Weather in Toms Brook, VA
Toms Brook, Thursday, 15 October, 12:42
Overcast. Feels like 61°. High 70°, low 61°.
Monthly outlook for Toms Brook, VA: average high 65°, average low 45.8°. That is 0.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 October (84.2°), the coolest 24 October (33.7°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 October – 24 October | 65.2° | 64.5° | +0.4° |
| 25 October – 3 November | 64.5° | 61.6° | +1.6° |
| 4 November – 13 November | at normal | 57° | — |
October records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Strasburg (6 mi).
0.02
Toms Brook, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 84°, low 61°.
0Toms Brook, Saturday, 17 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 43°.
0
Toms Brook, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 57°, low 37°.
0Toms Brook, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 61°, low 41°.
0Toms Brook, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 42°.
0Toms Brook, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
0Toms Brook, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 68°, low 46°.
0Toms Brook, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
0
Toms Brook, Saturday, 24 October
Mostly clear. High 53°, low 34°.
0Toms Brook, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 38°.
0Toms Brook, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 66°, low 41°.
0Toms Brook, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 41°.
0Toms Brook, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 52°.
0Toms Brook, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 51°.
0Toms Brook, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 54°.
0.04Toms Brook, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07
Toms Brook, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13
Toms Brook, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Toms Brook, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Toms Brook, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.09Toms Brook, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Toms Brook, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.11Toms Brook, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Toms Brook, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.06Toms Brook, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.13Toms Brook, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.16Toms Brook, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.2Toms Brook, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.07Toms Brook, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toms Brook, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toms Brook, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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