Weather in Warrenton, VA
Warrenton, Tuesday, 27 October, 07:17
Clear. Feels like 41°. High 69°, low 45°.
Monthly outlook for Warrenton, VA: average high 60.9°, average low 45.8°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (72.2°), the coolest 8 November (34.9°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 October – 5 November | 63.4° | 60.6° | +1.5° |
| 6 November – 15 November | 56.7° | 55.8° | +0.5° |
| 16 November – 25 November | at normal | 52° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (10 mi).
0
Warrenton, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 43°.
0
Warrenton, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 69°, low 46°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 72°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
0
Warrenton, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 47°.
1.22
Warrenton, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 60°, low 54°.
0.29Warrenton, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 53°.
0.01Warrenton, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 46°.
0.24Warrenton, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 48°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 48°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 50°, low 39°.
0Warrenton, Sunday, 8 November
Partly cloudy. High 55°, low 35°.
0Warrenton, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 41°.
0Warrenton, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
0.04Warrenton, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 47°.
0.21
Warrenton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Warrenton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Warrenton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Warrenton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Warrenton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Warrenton, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Warrenton, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warrenton, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warrenton, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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