Monthly outlook for Carmel Hamlet, NY: average high 56.3°, average low 37.1°. That is 0.7° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 27 October (69.8°), the coolest 29 October (29.6°).
56.3°/37.1°
Average high / low
−0.7°
Below normal
1 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
20 October – 29 October
58.9°
58.3°
+0.4°
30 October – 8 November
51.8°
54.9°
-1.7°
9 November – 18 November
at normal
49.9°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°6 October 2007All-time high
27°31 October 2011All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
Wed, 2161° / 38°0
61 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 61°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind9.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Thu, 2261° / 42°0
61 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind11.5 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Fri, 2348° / 38°0
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 48°, low 38°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind12.6 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point27°
Sat, 2454° / 34°0
54 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 24 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind6.9 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sun, 2562° / 37°0
62 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 62°, low 37°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind3.8 mph SW
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2667° / 43°0
67 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 43°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind5 mph W
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2770° / 51°0
70 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 70°, low 51°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NW
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2849° / 32°0
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NW
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Thu, 2950° / 30°0
50 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 50°, low 30°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Fri, 3052° / 31°0
52 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 52°, low 31°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind9.4 mph W
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sat, 3153° / 38°0
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 53°, low 38°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sun, 0152° / 35°0
52 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 1 November
Clear. High 52°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 0251° / 31°0
51 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 51°, low 31°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.8 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Tue, 0354° / 32°0
54 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 54°, low 32°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind3.2 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 0448° / 40°0.78
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 48°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind19.1 mph NE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Thu, 0555° / 41°0.13
55 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high55°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high72° (2022)
Record low31° (1965)
Fri, 0653° / 41°0.08
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low41°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high76° (2024)
Record low28° (2012)
Sat, 0753° / 40°0.08
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low40°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2022)
Record low28° (1962)
Sun, 0852° / 39°0.15
52 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.15 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low27° (2019)
Mon, 0952° / 39°0.09
52 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (1975)
Record low24° (2019)
Tue, 1053° / 39°0.14
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high53°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low23° (2017)
Wed, 1151° / 39°0.14
51 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (2020)
Record low21° (2017)
Thu, 1250° / 38°0.14
50 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation38%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low24° (2019)
Fri, 1348° / 36°0.19
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.19 in
Chance of precipitation42%
Record high69° (1964)
Record low21° (2019)
Sat, 1449° / 36°0.1
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high66° (1989)
Record low21° (1986)
Sun, 1550° / 36°0.11
50 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation43%
Record high73° (1993)
Record low21° (1967)
Mon, 1649° / 36°0.13
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low19° (1967)
Tue, 1748° / 35°0.13
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high63° (2006)
Record low23° (2019)
Wed, 1849° / 35°0.09
49 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1963)
Record low26° (2020)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel Hamlet, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel Hamlet, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.