As of 05:58 CDT

Weather in Carmel, MN

54°

Carmel, Sunday, 11 October, 05:58

Mostly clear. Feels like 54°. High 61°, low 48°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind10 mph N

Humidity95%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point53°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 50.8°, average low 38.6°. That is 0.6° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 1.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 11 October (61.4°), the coolest 17 October (23.7°).

50.8°/38.6°

Average high / low

+0.6°

Above normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

1.8 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
11 October – 20 October	52.7°	50.8°	+1.1°
21 October – 30 October	47.6°	46.7°	+0.5°
31 October – 9 November	at normal	40.3°	—

October records over 66 years

85.8°3 October 2025All-time high

5.7°29 October 1988All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).

Mon, 1248° / 44°

0.25

48 °

Carmel, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 48°, low 44°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind10.7 mph E

Humidity92%

Visibility3.4 mi

Dew point46°

Tue, 1348° / 44°

0.04

48 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 48°, low 44°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind6.6 mph NW

Humidity88%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Wed, 1453° / 41°

53 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 53°, low 41°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind4.8 mph NW

Humidity59%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point36°

Thu, 1560° / 39°

60 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Overcast. High 60°, low 39°.

Pressure30.18 inHg

Wind17.7 mph NW

Humidity60%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

Fri, 1649° / 35°

49 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Overcast. High 49°, low 35°.

Pressure30.62 inHg

Wind18.4 mph N

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Sat, 1739° / 24°

39 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Mostly clear. High 39°, low 24°.

Pressure30.59 inHg

Wind11.4 mph NW

Humidity30%

Visibility—

Dew point7°

Sun, 1849° / 30°

49 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 49°, low 30°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind19.6 mph S

Humidity36%

Visibility—

Dew point19°

Mon, 1960° / 38°

60 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 60°, low 38°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind6 mph SW

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Tue, 2060° / 45°

60 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 60°, low 45°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind12.1 mph S

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Wed, 2154° / 44°

0.02

54 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind18.2 mph W

Humidity51%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Thu, 2249° / 39°

49 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 49°, low 39°.

Pressure30.39 inHg

Wind11.5 mph NW

Humidity66%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

Fri, 2344° / 36°

1.2

44 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Heavy rain. High 44°, low 36°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind21 mph SE

Humidity94%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Sat, 2445° / 36°

45 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Overcast. High 45°, low 36°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind15.7 mph N

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

Sun, 2548° / 40°

0.03

48 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Light rain. High 48°, low 40°.

Pressure30.12 inHg

Wind13.2 mph SW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point34°

Mon, 2645° / 36°

45 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Overcast. High 45°, low 36°.

Pressure30.27 inHg

Wind6.4 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Tue, 2746° / 34°

0.09

46 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation37%

Record high69° (1989)

Record low16° (2020)

Wed, 2845° / 33°

0.07

45 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high64° (2024)

Record low16° (1988)

Thu, 2944° / 32°

0.03

44 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high61° (1977)

Record low6° (1988)

Fri, 3044° / 32°

0.08

44 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high63° (2007)

Record low11° (1988)

Sat, 3143° / 31°

0.07

43 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high62° (1999)

Record low11° (2002)

Sun, 0143° / 31°

0.06

43 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high64° (1990)

Record low7° (1984)

Mon, 0242° / 30°

0.05

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low-1° (1984)

Tue, 0341° / 29°

0.02

41 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high65° (2008)

Record low5° (2003)

Wed, 0440° / 28°

0.03

40 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high62° (1975)

Record low-8° (1991)

Thu, 0541° / 29°

0.04

41 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low10° (1991)

Fri, 0639° / 28°

0.05

39 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low-3° (1991)

Sat, 0740° / 27°

0.05

40 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high59° (2016)

Record low-2° (2003)

Sun, 0839° / 26°

0.06

39 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high65° (2020)

Record low-16° (2003)

Mon, 0937° / 26°

0.05

37 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high61° (2020)

Record low-3° (2017)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.