As of 13:20 CDT

Weather in Carmel, MN

75°

Carmel, Saturday, 10 October, 13:20

Overcast. Feels like 74°. High 76°, low 54°.

Pressure29.47 inHg

Wind10.7 mph S

Humidity55%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point57°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 48.5°, average low 36.2°. That is 0.9° below the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 8 days (about 2.2 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 10 October (75.7°), the coolest 25 October (22.3°).

48.5°/36.2°

Average high / low

−0.9°

Below normal

8 / 4

Wet days / normal

2.2 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
10 October – 19 October	52.1°	51.4°	+0.4°
20 October – 29 October	42.5°	47.2°	-2.6°
30 October – 8 November	at normal	41.1°	—

October records over 66 years

85.8°3 October 2025All-time high

5.7°29 October 1988All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).

Sun, 1159° / 49°

0.07

59 °

Carmel, Sunday, 11 October

Light rain. High 59°, low 49°.

Pressure29.83 inHg

Wind8.2 mph N

Humidity90%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point51°

Mon, 1251° / 45°

0.35

51 °

Carmel, Monday, 12 October

Rain. High 51°, low 45°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind10.9 mph NE

Humidity97%

Visibility5.1 mi

Dew point46°

Tue, 1348° / 43°

0.07

48 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 48°, low 43°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind6.8 mph NW

Humidity76%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point39°

Wed, 1454° / 40°

54 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 40°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind3.2 mph NW

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point36°

Thu, 1557° / 37°

0.08

57 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 57°, low 37°.

Pressure30.30 inHg

Wind9.1 mph SW

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Fri, 1645° / 26°

0.3

45 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Snow. High 45°, low 26°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind29 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point26°

Sat, 1737° / 24°

37 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Clear. High 37°, low 24°.

Pressure30.56 inHg

Wind17 mph N

Humidity40%

Visibility—

Dew point12°

Sun, 1844° / 29°

44 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 44°, low 29°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind17.6 mph SW

Humidity39%

Visibility—

Dew point18°

Mon, 1952° / 32°

52 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Overcast. High 52°, low 32°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind9.4 mph SE

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point29°

Tue, 2056° / 43°

0.01

56 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Light rain. High 56°, low 43°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind13.4 mph SE

Humidity65%

Visibility—

Dew point41°

Wed, 2148° / 40°

0.54

48 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Rain. High 48°, low 40°.

Pressure29.77 inHg

Wind16.7 mph NW

Humidity96%

Visibility—

Dew point40°

Thu, 2240° / 34°

40 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Overcast. High 40°, low 34°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind17.6 mph NW

Humidity72%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

Fri, 2342° / 29°

42 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Clear. High 42°, low 29°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind12.4 mph NW

Humidity52%

Visibility—

Dew point23°

Sat, 2438° / 30°

0.3

38 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Snow. High 38°, low 30°.

Pressure30.21 inHg

Wind8.7 mph SE

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Sun, 2532° / 22°

0.44

32 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Snow. High 32°, low 22°.

Pressure30.42 inHg

Wind13.2 mph N

Humidity88%

Visibility—

Dew point28°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Mon, 2648° / 35°

0.08

48 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high48°

Average low35°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high71° (1989)

Record low17° (2020)

Tue, 2746° / 34°

0.09

46 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high46°

Average low34°

Average precipitation0.09 in

Chance of precipitation37%

Record high69° (1989)

Record low16° (2020)

Wed, 2845° / 33°

0.07

45 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high64° (2024)

Record low16° (1988)

Thu, 2944° / 32°

0.03

44 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high61° (1977)

Record low6° (1988)

Fri, 3044° / 32°

0.08

44 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high63° (2007)

Record low11° (1988)

Sat, 3143° / 31°

0.07

43 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high62° (1999)

Record low11° (2002)

Sun, 0143° / 31°

0.06

43 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high64° (1990)

Record low7° (1984)

Mon, 0242° / 30°

0.05

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low-1° (1984)

Tue, 0341° / 29°

0.02

41 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high65° (2008)

Record low5° (2003)

Wed, 0440° / 28°

0.03

40 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high62° (1975)

Record low-8° (1991)

Thu, 0541° / 29°

0.04

41 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low10° (1991)

Fri, 0639° / 28°

0.05

39 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low-3° (1991)

Sat, 0740° / 27°

0.05

40 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high59° (2016)

Record low-2° (2003)

Sun, 0839° / 26°

0.06

39 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high65° (2020)

Record low-16° (2003)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.