Weather in Gainesville, VA
Gainesville, Saturday, 17 October, 05:32
Rain. Feels like 54°. High 60°, low 46°.
Monthly outlook for Gainesville, VA: average high 62.5°, average low 43.1°. That is 0.5° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (68.6°), the coolest 28 October (36.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 October – 26 October | 63° | 64.1° | -0.6° |
| 27 October – 5 November | 61.6° | 61.6° | +0° |
| 6 November – 15 November | at normal | 56.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Bull Run (6 mi).
0
Gainesville, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 59°, low 40°.
0Gainesville, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 64°, low 40°.
0Gainesville, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 50°.
0
Gainesville, Wednesday, 21 October
Mostly clear. High 62°, low 47°.
0Gainesville, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
0
Gainesville, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 46°.
0Gainesville, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
0Gainesville, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 63°, low 41°.
0Gainesville, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
0Gainesville, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 58°, low 44°.
0Gainesville, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 37°.
0Gainesville, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 40°.
0Gainesville, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 44°.
0Gainesville, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
0Gainesville, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 45°.
0.11
Gainesville, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Gainesville, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Gainesville, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Gainesville, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Gainesville, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Gainesville, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Gainesville, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Gainesville, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Gainesville, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.19Gainesville, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.23
Gainesville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Gainesville, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Gainesville, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Gainesville, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Gainesville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Gainesville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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