Weather in Warrenton, VA
Warrenton, Wednesday, 28 October, 11:57
Clear. Feels like 59°. High 65°, low 47°.
Monthly outlook for Warrenton, VA: average high 61.2°, average low 45.7°. That is 1.3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 6 days (about 6.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 29 October (73.5°), the coolest 9 November (33.5°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 October – 6 November | 66.3° | 60.3° | +3.3° |
| 7 November – 16 November | 52.7° | 55.4° | -1.5° |
| 17 November – 26 November | at normal | 51.9° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (10 mi).
0Warrenton, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 73°, low 43°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 72°, low 48°.
0
Warrenton, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 60°, low 46°.
0Warrenton, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 65°, low 46°.
0
Warrenton, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 70°, low 46°.
0.15
Warrenton, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
1.02Warrenton, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
1.88Warrenton, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 67°, low 62°.
0.44Warrenton, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 68°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 53°, low 41°.
0Warrenton, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 50°, low 36°.
0Warrenton, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 52°, low 33°.
0Warrenton, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 34°.
1.11Warrenton, Wednesday, 11 November
Rain. High 54°, low 43°.
1.83Warrenton, Thursday, 12 November
Heavy rain. High 56°, low 50°.
0.09Warrenton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Warrenton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Warrenton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Warrenton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Warrenton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Warrenton, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Warrenton, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.12Warrenton, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warrenton, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warrenton, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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