Monthly outlook for Lake Barcroft, VA: average high 63.1°, average low 49.1°. That is 2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (74.4°), the coolest 11 November (42.3°).
63.1°/49.1°
Average high / low
+2°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
28 October – 6 November
68°
60.9°
+4°
7 November – 16 November
54.9°
56.1°
-0.7°
17 November – 26 November
at normal
52.6°
—
October records over 66 years
94.5°2 October 2019All-time high
27.1°28 October 1976All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Seven Corners (1 mi).
Thu, 2973° / 49°0
73 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 73°, low 49°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind5.8 mph S
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point56°
Fri, 3074° / 53°0
74 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 74°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.6 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 3161° / 45°0
61 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4.3 mph N
Humidity54%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Sun, 0164° / 48°0
64 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 1 November
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 48°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind4 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Mon, 0268° / 47°0
68 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 68°, low 47°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind7.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 0369° / 50°0
69 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 50°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind8.8 mph S
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 0467° / 55°0.01
67 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 4 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 55°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind8.8 mph SE
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Thu, 0571° / 61°0.76
71 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 5 November
Heavy rain. High 71°, low 61°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.7 mph SE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point57°
Fri, 0668° / 61°1.53
68 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 6 November
Heavy rain. High 68°, low 61°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 0760° / 48°0
60 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 60°, low 48°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0848° / 45°0
48 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.5 mph NW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Mon, 0953° / 45°0
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 9 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 45°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Tue, 1058° / 43°0.01
58 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind9.9 mph SW
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Wed, 1156° / 42°0
56 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 42°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Thu, 1256° / 45°0.09
56 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.1 mph SW
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 1353° / 38°0.1
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (1964)
Record low24° (2019)
Sat, 1454° / 38°0.06
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low24° (1986)
Sun, 1555° / 39°0.09
55 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high77° (1993)
Record low27° (1996)
Mon, 1655° / 39°0.12
55 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high72° (2005)
Record low24° (1967)
Tue, 1753° / 38°0.08
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high69° (1987)
Record low27° (1995)
Wed, 1854° / 38°0.06
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2021)
Record low26° (2014)
Thu, 1954° / 38°0.11
54 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (1985)
Record low22° (2014)
Fri, 2053° / 38°0.06
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high74° (1985)
Record low26° (1984)
Sat, 2152° / 37°0.09
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (1991)
Record low24° (2022)
Sun, 2251° / 37°0.1
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high72° (2007)
Record low22° (1964)
Mon, 2351° / 36°0.06
51 °
Lake Barcroft, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (1979)
Record low19° (1989)
Tue, 2452° / 37°0.13
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1979)
Record low14° (1989)
Wed, 2552° / 36°0.09
52 °
Lake Barcroft, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (1973)
Record low20° (1989)
Thu, 2653° / 37°0.13
53 °
Lake Barcroft, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low26° (2005)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Lake Barcroft, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Lake Barcroft, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.