Weather in Nokesville, VA
Nokesville, Tuesday, 27 October, 04:05
Clear. Feels like 47°. High 70°, low 49°.
Monthly outlook for Nokesville, VA: average high 59.9°, average low 45.1°. That is 0.4° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 3.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (74.8°), the coolest 8 November (31.4°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 64.4° | 61.9° | +1.4° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 52.5° | 57.1° | -2.6° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 53.4° | — |
October records over 66 years
0
Nokesville, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 68°, low 45°.
0
Nokesville, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 70°, low 47°.
0Nokesville, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 75°, low 50°.
0Nokesville, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
0.09
Nokesville, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 51°.
1.74Nokesville, Monday, 2 November
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 58°.
0.07Nokesville, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 51°.
0.06Nokesville, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
1.19Nokesville, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 64°, low 54°.
0Nokesville, Friday, 6 November
Clear. High 52°, low 36°.
0Nokesville, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 50°, low 32°.
0Nokesville, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
0Nokesville, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 32°.
0.02Nokesville, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 44°.
0.02Nokesville, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 48°.
0.23
Nokesville, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1
Nokesville, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Nokesville, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Nokesville, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Nokesville, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Nokesville, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Nokesville, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Nokesville, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Nokesville, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Nokesville, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Nokesville, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Nokesville, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.14Nokesville, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Nokesville, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Nokesville, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Nokesville, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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