Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 58.1°, average low 42.8°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 6 November (75.4°), the coolest 16 November (32.3°).
58.1°/42.8°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
5 November – 14 November
60.7°
57.1°
+2°
15 November – 24 November
53.7°
53.4°
+0.2°
25 November – 4 December
at normal
51°
—
November records over 66 years
81.7°1 November 1974All-time high
13.6°24 November 1989All-time low
Fri, 0675° / 60°0.04
75 °
Bull Run, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 75°, low 60°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Sat, 0762° / 48°0
62 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 62°, low 48°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Sun, 0861° / 46°0
61 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 61°, low 46°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind5.8 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 0959° / 48°0
59 °
Bull Run, Monday, 9 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind12.6 mph NW
Humidity42%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Tue, 1066° / 40°0
66 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 10 November
Mostly clear. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.5 mph SW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 1165° / 45°0
65 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind6.7 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 1254° / 44°0.02
54 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind4 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 1346° / 39°0.06
46 °
Bull Run, Friday, 13 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 1446° / 35°0
46 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.4 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1547° / 34°0
47 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 47°, low 34°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1649° / 32°0
49 °
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind9.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1749° / 33°0
49 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 49°, low 33°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind11.5 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Wed, 1854° / 35°0
54 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Mostly clear. High 54°, low 35°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.3 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 1964° / 39°0
64 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 64°, low 39°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2060° / 44°0
60 °
Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Clear. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 2152° / 38°0.08
52 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low22° (2022)
Sun, 2252° / 38°0.09
52 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high71° (2007)
Record low24° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 36°0.06
51 °
Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1979)
Record low21° (1989)
Tue, 2452° / 37°0.14
52 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2552° / 37°0.08
52 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high73° (1973)
Record low22° (1970)
Thu, 2654° / 38°0.13
54 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low26° (2005)
Fri, 2753° / 38°0.1
53 °
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high67° (1973)
Record low25° (1974)
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.16
53 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low25° (2014)
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.12
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.09
49 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low14° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (1966)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.