Weather in Warrenton, VA
Warrenton, Saturday, 24 October, 17:36
Partly cloudy. Feels like 56°. High 61°, low 37°.
Monthly outlook for Warrenton, VA: average high 62.7°, average low 45.2°. That is 1.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (74°), the coolest 25 October (37°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 October – 2 November | 66° | 61.4° | +2.5° |
| 3 November – 12 November | 57.3° | 57.5° | -0.1° |
| 13 November – 22 November | at normal | 52.8° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — The Plains (10 mi).
0
Warrenton, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 64°, low 37°.
0Warrenton, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 68°, low 38°.
0Warrenton, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 65°, low 50°.
0
Warrenton, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 47°.
0Warrenton, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 69°, low 46°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 74°, low 50°.
0Warrenton, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 69°, low 52°.
0.1
Warrenton, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 64°, low 49°.
0.22Warrenton, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 61°, low 49°.
0.06Warrenton, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
0.25Warrenton, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 56°, low 45°.
0Warrenton, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 59°, low 43°.
0Warrenton, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 43°.
0.05Warrenton, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 48°.
0Warrenton, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.
0.05Warrenton, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Warrenton, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.17Warrenton, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.21
Warrenton, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Warrenton, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.08Warrenton, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Warrenton, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.1Warrenton, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Warrenton, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Warrenton, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Warrenton, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Warrenton, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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