Monthly outlook for Chapel Hill, MS: average high 78.5°, average low 53.2°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 2.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 30 October (82.3°), the coolest 3 November (45.6°).
78.5°/53.2°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
79.5°
72.8°
+3.7°
3 November – 12 November
77°
68.7°
+4.6°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
65.6°
—
October records over 66 years
96.8°3 October 2019All-time high
34.7°31 October 1993All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Learned (6 mi).
Sun, 2579° / 47°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 79°, low 47°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind6.5 mph E
Humidity36%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Mon, 2677° / 54°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 77°, low 54°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.4 mph E
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Tue, 2779° / 56°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 79°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.3 mph E
Humidity41%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Wed, 2880° / 59°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 80°, low 59°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.3 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 2981° / 56°0
81 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 81°, low 56°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph E
Humidity25%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 3082° / 53°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 82°, low 53°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind6.3 mph SE
Humidity30%
Visibility—
Dew point43°
Sat, 3182° / 57°0
82 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 82°, low 57°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind7.4 mph SE
Humidity27%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Sun, 0182° / 58°0.65
82 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 1 November
Rain. High 82°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.1 mph N
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Mon, 0272° / 51°0.07
72 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 72°, low 51°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.9 mph N
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Tue, 0371° / 46°0
71 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 71°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity21%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 0475° / 48°0
75 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 75°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.5 mph SW
Humidity24%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Thu, 0577° / 49°0
77 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 5 November
Clear. High 77°, low 49°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.3 mph SW
Humidity22%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Fri, 0679° / 54°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 6 November
Overcast. High 79°, low 54°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.9 mph S
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point47°
Sat, 0779° / 56°0
79 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 7 November
Overcast. High 79°, low 56°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind5.1 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0880° / 59°0
80 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 80°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.3 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0969° / 52°0.18
69 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high69°
Average low52°
Average precipitation0.18 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high84° (2005)
Record low27° (1991)
Tue, 1068° / 51°0.08
68 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low51°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (2002)
Record low28° (1991)
Wed, 1168° / 50°0.11
68 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high68°
Average low50°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high82° (2003)
Record low29° (2025)
Thu, 1266° / 48°0.12
66 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high83° (2003)
Record low28° (2019)
Fri, 1365° / 47°0.07
65 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high79° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1466° / 48°0.11
66 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high81° (1993)
Record low30° (2014)
Sun, 1566° / 49°0.14
66 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high82° (2011)
Record low26° (2018)
Mon, 1666° / 49°0.15
66 °
Chapel Hill, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high81° (1964)
Record low31° (2019)
Tue, 1767° / 48°0.09
67 °
Chapel Hill, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high67°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high80° (1964)
Record low28° (1997)
Wed, 1866° / 49°0.16
66 °
Chapel Hill, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high81° (2024)
Record low29° (2022)
Thu, 1966° / 49°0.07
66 °
Chapel Hill, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high66°
Average low49°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high80° (1985)
Record low29° (2014)
Fri, 2065° / 48°0.11
65 °
Chapel Hill, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low48°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high80° (1973)
Record low32° (1980)
Sat, 2165° / 47°0.08
65 °
Chapel Hill, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high65°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high78° (1963)
Record low31° (2022)
Sun, 2264° / 47°0.15
64 °
Chapel Hill, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high64°
Average low47°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high79° (2025)
Record low28° (1964)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Chapel Hill, MS are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Chapel Hill, MS since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.