Monthly outlook for Nokesville, VA: average high 58.1°, average low 38.6°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 0 days (about 0.0 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (67.2°), the coolest 25 November (26.6°).
58.1°/38.6°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
0 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
57.5°
53.8°
+2.1°
25 November – 4 December
59.3°
51.4°
+4.4°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
46.9°
—
November records over 66 years
82.2°1 November 1974All-time high
9.3°24 November 1989All-time low
Mon, 1654° / 42°0
54 °
Nokesville, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.8 mph N
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 1758° / 38°0
58 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 38°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.4 mph NW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 1862° / 37°0
62 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind1.1 mph SW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Thu, 1965° / 37°0
65 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Fri, 2067° / 42°0
67 °
Nokesville, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 67°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.2 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2161° / 43°0
61 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 21 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2264° / 41°0
64 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 41°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.2 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2350° / 37°0
50 °
Nokesville, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 2443° / 27°0
43 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 43°, low 27°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind10.7 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Wed, 2550° / 27°0
50 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 25 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 27°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Thu, 2655° / 31°0
55 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 26 November
Clear. High 55°, low 31°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind3.6 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 2760° / 38°0
60 °
Nokesville, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 60°, low 38°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind2.9 mph SW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2863° / 44°0
63 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 44°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind3.7 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2965° / 46°0
65 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Mon, 3062° / 46°0
62 °
Nokesville, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0250° / 34°0.09
50 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (1970)
Record low12° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Nokesville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low19° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 35°0.15
48 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 34°0.1
48 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low12° (2002)
Mon, 0747° / 33°0.13
47 °
Nokesville, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low5° (2002)
Tue, 0847° / 33°0.06
47 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (1978)
Record low17° (2002)
Wed, 0946° / 33°0.19
46 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low16° (1989)
Thu, 1047° / 33°0.16
47 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (1966)
Record low9° (1989)
Fri, 1147° / 33°0.16
47 °
Nokesville, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high68° (2021)
Record low17° (1995)
Sat, 1247° / 33°0.07
47 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2015)
Record low11° (1962)
Sun, 1346° / 32°0.1
46 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low8° (1960)
Mon, 1446° / 32°0.13
46 °
Nokesville, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low-2° (1960)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nokesville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nokesville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.