Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 56.6°, average low 38.7°. That is 1.9° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 November (65.6°), the coolest 25 November (29.5°).
56.6°/38.7°
Average high / low
+1.9°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
14 November – 23 November
57°
53.7°
+1.9°
24 November – 3 December
56°
51.3°
+2.6°
4 December – 13 December
at normal
46.8°
—
November records over 66 years
81.7°1 November 1974All-time high
13.6°24 November 1989All-time low
Sun, 1551° / 43°0
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Mon, 1654° / 40°0
54 °
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind8.3 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Tue, 1755° / 37°0
55 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Wed, 1861° / 34°0
61 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 61°, low 34°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind2.6 mph NW
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Thu, 1964° / 36°0
64 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 64°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 2065° / 44°0
65 °
Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind5.1 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2161° / 44°0
61 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Sun, 2260° / 43°0
60 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SW
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2350° / 37°0
50 °
Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 50°, low 37°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind14.9 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Tue, 2447° / 31°0
47 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind11.2 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2547° / 30°0
47 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind7.1 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 2651° / 30°0
51 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 30°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.4 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 2760° / 39°0
60 °
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 60°, low 39°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2865° / 44°0
65 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sun, 2966° / 48°0.36
66 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Rain. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15.3 mph S
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.09
49 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low14° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 34°0.15
48 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 34°0.1
48 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low15° (2002)
Mon, 0747° / 33°0.13
47 °
Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low6° (2002)
Tue, 0846° / 33°0.06
46 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low18° (2005)
Wed, 0946° / 32°0.18
46 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low16° (1989)
Thu, 1047° / 33°0.16
47 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low10° (1989)
Fri, 1146° / 33°0.16
46 °
Bull Run, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low17° (1995)
Sat, 1246° / 32°0.07
46 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low8° (1988)
Sun, 1346° / 32°0.1
46 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2015)
Record low7° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.