Weather in Bull Run, VA
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November, 17:12
Overcast. Feels like 46°. High 51°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 59.1°, average low 42.3°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.6 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 November (68.2°), the coolest 24 November (32.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 58° | 53.4° | +2.5° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 60.9° | 51° | +5.5° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 46.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
0
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 40°.
0
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 58°, low 37°.
0Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 63°, low 35°.
0Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
0Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 67°, low 41°.
0Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
0.26
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Rain. High 56°, low 53°.
0Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 56°, low 42°.
0Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 50°, low 33°.
0Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 36°.
0Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
0.28Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Rain. High 68°, low 55°.
0Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 59°, low 46°.
0Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Clear. High 59°, low 42°.
1.04Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Heavy rain. High 66°, low 47°.
0.17
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bull Run, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bull Run, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bull Run, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bull Run, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bull Run, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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