Monthly outlook for Toms Brook, VA: average high 63.7°, average low 41.8°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 1 November (70.5°), the coolest 28 October (36.3°).
63.7°/41.8°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
64.1°
63.4°
+0.4°
27 October – 5 November
63.1°
61.1°
+1.2°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
56.2°
—
October records over 66 years
92.8°2 October 2019All-time high
18.9°30 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Strasburg (6 mi).
Sun, 1862° / 38°0
62 °
Toms Brook, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 38°.
Pressure30.59 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NE
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Mon, 1965° / 41°0
65 °
Toms Brook, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 65°, low 41°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind6 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point34°
Tue, 2067° / 44°0
67 °
Toms Brook, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 67°, low 44°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind7.1 mph N
Humidity33%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Wed, 2163° / 43°0
63 °
Toms Brook, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 63°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.7 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Thu, 2264° / 40°0
64 °
Toms Brook, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 64°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind7.2 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2365° / 44°0
65 °
Toms Brook, Friday, 23 October
Overcast. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind7.7 mph N
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 2461° / 40°0
61 °
Toms Brook, Saturday, 24 October
Clear. High 61°, low 40°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind5.9 mph E
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 2566° / 40°0
66 °
Toms Brook, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 66°, low 40°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5.2 mph SW
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Mon, 2670° / 47°0
70 °
Toms Brook, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 47°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 2757° / 43°0
57 °
Toms Brook, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind14.3 mph NW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Wed, 2858° / 36°0
58 °
Toms Brook, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 58°, low 36°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind3.6 mph S
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 2970° / 42°0
70 °
Toms Brook, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.7 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 3060° / 42°0
60 °
Toms Brook, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind15.7 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Sat, 3164° / 38°0
64 °
Toms Brook, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 64°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind4.5 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sun, 0171° / 47°0
71 °
Toms Brook, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0262° / 45°0.13
62 °
Toms Brook, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high62°
Average low45°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high81° (1971)
Record low27° (2023)
Tue, 0361° / 43°0.07
61 °
Toms Brook, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high61°
Average low43°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2003)
Record low32° (2006)
Wed, 0459° / 42°0.11
59 °
Toms Brook, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high80° (2003)
Record low27° (2006)
Thu, 0558° / 42°0.09
58 °
Toms Brook, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (1961)
Record low26° (1991)
Fri, 0659° / 42°0.06
59 °
Toms Brook, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high59°
Average low42°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high79° (2015)
Record low26° (2021)
Sat, 0758° / 41°0.11
58 °
Toms Brook, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high77° (2024)
Record low28° (1962)
Sun, 0858° / 40°0.13
58 °
Toms Brook, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high77° (1975)
Record low27° (1960)
Mon, 0958° / 40°0.06
58 °
Toms Brook, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high58°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high77° (2023)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1057° / 40°0.13
57 °
Toms Brook, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high57°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (2020)
Record low27° (2003)
Wed, 1156° / 40°0.16
56 °
Toms Brook, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high56°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high75° (2006)
Record low20° (2017)
Thu, 1254° / 39°0.2
54 °
Toms Brook, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high54°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.2 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high73° (1964)
Record low26° (1987)
Fri, 1353° / 37°0.07
53 °
Toms Brook, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high71° (1994)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1455° / 37°0.06
55 °
Toms Brook, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high76° (1993)
Record low20° (1968)
Sun, 1555° / 38°0.09
55 °
Toms Brook, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high76° (1973)
Record low24° (1995)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Toms Brook, VA are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Toms Brook, VA since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.