Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 58.4°, average low 40.8°. That is 2.7° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.6 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 November (69.6°), the coolest 14 November (32.7°).
58.4°/40.8°
Average high / low
+2.7°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 November – 21 November
56.8°
54.2°
+1.4°
22 November – 1 December
61.1°
51.7°
+5.2°
2 December – 11 December
at normal
47.6°
—
November records over 66 years
81.7°1 November 1974All-time high
13.6°24 November 1989All-time low
Fri, 1353° / 39°0
53 °
Bull Run, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 39°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.6 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sat, 1449° / 33°0
49 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind16.4 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1551° / 41°0
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind15 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Mon, 1652° / 37°0
52 °
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 37°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 1755° / 36°0
55 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Wed, 1858° / 36°0
58 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.53 inHg
Wind4.1 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Thu, 1959° / 38°0
59 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 59°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2065° / 41°0
65 °
Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2166° / 45°0
66 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2262° / 44°0
62 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.5 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 2367° / 46°0
67 °
Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.6 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Tue, 2470° / 49°0
70 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 49°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Wed, 2562° / 47°0.16
62 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Light rain. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind14 mph NW
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Thu, 2650° / 39°0
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2755° / 35°0
55 °
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.5 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.16
53 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low25° (2014)
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.12
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.09
49 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low14° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 34°0.15
48 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 34°0.1
48 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low15° (2002)
Mon, 0747° / 33°0.13
47 °
Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low6° (2002)
Tue, 0846° / 33°0.06
46 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low18° (2005)
Wed, 0946° / 32°0.18
46 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low16° (1989)
Thu, 1047° / 33°0.16
47 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low10° (1989)
Fri, 1146° / 33°0.16
46 °
Bull Run, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low17° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.