Monthly outlook for Smith Lake, MN: average high 57.6°, average low 41.3°. That is 3.9° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (70.8°), the coolest 28 October (25.3°).
57.6°/41.3°
Average high / low
+3.9°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
59.4°
52.4°
+3.9°
29 October – 7 November
54.7°
46.9°
+4.3°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
40.6°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°3 October 2025All-time high
15.3°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Annandale (12 mi).
Tue, 2069° / 41°0
69 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 69°, low 41°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.7 mph S
Humidity61%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2167° / 46°0
67 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 67°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind2.5 mph NW
Humidity63%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point50°
Thu, 2271° / 47°0
71 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 71°, low 47°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Fri, 2369° / 54°0.07
69 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 69°, low 54°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind15.8 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Sat, 2470° / 58°0.61
70 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity50%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2556° / 46°0
56 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Clear. High 56°, low 46°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind21.4 mph W
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Mon, 2648° / 37°0
48 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 26 October
Mostly clear. High 48°, low 37°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind16.5 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 2740° / 32°0
40 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 40°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.6 mph NW
Humidity44%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2839° / 25°0
39 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 39°, low 25°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind10 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
Thu, 2945° / 28°0
45 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 45°, low 28°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind6.7 mph SE
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Fri, 3049° / 29°0
49 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 30 October
Mostly clear. High 49°, low 29°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
Sat, 3151° / 41°0
51 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.9 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Sun, 0163° / 42°0.01
63 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind11.8 mph S
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0269° / 53°0
69 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 69°, low 53°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind22.8 mph SW
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Tue, 0351° / 41°0
51 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Partly cloudy. High 51°, low 41°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0445° / 32°0.04
45 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-2° (1991)
Thu, 0546° / 32°0.05
46 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low8° (1991)
Fri, 0646° / 33°0.06
46 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0745° / 32°0.02
45 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low-8° (1991)
Sun, 0845° / 31°0.03
45 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low1° (1991)
Mon, 0943° / 31°0.1
43 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1040° / 30°0.12
40 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (2010)
Record low11° (2017)
Wed, 1139° / 27°0.05
39 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high57° (2005)
Record low8° (1986)
Thu, 1238° / 27°0.06
38 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1340° / 28°0.06
40 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low1° (1986)
Sat, 1440° / 28°0.02
40 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (2025)
Record low5° (2014)
Sun, 1541° / 28°0.05
41 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2001)
Record low4° (2014)
Mon, 1640° / 27°0.09
40 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high63° (2023)
Record low6° (2014)
Tue, 1739° / 27°0.06
39 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (2001)
Record low7° (2014)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smith Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smith Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.