Monthly outlook for Tarsney Lakes, MO: average high 53.3°, average low 39.5°. That is 1.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.3 inches. The warmest day looks like 19 November (69.1°), the coolest 25 November (27.1°).
53.3°/39.5°
Average high / low
+1.2°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
55.4°
52.7°
+1.5°
22 November – 1 December
49.9°
47.5°
+1.3°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
43.3°
—
November records over 66 years
77.7°4 November 1978All-time high
9.9°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Independence (12 mi).
Fri, 1345° / 32°0
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 45°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Sat, 1446° / 27°0
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 27°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1550° / 29°0
50 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 29°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 1653° / 33°0
53 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 53°, low 33°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind8 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Tue, 1756° / 38°0
56 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.6 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1860° / 45°0
60 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1969° / 55°0.07
69 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 55°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind21.4 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 2062° / 56°0.07
62 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 56°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11 mph S
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Sat, 2166° / 59°0.14
66 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 59°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.4 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sun, 2266° / 60°0.63
66 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 66°, low 60°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind18.9 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Mon, 2358° / 44°1.51
58 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 23 November
Heavy rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind18.6 mph N
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 2440° / 32°0.23
40 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 24 November
Snow. High 40°, low 32°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind23 mph NW
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 2537° / 27°0
37 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 27°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind10.8 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Thu, 2644° / 29°0.01
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 26 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SE
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2753° / 27°0.65
53 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 53°, low 27°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind19 mph S
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2844° / 31°0.05
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high68° (2006)
Record low15° (1976)
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.11
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high70° (1998)
Record low14° (1976)
Mon, 3046° / 32°0.09
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1970)
Record low10° (1964)
Tue, 0146° / 31°0.08
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (1970)
Record low3° (1985)
Wed, 0246° / 31°0.04
46 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low0° (1985)
Thu, 0345° / 31°0.07
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2012)
Record low2° (1985)
Fri, 0444° / 30°0.06
44 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high67° (2017)
Record low11° (2006)
Sat, 0545° / 31°0.05
45 °
Tarsney Lakes, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high67° (1998)
Record low3° (1964)
Sun, 0642° / 29°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high63° (1980)
Record low6° (1972)
Mon, 0742° / 29°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high63° (1966)
Record low9° (1972)
Tue, 0843° / 28°0.06
43 °
Tarsney Lakes, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high66° (1991)
Record low8° (2005)
Wed, 0942° / 27°0.1
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high60° (1965)
Record low-7° (2005)
Thu, 1042° / 27°0.06
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high65° (2021)
Record low-4° (1995)
Fri, 1142° / 27°0.04
42 °
Tarsney Lakes, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1965)
Record low-3° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Tarsney Lakes, MO are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Tarsney Lakes, MO since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.