Weather in Bull Run, VA
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November, 10:12
Overcast. Feels like 43°. High 50°, low 41°.
Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 56.5°, average low 39.8°. That is 2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 November (68.2°), the coolest 30 November (33.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 57.8° | 53.4° | +2.4° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 54.4° | 51° | +1.9° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 46.4° | — |
November records over 66 years
0
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 41°.
0
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
0Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 62°, low 35°.
0Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 65°, low 37°.
0Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 68°, low 41°.
0Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
0Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 46°.
0Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 40°.
0
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Mostly clear. High 50°, low 36°.
0Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 35°.
0Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Partly cloudy. High 56°, low 35°.
0.04
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 40°.
0.31Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Rain. High 62°, low 53°.
0Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 56°, low 41°.
0Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 34°.
0.17Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.15Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.18
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bull Run, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Bull Run, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Bull Run, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Bull Run, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Bull Run, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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