As of 11:52 CDT

Weather in Carmel, MN

48°

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October, 11:52

Overcast. Feels like 42°. High 49°, low 42°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind11.9 mph SW

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point43°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 53.9°, average low 40.9°. That is 3.4° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 October (64.8°), the coolest 30 October (31.9°).

53.9°/40.9°

Average high / low

+3.4°

Above normal

4 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.3 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
15 October – 24 October	58.6°	48.9°	+5.4°
25 October – 3 November	46°	44.3°	+1°
4 November – 13 November	at normal	37.3°	—

October records over 66 years

85.8°3 October 2025All-time high

5.7°29 October 1988All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).

Fri, 1648° / 35°

48 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Clear. High 48°, low 35°.

Pressure30.59 inHg

Wind9.2 mph NW

Humidity63%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point30°

Sat, 1758° / 38°

58 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 58°, low 38°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind12.3 mph SW

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point33°

Sun, 1862° / 43°

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 62°, low 43°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind8.3 mph W

Humidity51%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Mon, 1960° / 35°

60 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 60°, low 35°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind1.6 mph S

Humidity50%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point32°

Tue, 2061° / 39°

61 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 61°, low 39°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind9.3 mph SE

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Wed, 2165° / 45°

0.03

65 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Light rain. High 65°, low 45°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind13.9 mph S

Humidity57%

Visibility—

Dew point45°

Thu, 2262° / 55°

0.01

62 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Light rain. High 62°, low 55°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind14.7 mph SE

Humidity86%

Visibility—

Dew point57°

Fri, 2362° / 59°

1.15

62 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Heavy rain. High 62°, low 59°.

Pressure29.74 inHg

Wind20.7 mph S

Humidity92%

Visibility—

Dew point59°

Sat, 2460° / 39°

0.41

60 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Rain. High 60°, low 39°.

Pressure29.94 inHg

Wind21.8 mph S

Humidity90%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Sun, 2545° / 33°

45 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Clear. High 45°, low 33°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind10.3 mph W

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

Mon, 2649° / 41°

0.01

49 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Light rain. High 49°, low 41°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind14.8 mph SE

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Tue, 2747° / 39°

0.01

47 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Light rain. High 47°, low 39°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind17.9 mph E

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Wed, 2849° / 40°

0.54

49 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Rain. High 49°, low 40°.

Pressure29.65 inHg

Wind26.8 mph E

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Thu, 2946° / 39°

46 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Overcast. High 46°, low 39°.

Pressure29.65 inHg

Wind14.1 mph SW

Humidity73%

Visibility—

Dew point37°

Fri, 3041° / 32°

0.01

41 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Light snow. High 41°, low 32°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind13.4 mph NW

Humidity70%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Sat, 3143° / 31°

0.07

43 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high62° (1999)

Record low11° (2002)

Sun, 0143° / 31°

0.06

43 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high64° (1990)

Record low7° (1984)

Mon, 0242° / 30°

0.05

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low-1° (1984)

Tue, 0341° / 29°

0.02

41 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high65° (2008)

Record low5° (2003)

Wed, 0440° / 28°

0.03

40 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high62° (1975)

Record low-8° (1991)

Thu, 0541° / 29°

0.04

41 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low10° (1991)

Fri, 0639° / 28°

0.05

39 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low-3° (1991)

Sat, 0740° / 27°

0.05

40 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high59° (2016)

Record low-2° (2003)

Sun, 0839° / 26°

0.06

39 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high65° (2020)

Record low-16° (2003)

Mon, 0937° / 26°

0.05

37 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high61° (2020)

Record low-3° (2017)

Tue, 1034° / 24°

0.05

34 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high56° (2010)

Record low-10° (2017)

Wed, 1134° / 23°

0.04

34 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high56° (2009)

Record low-10° (1986)

Thu, 1234° / 22°

0.04

34 °

Carmel, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low22°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high55° (1981)

Record low-7° (1986)

Fri, 1336° / 23°

0.05

36 °

Carmel, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high36°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high60° (2016)

Record low-11° (1986)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.