Monthly outlook for Lake Barcroft, VA: average high 59°, average low 45.6°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (64.9°), the coolest 15 November (40.4°).
59°/45.6°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
7 November – 16 November
57.5°
56.1°
+0.8°
17 November – 26 November
61.4°
52.6°
+4.9°
27 November – 6 December
at normal
49.7°
—
November records over 66 years
81.5°1 November 1974All-time high
13.8°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Seven Corners (1 mi).
Sun, 0860° / 48°0
60 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.5 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 0957° / 45°0
57 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind14.7 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1062° / 41°0
62 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind6.1 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1164° / 45°0
64 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind4.4 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Thu, 1259° / 48°0.21
59 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 12 November
Rain. High 59°, low 48°.
Pressure29.53 inHg
Wind13.3 mph W
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Fri, 1354° / 47°1.43
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 13 November
Rain. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind14.8 mph NE
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Sat, 1448° / 42°0.09
48 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 14 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind11.7 mph NW
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Sun, 1552° / 40°0
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 52°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 1658° / 41°0
58 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 16 November
Partly cloudy. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.5 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 1760° / 45°0
60 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 17 November
Clear. High 60°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.4 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 1860° / 44°0
60 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 1961° / 48°0
61 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 19 November
Mostly clear. High 61°, low 48°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind3.3 mph NW
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 2062° / 47°0
62 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 20 November
Overcast. High 62°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Sat, 2165° / 49°0
65 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.2 mph W
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 2261° / 53°0
61 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 61°, low 53°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind4.4 mph NE
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 2351° / 36°0.06
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Tue, 2452° / 37°0.13
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2552° / 36°0.09
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low20° (1989)
Thu, 2653° / 37°0.13
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low26° (2005)
Fri, 2753° / 37°0.09
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (1988)
Record low24° (1974)
Sat, 2853° / 38°0.16
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (1990)
Record low25° (2002)
Sun, 2950° / 36°0.12
50 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1960)
Record low22° (2023)
Mon, 3049° / 36°0.12
49 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low21° (1976)
Tue, 0149° / 35°0.17
49 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2006)
Record low17° (1967)
Wed, 0249° / 34°0.09
49 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high65° (1970)
Record low17° (1967)
Thu, 0349° / 34°0.09
49 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1998)
Record low19° (1976)
Fri, 0449° / 34°0.08
49 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low18° (1966)
Sat, 0547° / 34°0.15
47 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (1998)
Record low24° (1966)
Sun, 0648° / 33°0.09
48 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high75° (1998)
Record low15° (2007)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Barcroft, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Barcroft, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.