Monthly outlook for Carmel Hamlet, NY: average high 57.1°, average low 40.7°. That is 2.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 3 November (68.5°), the coolest 11 November (31.4°).
57.1°/40.7°
Average high / low
+2.1°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
30 October – 8 November
60.3°
54.9°
+3°
9 November – 18 November
51.9°
49.9°
+1.1°
19 November – 28 November
at normal
47.1°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°6 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
Sat, 3154° / 38°0
54 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 31 October
Clear. High 54°, low 38°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind7.9 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sun, 0159° / 36°0
59 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 59°, low 36°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind4.3 mph W
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Mon, 0266° / 44°0
66 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 2 November
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind6.6 mph SW
Humidity46%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Tue, 0369° / 47°0
69 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 69°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind6.6 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 0466° / 48°0
66 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 4 November
Clear. High 66°, low 48°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11 mph SW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 0567° / 53°0.25
67 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 67°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind10.8 mph SE
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Fri, 0665° / 46°0.57
65 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 6 November
Rain. High 65°, low 46°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind15.1 mph NW
Humidity86%
Visibility—
Dew point60°
Sat, 0747° / 35°0
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 7 November
Mostly clear. High 47°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.3 mph N
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 0847° / 32°0
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 8 November
Overcast. High 47°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.9 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 0945° / 37°0.05
45 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind7.4 mph W
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1045° / 37°0.02
45 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 45°, low 37°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.6 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Wed, 1149° / 31°0
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 11 November
Clear. High 49°, low 31°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind7.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Thu, 1252° / 33°0.01
52 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 12 November
Light rain. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind6 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 1366° / 45°0
66 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 13 November
Clear. High 66°, low 45°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind8.2 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 1453° / 47°0
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 14 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 47°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sun, 1550° / 36°0.11
50 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (1993)
Record low21° (1967)
Mon, 1649° / 36°0.13
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low19° (1967)
Tue, 1748° / 35°0.13
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low23° (2019)
Wed, 1849° / 35°0.09
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1963)
Record low26° (2020)
Thu, 1948° / 35°0.07
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high62° (1991)
Record low20° (1986)
Fri, 2048° / 35°0.16
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low13° (1986)
Sat, 2147° / 34°0.1
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low17° (1987)
Sun, 2246° / 34°0.13
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (2007)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2346° / 33°0.13
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1992)
Record low13° (2018)
Tue, 2447° / 34°0.08
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low12° (1989)
Wed, 2547° / 34°0.13
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Thu, 2648° / 35°0.21
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low24° (1978)
Fri, 2747° / 34°0.13
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low22° (1978)
Sat, 2847° / 35°0.17
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel Hamlet, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel Hamlet, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.