Weather in Warrenton, VA
Warrenton, Sunday, 25 October, 15:30
Clear. Feels like 62°. High 64°, low 38°.
Monthly outlook for Warrenton, VA: average high 66.7°, average low 48.5°. That is 3.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (74.4°), the coolest 26 October (36.8°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 October – 3 November | 68.7° | 61.2° | +4.2° |
| 4 November – 13 November | 63.4° | 56.6° | +3.7° |
| 14 November – 23 November | at normal | 52.6° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (10 mi).
0Warrenton, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 70°, low 37°.
0Warrenton, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0
Warrenton, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 46°.
0
Warrenton, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 69°, low 49°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 31 October
Partly cloudy. High 72°, low 55°.
0Warrenton, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 73°, low 53°.
0Warrenton, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 63°, low 55°.
0Warrenton, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 74°, low 56°.
0.27
Warrenton, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 74°, low 60°.
0.05Warrenton, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 66°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 61°, low 44°.
0.96Warrenton, Sunday, 8 November
Heavy rain. High 60°, low 42°.
0.09Warrenton, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 48°.
0.13Warrenton, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Warrenton, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Warrenton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Warrenton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Warrenton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Warrenton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Warrenton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warrenton, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warrenton, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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