Weather in Gainesville, VA
Gainesville, Sunday, 11 October, 10:17
Heavy rain. Feels like 59°. High 70°, low 60°.
Monthly outlook for Gainesville, VA: average high 66.2°, average low 47.1°. That is 0.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (83.2°), the coolest 19 October (32.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 October – 20 October | 68.4° | 66.6° | +1° |
| 21 October – 30 October | 62.6° | 63° | -0.3° |
| 31 October – 9 November | at normal | 60.2° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bull Run (6 mi).
0.12Gainesville, Monday, 12 October
Rain. High 77°, low 59°.
0
Gainesville, Tuesday, 13 October
Clear. High 79°, low 54°.
0
Gainesville, Wednesday, 14 October
Mostly clear. High 82°, low 62°.
0
Gainesville, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 63°.
0.02Gainesville, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 83°, low 57°.
0Gainesville, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 52°, low 36°.
0Gainesville, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 48°, low 33°.
0Gainesville, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 33°.
0Gainesville, Tuesday, 20 October
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 38°.
0Gainesville, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 64°, low 43°.
0Gainesville, Thursday, 22 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
0Gainesville, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
0Gainesville, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 44°.
0Gainesville, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 61°, low 46°.
0.24Gainesville, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 66°, low 42°.
0.14
Gainesville, Tuesday, 27 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Gainesville, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.22Gainesville, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Gainesville, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Gainesville, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Gainesville, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Gainesville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Gainesville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Gainesville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Gainesville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Gainesville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Gainesville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Gainesville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Gainesville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Gainesville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Gainesville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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