As of 19:33 CDT

Weather in Carmel, MN

54°

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October, 19:33

Clear. Feels like 51°. High 62°, low 37°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind13.6 mph SW

Humidity54%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point37°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 59.2°, average low 42.7°. That is 6.8° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (68.9°), the coolest 19 October (33.6°).

59.2°/42.7°

Average high / low

+6.8°

Above normal

2 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.5 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
17 October – 26 October	60°	48.6°	+6.3°
27 October – 5 November	57.8°	42.9°	+8.3°
6 November – 15 November	at normal	36.3°	—

October records over 66 years

85.8°3 October 2025All-time high

5.7°29 October 1988All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).

Sun, 1863° / 43°

63 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 63°, low 43°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind8.5 mph W

Humidity42%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point37°

Mon, 1959° / 34°

59 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Clear. High 59°, low 34°.

Pressure30.36 inHg

Wind5.6 mph SE

Humidity44%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point33°

Tue, 2062° / 42°

62 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Clear. High 62°, low 42°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind8.8 mph S

Humidity71%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point47°

Wed, 2160° / 44°

60 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Clear. High 60°, low 44°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind6.1 mph NE

Humidity73%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point47°

Thu, 2265° / 43°

65 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Mostly clear. High 65°, low 43°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind11.1 mph SE

Humidity68%

Visibility—

Dew point49°

Fri, 2369° / 55°

0.38

69 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Rain. High 69°, low 55°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind14.8 mph S

Humidity64%

Visibility—

Dew point54°

Sat, 2458° / 46°

0.09

58 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Light rain. High 58°, low 46°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind15.2 mph N

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Sun, 2555° / 43°

55 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 43°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind13.6 mph W

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Mon, 2647° / 35°

47 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Clear. High 47°, low 35°.

Pressure30.33 inHg

Wind7.1 mph N

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Tue, 2755° / 35°

55 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Clear. High 55°, low 35°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind13.2 mph S

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Wed, 2854° / 42°

0.02

54 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Light rain. High 54°, low 42°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind18.5 mph SE

Humidity69%

Visibility—

Dew point43°

Thu, 2963° / 49°

63 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Light rain. High 63°, low 49°.

Pressure29.50 inHg

Wind15 mph SE

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Fri, 3059° / 47°

0.02

59 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Light rain. High 59°, low 47°.

Pressure29.56 inHg

Wind13.8 mph SW

Humidity42%

Visibility—

Dew point34°

Sat, 3154° / 40°

54 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Clear. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure29.74 inHg

Wind11.8 mph W

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point33°

Sun, 0162° / 48°

62 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Overcast. High 62°, low 48°.

Pressure29.68 inHg

Wind19.1 mph SW

Humidity47%

Visibility—

Dew point39°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Mon, 0242° / 30°

0.05

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low-1° (1984)

Tue, 0341° / 29°

0.02

41 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high65° (2008)

Record low5° (2003)

Wed, 0440° / 28°

0.03

40 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high62° (1975)

Record low-8° (1991)

Thu, 0541° / 29°

0.04

41 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low10° (1991)

Fri, 0639° / 28°

0.05

39 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low-3° (1991)

Sat, 0740° / 27°

0.05

40 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high59° (2016)

Record low-2° (2003)

Sun, 0839° / 26°

0.06

39 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high65° (2020)

Record low-16° (2003)

Mon, 0937° / 26°

0.05

37 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high61° (2020)

Record low-3° (2017)

Tue, 1034° / 24°

0.05

34 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high56° (2010)

Record low-10° (2017)

Wed, 1134° / 23°

0.04

34 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation18%

Record high56° (2009)

Record low-10° (1986)

Thu, 1234° / 22°

0.04

34 °

Carmel, Thursday, 12 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low22°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high55° (1981)

Record low-7° (1986)

Fri, 1336° / 23°

0.05

36 °

Carmel, Friday, 13 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high36°

Average low23°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high60° (2016)

Record low-11° (1986)

Sat, 1436° / 24°

0.02

36 °

Carmel, Saturday, 14 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high36°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high58° (2001)

Record low4° (1995)

Sun, 1535° / 24°

0.04

35 °

Carmel, Sunday, 15 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high35°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high53° (2001)

Record low6° (1986)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.