Monthly outlook for Smith Lake, MN: average high 53.3°, average low 39.7°. That is 0.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 0.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (69.5°), the coolest 27 October (24°).
53.3°/39.7°
Average high / low
+0.5°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 October – 24 October
60.7°
53.5°
+4°
25 October – 3 November
41°
49.2°
-4.5°
4 November – 13 November
at normal
42.8°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°3 October 2025All-time high
15.3°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Annandale (12 mi).
Fri, 1651° / 40°0.05
51 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 16 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind19.2 mph N
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Sat, 1759° / 37°0
59 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 59°, low 37°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SW
Humidity45%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point31°
Sun, 1862° / 45°0
62 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 62°, low 45°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SW
Humidity50%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Mon, 1962° / 42°0
62 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 62°, low 42°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2065° / 44°0
65 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 65°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind9.4 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Wed, 2169° / 48°0
69 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.3 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Thu, 2264° / 59°0.11
64 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 59°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.6 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Fri, 2365° / 56°0.2
65 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 56°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind22.2 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sat, 2460° / 42°0.04
60 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind24.3 mph S
Humidity58%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Sun, 2540° / 35°0
40 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 40°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind18.3 mph W
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 2641° / 27°0
41 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 41°, low 27°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind13.2 mph NW
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point16°
Tue, 2742° / 24°0
42 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 42°, low 24°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.6 mph W
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point11°
Wed, 2844° / 36°0.03
44 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 44°, low 36°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind13.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2942° / 32°0
42 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 42°, low 32°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind14 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Fri, 3037° / 24°0
37 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 37°, low 24°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind12.5 mph N
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point10°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Sat, 3148° / 35°0.11
48 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2000)
Record low19° (1996)
Sun, 0147° / 35°0.1
47 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low20° (1984)
Mon, 0247° / 34°0.05
47 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low14° (1991)
Tue, 0346° / 33°0.04
46 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2008)
Record low10° (1991)
Wed, 0445° / 32°0.04
45 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-2° (1991)
Thu, 0546° / 32°0.05
46 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low8° (1991)
Fri, 0646° / 33°0.06
46 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0745° / 32°0.02
45 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low-8° (1991)
Sun, 0845° / 31°0.03
45 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low1° (1991)
Mon, 0943° / 31°0.1
43 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1040° / 30°0.12
40 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (2010)
Record low11° (2017)
Wed, 1139° / 27°0.05
39 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high57° (2005)
Record low8° (1986)
Thu, 1238° / 27°0.06
38 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high59° (2001)
Record low-2° (1966)
Fri, 1340° / 28°0.06
40 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high66° (1999)
Record low1° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smith Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smith Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.