Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 84.2°, average low 65.5°. That is 0.3° below the climate normal for August. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 6 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 August (94.5°), the coolest 22 August (56.9°).
84.2°/65.5°
Average high / low
−0.3°
Below normal
7 / 6
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 August – 18 August
84°
85.4°
-0.8°
19 August – 28 August
84.6°
84.1°
+0.3°
29 August – 7 September
at normal
82.9°
—
August records over 66 years
100.9°20 August 1962All-time high
50.5°30 August 1986All-time low
Mon, 1093° / 72°0.24
93 °
Bull Run, Monday, 10 August
Rain. High 93°, low 72°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.9 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point64°
Tue, 1190° / 68°0.44
90 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 11 August
Heavy rain. High 90°, low 68°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind5.3 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point66°
Wed, 1293° / 69°0.11
93 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 12 August
Light rain. High 93°, low 69°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind4.2 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point65°
Thu, 1385° / 70°0.02
85 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 13 August
Light rain. High 85°, low 70°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Fri, 1473° / 59°0
73 °
Bull Run, Friday, 14 August
Overcast. High 73°, low 59°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind8.1 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 1582° / 59°0
82 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 15 August
Clear. High 82°, low 59°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 1684° / 59°0
84 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 16 August
Partly cloudy. High 84°, low 59°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Mon, 1774° / 64°0.06
74 °
Bull Run, Monday, 17 August
Light rain. High 74°, low 64°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Tue, 1875° / 66°0.06
75 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 18 August
Light rain. High 75°, low 66°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity75%
Visibility—
Dew point66°
Wed, 1984° / 67°0.02
84 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 19 August
Light rain. High 84°, low 67°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point65°
Thu, 2082° / 67°0.26
82 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 20 August
Light rain. High 82°, low 67°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Fri, 2181° / 62°0
81 °
Bull Run, Friday, 21 August
Clear. High 81°, low 62°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.1 mph NW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2283° / 57°0
83 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 22 August
Partly cloudy. High 83°, low 57°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.4 mph SE
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2382° / 66°0.12
82 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 23 August
Light rain. High 82°, low 66°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind13.7 mph SW
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point70°
Mon, 2494° / 69°0
94 °
Bull Run, Monday, 24 August
Clear. High 94°, low 69°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.5 mph NW
Humidity35%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2585° / 67°0.07
85 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 25 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high97° (2007)
Record low56° (1971)
Wed, 2685° / 67°0.04
85 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 26 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high95° (1975)
Record low57° (1963)
Thu, 2785° / 68°0.13
85 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 27 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high97° (1987)
Record low59° (2025)
Fri, 2885° / 68°0.16
85 °
Bull Run, Friday, 28 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high98° (2024)
Record low57° (2025)
Sat, 2984° / 68°0.12
84 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 29 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low68°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high95° (1973)
Record low52° (1986)
Sun, 3085° / 67°0.06
85 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 30 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high85°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high96° (2022)
Record low51° (1986)
Mon, 3184° / 67°0.09
84 °
Bull Run, Monday, 31 August
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high84°
Average low67°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high95° (1973)
Record low53° (1986)
Tue, 0182° / 66°0.13
82 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high96° (2010)
Record low55° (1967)
Wed, 0283° / 65°0.08
83 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high96° (1980)
Record low55° (1967)
Thu, 0383° / 66°0.1
83 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high98° (2023)
Record low52° (1967)
Fri, 0483° / 66°0.1
83 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high83°
Average low66°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high98° (2023)
Record low52° (2024)
Sat, 0582° / 65°0.15
82 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 5 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high99° (2023)
Record low54° (1997)
Sun, 0682° / 65°0.26
82 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 6 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low65°
Average precipitation0.26 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high98° (2023)
Record low54° (2000)
Mon, 0782° / 64°0.11
82 °
Bull Run, Monday, 7 September
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high82°
Average low64°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high94° (1998)
Record low52° (1984)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.