Monthly outlook for Carmel Hamlet, NY: average high 53.7°, average low 38.2°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.8 inches. The warmest day looks like 4 November (72.7°), the coolest 18 November (26.8°).
53.7°/38.2°
Average high / low
+1.5°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
4 November – 13 November
58.7°
52.3°
+3.6°
14 November – 23 November
45.4°
48°
-1.5°
24 November – 3 December
at normal
45.7°
—
November records over 66 years
76.3°6 November 2024All-time high
12.2°24 November 1989All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Danbury (11 mi).
Thu, 0570° / 57°0.41
70 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 70°, low 57°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.7 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility3.1 mi
Dew point63°
Fri, 0671° / 55°0.04
71 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 6 November
Light rain. High 71°, low 55°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind3.2 mph W
Humidity70%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point58°
Sat, 0762° / 46°0.13
62 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 7 November
Rain. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind7.6 mph N
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Sun, 0853° / 42°0.15
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 8 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 42°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.9 mph N
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0948° / 42°0.01
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 9 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind17.6 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 1063° / 42°0
63 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Wed, 1155° / 37°0
55 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 11 November
Mostly clear. High 55°, low 37°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind9.8 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Thu, 1246° / 28°0
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 12 November
Clear. High 46°, low 28°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 1348° / 32°0
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 32°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind10.1 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 1444° / 30°0
44 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 44°, low 30°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind11.3 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Sun, 1545° / 28°0
45 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 15 November
Clear. High 45°, low 28°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind5.8 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 1643° / 29°0.07
43 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 16 November
Light rain. High 43°, low 29°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.3 mph W
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Tue, 1739° / 29°0
39 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 17 November
Mostly clear. High 39°, low 29°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9.1 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Wed, 1847° / 27°0
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 18 November
Clear. High 47°, low 27°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind7.7 mph W
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Thu, 1953° / 34°0
53 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 19 November
Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 34°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.2 mph W
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 2048° / 35°0.16
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.16 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high69° (1985)
Record low13° (1986)
Sat, 2147° / 34°0.1
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high61° (1985)
Record low17° (1987)
Sun, 2246° / 34°0.13
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high62° (2007)
Record low14° (2018)
Mon, 2346° / 33°0.13
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 23 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (1992)
Record low13° (2018)
Tue, 2447° / 34°0.08
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high65° (1979)
Record low12° (1989)
Wed, 2547° / 34°0.13
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1979)
Record low20° (2005)
Thu, 2648° / 35°0.21
48 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.21 in
Chance of precipitation45%
Record high62° (1979)
Record low24° (1978)
Fri, 2747° / 34°0.13
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high61° (1988)
Record low22° (1978)
Sat, 2847° / 35°0.17
47 °
Carmel Hamlet, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.17 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low17° (2002)
Sun, 2946° / 33°0.09
46 °
Carmel Hamlet, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1990)
Record low13° (2014)
Mon, 3044° / 33°0.14
44 °
Carmel Hamlet, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high61° (1991)
Record low20° (1976)
Tue, 0144° / 32°0.14
44 °
Carmel Hamlet, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high65° (2001)
Record low17° (1971)
Wed, 0244° / 31°0.11
44 °
Carmel Hamlet, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high44°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high59° (1998)
Record low13° (1971)
Thu, 0343° / 31°0.14
43 °
Carmel Hamlet, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.14 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high60° (1998)
Record low11° (1976)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel Hamlet, NY are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel Hamlet, NY since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.