Monthly outlook for Nokesville, VA: average high 57.3°, average low 42.1°. That is 1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (67.7°), the coolest 18 November (30.4°).
57.3°/42.1°
Average high / low
+1°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
56.3°
56.7°
-0.2°
17 November – 26 November
58.9°
53.3°
+3.1°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
50.4°
—
November records over 66 years
82.2°1 November 1974All-time high
9.3°24 November 1989All-time low
Sun, 0862° / 46°0
62 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.9 mph SW
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0961° / 47°0
61 °
Nokesville, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point36°
Tue, 1065° / 41°0
65 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Wed, 1163° / 47°0
63 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 63°, low 47°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind3.1 mph SW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 1258° / 48°0.32
58 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind5.6 mph SE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Fri, 1348° / 37°0.11
48 °
Nokesville, Friday, 13 November
Snow. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure29.50 inHg
Wind18.6 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 1442° / 35°0.05
42 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind12.8 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sun, 1550° / 37°0.02
50 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 15 November
Light rain. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind15.6 mph NW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1658° / 36°0
58 °
Nokesville, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 1754° / 37°0
54 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 54°, low 37°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1850° / 30°0
50 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SE
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 1956° / 38°0.01
56 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 38°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2064° / 46°0
64 °
Nokesville, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 64°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Sat, 2168° / 51°0
68 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 68°, low 51°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sun, 2263° / 55°0.16
63 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 22 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 55°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind9.6 mph SW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2352° / 37°0.06
52 °
Nokesville, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low17° (1989)
Tue, 2453° / 37°0.14
53 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1979)
Record low9° (1989)
Wed, 2553° / 37°0.08
53 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high74° (1973)
Record low21° (1970)
Thu, 2654° / 38°0.13
54 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2025)
Record low23° (1971)
Fri, 2753° / 38°0.1
53 °
Nokesville, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high68° (1973)
Record low26° (1974)
Sat, 2854° / 38°0.16
54 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1990)
Record low26° (1996)
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.12
51 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Nokesville, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (2001)
Record low22° (1976)
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Nokesville, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0250° / 34°0.09
50 °
Nokesville, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (1970)
Record low12° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Nokesville, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Nokesville, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low19° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 35°0.15
48 °
Nokesville, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 34°0.1
48 °
Nokesville, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low12° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nokesville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nokesville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.