Monthly outlook for Tarsney Lakes, MO: average high 48.8°, average low 31.9°. That is 1.1° below the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (67.7°), the coolest 24 November (14°).
48.8°/31.9°
Average high / low
−1.1°
Below normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
54.6°
52.6°
+1.2°
23 November – 2 December
39°
47.1°
-4.5°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
42.9°
—
November records over 66 years
77.7°4 November 1978All-time high
9.9°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Independence (12 mi).
Sat, 1448° / 27°0
48 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 27°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point28°
Sun, 1550° / 29°0
50 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 50°, low 29°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Mon, 1654° / 33°0
54 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 54°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1757° / 39°0
57 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Wed, 1861° / 43°0
61 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind16.2 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 1959° / 50°0.05
59 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.9 mph S
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2068° / 54°0.08
68 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 68°, low 54°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind18.2 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 2163° / 38°0.02
63 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 38°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind21.5 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sun, 2241° / 30°0
41 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 41°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Mon, 2329° / 17°0
29 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 29°, low 17°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind17 mph N
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point0°
Tue, 2430° / 14°0
30 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 30°, low 14°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point-1°
Wed, 2538° / 17°0
38 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 25 November
Clear. High 38°, low 17°.
Pressure30.68 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point-3°
Thu, 2646° / 23°0
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 26 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 23°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind16.4 mph SW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Fri, 2751° / 31°0
51 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Sat, 2841° / 37°0.06
41 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 28 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.11
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low14° (1976)
Mon, 3046° / 32°0.09
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1970)
Record low10° (1964)
Tue, 0146° / 31°0.08
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low3° (1985)
Wed, 0246° / 31°0.04
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low0° (1985)
Thu, 0345° / 31°0.07
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low2° (1985)
Fri, 0444° / 30°0.06
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low11° (2006)
Sat, 0545° / 31°0.05
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0642° / 29°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low6° (1972)
Mon, 0742° / 29°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0843° / 28°0.06
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low8° (2005)
Wed, 0942° / 27°0.1
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1965)
Record low-7° (2005)
Thu, 1042° / 27°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-4° (1995)
Fri, 1142° / 27°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1965)
Record low-3° (1972)
Sat, 1242° / 29°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high63° (1991)
Record low-2° (2000)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarsney Lakes, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarsney Lakes, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.