Monthly outlook for Lake Barcroft, VA: average high 61.5°, average low 48.5°. That is 0.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (71.3°), the coolest 8 November (40.1°).
61.5°/48.5°
Average high / low
+0.8°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
27 October – 5 November
64.2°
61.2°
+1.7°
6 November – 15 November
56.9°
56.5°
+0.2°
16 November – 25 November
at normal
52.8°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Seven Corners (1 mi).
Wed, 2867° / 46°0
67 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.8 mph SE
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Thu, 2968° / 49°0
68 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind4.7 mph S
Humidity75%
Visibility2.3 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 3071° / 53°0
71 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 71°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 3162° / 47°0
62 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0167° / 48°0
67 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 67°, low 48°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.2 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Mon, 0261° / 57°0.71
61 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 2 November
Rain. High 61°, low 57°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.8 mph E
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Tue, 0359° / 53°0.21
59 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 59°, low 53°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind8.5 mph NE
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Wed, 0457° / 48°0
57 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.6 mph E
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 0559° / 50°0.29
59 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 59°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind6.2 mph E
Humidity92%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 0659° / 52°0
59 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 6 November
Partly cloudy. High 59°, low 52°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 0751° / 44°0
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 7 November
Clear. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.9 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 0855° / 40°0
55 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 8 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 40°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 0959° / 44°0
59 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind3.4 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Tue, 1060° / 47°0
60 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 10 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 1157° / 50°0.1
57 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind8.1 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 1254° / 41°0.23
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.23 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1964)
Record low28° (1987)
Fri, 1353° / 38°0.1
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1454° / 38°0.06
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low24° (1986)
Sun, 1555° / 39°0.09
55 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1993)
Record low27° (1996)
Mon, 1655° / 39°0.12
55 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2005)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1753° / 38°0.08
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low27° (1995)
Wed, 1854° / 38°0.06
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low26° (2014)
Thu, 1954° / 38°0.11
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.06
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low26° (1984)
Sat, 2152° / 37°0.09
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 37°0.1
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2007)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 36°0.06
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Tue, 2452° / 37°0.13
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2552° / 36°0.09
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low20° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Barcroft, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Barcroft, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.