Monthly outlook for Tarsney Lakes, MO: average high 61.8°, average low 44.7°. That is 4.3° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (76°), the coolest 7 November (33.9°).
61.8°/44.7°
Average high / low
+4.3°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
5 November – 14 November
60.4°
54.8°
+3.1°
15 November – 24 November
64.3°
51.9°
+6.9°
25 November – 4 December
at normal
46.1°
—
November records over 66 years
77.7°4 November 1978All-time high
9.9°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Independence (12 mi).
Fri, 0654° / 41°0
54 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point39°
Sat, 0755° / 34°0
55 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.5 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Sun, 0865° / 41°0
65 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Mon, 0964° / 45°0
64 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Tue, 1064° / 46°0
64 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind8.6 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Wed, 1159° / 43°0
59 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 59°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1254° / 35°0
54 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1365° / 41°0
65 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind10.5 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 1466° / 46°0
66 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind3.8 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 1574° / 47°0.02
74 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 74°, low 47°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind16.3 mph S
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Mon, 1676° / 64°0
76 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 76°, low 64°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind22.8 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Tue, 1773° / 59°0.09
73 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 73°, low 59°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind19.3 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 1859° / 51°0.25
59 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 59°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 1950° / 43°0
50 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 43°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.3 mph NE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2054° / 36°0
54 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 54°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2151° / 36°0.06
51 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low14° (1964)
Sun, 2250° / 36°0.06
50 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high72° (1966)
Record low19° (1964)
Mon, 2350° / 35°0.08
50 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1966)
Record low15° (1970)
Tue, 2449° / 34°0.07
49 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high68° (1966)
Record low15° (2013)
Wed, 2548° / 34°0.07
48 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (1990)
Record low15° (2004)
Thu, 2649° / 35°0.11
49 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1990)
Record low15° (2018)
Fri, 2746° / 32°0.12
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low12° (2018)
Sat, 2844° / 31°0.05
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (2006)
Record low15° (1976)
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.11
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low14° (1976)
Mon, 3046° / 32°0.09
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1970)
Record low10° (1964)
Tue, 0146° / 31°0.08
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low3° (1985)
Wed, 0246° / 31°0.04
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low0° (1985)
Thu, 0345° / 31°0.07
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low2° (1985)
Fri, 0444° / 30°0.06
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low11° (2006)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarsney Lakes, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarsney Lakes, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.