 mph NE
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 2441° / 25°0
41 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 25°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.2 mph SE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2545° / 31°0
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind11.9 mph S
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2642° / 39°0.45
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 26 November
Rain. High 42°, low 39°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.5 mph E
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 2743° / 34°1.27
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 43°, low 34°.
Pressure29.32 inHg
Wind22.8 mph NW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2840° / 35°0.1
40 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 28 November
Snow. High 40°, low 35°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind24.7 mph NW
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 2945° / 31°0
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 29 November
Mostly clear. High 45°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.8 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 3051° / 34°0
51 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0146° / 31°0.08
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low3° (1985)
Wed, 0246° / 31°0.04
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low0° (1985)
Thu, 0345° / 31°0.07
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low2° (1985)
Fri, 0444° / 30°0.06
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low11° (2006)
Sat, 0545° / 31°0.05
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0642° / 29°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low6° (1972)
Mon, 0742° / 29°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0843° / 28°0.06
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low8° (2005)
Wed, 0942° / 27°0.1
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1965)
Record low-7° (2005)
Thu, 1042° / 27°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-4° (1995)
Fri, 1142° / 27°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1965)
Record low-3° (1972)
Sat, 1242° / 29°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high63° (1991)
Record low-2° (2000)
Sun, 1343° / 29°0.1
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high63° (1975)
Record low-11° (1961)
Mon, 1443° / 28°0.11
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high64° (2021)
Record low4° (1963)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarsney Lakes, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarsney Lakes, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.