Monthly outlook for Tarsney Lakes, MO: average high 98.1°, average low 74.6°. That is 6.9° above the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 August (113.4°), the coolest 15 August (68.4°).
98.1°/74.6°
Average high / low
+6.9°
Above normal
4 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
92.3°
85.7°
+3.6°
19 August – 28 August
107.9°
85.9°
+12.2°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
83.2°
—
August records over 66 years
106.2°2 August 2011All-time high
52.7°12 August 2004All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Independence (12 mi).
Mon, 1094° / 77°0
94 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 10 August
Overcast. High 94°, low 77°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Tue, 1199° / 71°0.06
99 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 11 August
Rain. High 99°, low 71°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind16.5 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point72°
Wed, 1290° / 72°0.06
90 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 90°, low 72°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind5 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point71°
Thu, 1394° / 71°0
94 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 13 August
Overcast. High 94°, low 71°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind21.8 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Fri, 1483° / 69°0
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 14 August
Light rain. High 83°, low 69°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind15.9 mph E
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Sat, 1588° / 68°0
88 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 15 August
Overcast. High 88°, low 68°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14 mph E
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Sun, 1691° / 70°0
91 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 16 August
Partly cloudy. High 91°, low 70°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NE
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point69°
Mon, 1781° / 71°0.06
81 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 81°, low 71°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.4 mph E
Humidity78%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Tue, 18103° / 72°0
103 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 18 August
Mostly clear. High 103°, low 72°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SE
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Wed, 19111° / 83°0
111 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 19 August
Clear. High 111°, low 83°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind13.8 mph S
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Thu, 20113° / 84°0
113 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 20 August
Clear. High 113°, low 84°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind15.5 mph SW
Humidity19%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 21106° / 77°0
106 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 21 August
Partly cloudy. High 106°, low 77°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SE
Humidity31%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Sat, 22110° / 85°0.01
110 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 22 August
Light rain. High 110°, low 85°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14.8 mph SW
Humidity20%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 23106° / 77°0.02
106 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 106°, low 77°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.6 mph SW
Humidity28%
Visibility—
Dew point61°
Mon, 24100° / 71°0.07
100 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 24 August
Light rain. High 100°, low 71°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.1 mph E
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2587° / 69°0.14
87 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high87°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high100° (2023)
Record low58° (2015)
Wed, 2686° / 69°0.2
86 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low69°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high100° (1983)
Record low56° (2025)
Thu, 2786° / 70°0.07
86 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high86°
Average low70°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high101° (1983)
Record low57° (1967)
Fri, 2885° / 68°0.08
85 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high100° (1984)
Record low53° (1986)
Sat, 2985° / 68°0.13
85 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high102° (1984)
Record low56° (1986)
Sun, 3084° / 68°0.14
84 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high98° (2000)
Record low55° (2009)
Mon, 3184° / 67°0.17
84 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high100° (2000)
Record low56° (1967)
Tue, 0183° / 67°0.16
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high99° (2011)
Record low53° (1967)
Wed, 0283° / 67°0.13
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high98° (2000)
Record low52° (1974)
Thu, 0383° / 67°0.09
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high96° (2000)
Record low48° (1974)
Fri, 0483° / 67°0.11
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high94° (1990)
Record low47° (1974)
Sat, 0583° / 66°0.1
83 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high96° (2023)
Record low48° (1974)
Sun, 0682° / 66°0.09
82 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high97° (1990)
Record low52° (2025)
Mon, 0782° / 65°0.12
82 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high95° (2013)
Record low52° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarsney Lakes, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarsney Lakes, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.