Monthly outlook for Bull Run, VA: average high 55.4°, average low 37.5°. That is 1.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 3.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.5 inches. The warmest day looks like 25 November (67.5°), the coolest 28 November (22.7°).
55.4°/37.5°
Average high / low
+1.1°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
13 November – 22 November
58°
53.9°
+2.3°
23 November – 2 December
51.1°
51.5°
-0.2°
3 December – 12 December
at normal
47.2°
—
November records over 66 years
81.7°1 November 1974All-time high
13.6°24 November 1989All-time low
Sat, 1455° / 36°0
55 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind16.6 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point26°
Sun, 1551° / 41°0
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 15 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Mon, 1652° / 36°0
52 °
Bull Run, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 52°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind8.6 mph NW
Humidity48%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Tue, 1755° / 36°0
55 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 55°, low 36°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind5.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1860° / 35°0
60 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 60°, low 35°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 1962° / 39°0
62 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 19 November
Clear. High 62°, low 39°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.6 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Fri, 2063° / 45°0
63 °
Bull Run, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.5 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sat, 2160° / 43°0
60 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 43°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind4.7 mph N
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 2265° / 44°0
65 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 22 November
Mostly clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.3 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Mon, 2365° / 45°0
65 °
Bull Run, Monday, 23 November
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 45°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind10.8 mph S
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Tue, 2467° / 50°0.04
67 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 24 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 50°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Wed, 2567° / 33°2.72
67 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 25 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 33°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind18.7 mph NW
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Thu, 2632° / 27°0.28
32 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 32°, low 27°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind21.7 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Fri, 2735° / 25°0
35 °
Bull Run, Friday, 27 November
Clear. High 35°, low 25°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Sat, 2839° / 23°0
39 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 28 November
Clear. High 39°, low 23°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.4 mph N
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 2951° / 36°0.12
51 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low23° (2023)
Mon, 3050° / 36°0.12
50 °
Bull Run, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0150° / 35°0.17
50 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low18° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.09
49 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low14° (1967)
Thu, 0350° / 35°0.09
50 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Bull Run, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (1966)
Sat, 0548° / 34°0.15
48 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1998)
Record low23° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 34°0.1
48 °
Bull Run, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high76° (1998)
Record low15° (2002)
Mon, 0747° / 33°0.13
47 °
Bull Run, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high74° (1998)
Record low6° (2002)
Tue, 0846° / 33°0.06
46 °
Bull Run, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high70° (1978)
Record low18° (2005)
Wed, 0946° / 32°0.18
46 °
Bull Run, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low16° (1989)
Thu, 1047° / 33°0.16
47 °
Bull Run, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (1966)
Record low10° (1989)
Fri, 1146° / 33°0.16
46 °
Bull Run, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high69° (2021)
Record low17° (1995)
Sat, 1246° / 32°0.07
46 °
Bull Run, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2015)
Record low8° (1988)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bull Run, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bull Run, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.