Monthly outlook for Smith Lake, MN: average high 63.1°, average low 46.9°. That is 5.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 3.7 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (80.2°), the coolest 24 October (39.9°).
63.1°/46.9°
Average high / low
+5.2°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.7 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
65.8°
54.8°
+6.1°
22 October – 31 October
58.7°
51°
+4.3°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
45°
—
October records over 66 years
86.4°3 October 2025All-time high
15.3°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Annandale (12 mi).
Tue, 1364° / 52°0.04
64 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 64°, low 52°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.7 mph NW
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Wed, 1457° / 48°0
57 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 48°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.2 mph N
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Thu, 1562° / 46°0
62 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 15 October
Overcast. High 62°, low 46°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind5.5 mph W
Humidity58%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point43°
Fri, 1654° / 44°0
54 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind18.2 mph NW
Humidity46%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1762° / 41°0
62 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 62°, low 41°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind16.8 mph S
Humidity36%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1866° / 44°0
66 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind18.1 mph SW
Humidity38%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 1968° / 45°0
68 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 19 October
Partly cloudy. High 68°, low 45°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind9.1 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2069° / 48°0
69 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 69°, low 48°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12.5 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Wed, 2176° / 58°0
76 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 76°, low 58°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.9 mph S
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point54°
Thu, 2267° / 54°0.7
67 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 22 October
Rain. High 67°, low 54°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind19.1 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 2357° / 45°0
57 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 57°, low 45°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind14.4 mph N
Humidity41%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 2458° / 40°0.4
58 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind18.5 mph S
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2551° / 44°2.55
51 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 25 October
Heavy rain. High 51°, low 44°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind17 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 2658° / 40°0
58 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 26 October
Clear. High 58°, low 40°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind7.3 mph N
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Tue, 2761° / 42°0
61 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 61°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.2 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2850° / 37°0.06
50 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high71° (2024)
Record low22° (1967)
Thu, 2950° / 37°0.07
50 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high72° (2024)
Record low21° (1988)
Fri, 3050° / 36°0.08
50 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation35%
Record high65° (2008)
Record low22° (1996)
Sat, 3148° / 35°0.11
48 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high67° (2000)
Record low19° (1996)
Sun, 0147° / 35°0.1
47 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high67° (1990)
Record low20° (1984)
Mon, 0247° / 34°0.05
47 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low14° (1991)
Tue, 0346° / 33°0.04
46 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high69° (2008)
Record low10° (1991)
Wed, 0445° / 32°0.04
45 °
Smith Lake, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high68° (2020)
Record low-2° (1991)
Thu, 0546° / 32°0.05
46 °
Smith Lake, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (1975)
Record low8° (1991)
Fri, 0646° / 33°0.06
46 °
Smith Lake, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low2° (1991)
Sat, 0745° / 32°0.02
45 °
Smith Lake, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high69° (2020)
Record low-8° (1991)
Sun, 0845° / 31°0.03
45 °
Smith Lake, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high45°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high69° (1999)
Record low1° (1991)
Mon, 0943° / 31°0.1
43 °
Smith Lake, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1040° / 30°0.12
40 °
Smith Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high62° (2010)
Record low11° (2017)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Smith Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Smith Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.