Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 57.9°, average low 42.3°. That is 6.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (69.7°), the coolest 1 November (24.6°).
57.9°/42.3°
Average high / low
+6.1°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
17 October – 26 October
62.1°
48.6°
+7.5°
27 October – 5 November
50.8°
42.9°
+4.4°
6 November – 15 November
at normal
36.3°
—
October records over 66 years
85.8°3 October 2025All-time high
5.7°29 October 1988All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).
Sun, 1864° / 43°0
64 °
Carmel, Sunday, 18 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind7.9 mph W
Humidity47%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 1959° / 33°0
59 °
Carmel, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 59°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind5.9 mph SE
Humidity44%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Tue, 2063° / 42°0
63 °
Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 63°, low 42°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind8.1 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2165° / 49°0
65 °
Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October
Partly cloudy. High 65°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind6.4 mph NE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Thu, 2266° / 44°0
66 °
Carmel, Thursday, 22 October
Partly cloudy. High 66°, low 44°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind10.9 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point49°
Fri, 2370° / 55°0.05
70 °
Carmel, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 70°, low 55°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind17.6 mph SE
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point51°
Sat, 2468° / 57°0.43
68 °
Carmel, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 68°, low 57°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind17.8 mph S
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Sun, 2554° / 43°0.08
54 °
Carmel, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 43°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.9 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Mon, 2654° / 42°0.07
54 °
Carmel, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 42°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.7 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point39°
Tue, 2761° / 51°0.14
61 °
Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind17.2 mph S
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Wed, 2854° / 44°0
54 °
Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October
Partly cloudy. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind13.8 mph W
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Thu, 2956° / 40°0
56 °
Carmel, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 56°, low 40°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind14.9 mph S
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Fri, 3053° / 41°0.4
53 °
Carmel, Friday, 30 October
Rain. High 53°, low 41°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind24.5 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sat, 3144° / 31°0.89
44 °
Carmel, Saturday, 31 October
Snow. High 44°, low 31°.
Pressure29.18 inHg
Wind26.9 mph NW
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 0136° / 25°0
36 °
Carmel, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 25°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.3 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0242° / 30°0.05
42 °
Carmel, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high67° (2022)
Record low-1° (1984)
Tue, 0341° / 29°0.02
41 °
Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high65° (2008)
Record low5° (2003)
Wed, 0440° / 28°0.03
40 °
Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high62° (1975)
Record low-8° (1991)
Thu, 0541° / 29°0.04
41 °
Carmel, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0639° / 28°0.05
39 °
Carmel, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high66° (2016)
Record low-3° (1991)
Sat, 0740° / 27°0.05
40 °
Carmel, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high59° (2016)
Record low-2° (2003)
Sun, 0839° / 26°0.06
39 °
Carmel, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (2020)
Record low-16° (2003)
Mon, 0937° / 26°0.05
37 °
Carmel, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high37°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high61° (2020)
Record low-3° (2017)
Tue, 1034° / 24°0.05
34 °
Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high56° (2010)
Record low-10° (2017)
Wed, 1134° / 23°0.04
34 °
Carmel, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high56° (2009)
Record low-10° (1986)
Thu, 1234° / 22°0.04
34 °
Carmel, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low22°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high55° (1981)
Record low-7° (1986)
Fri, 1336° / 23°0.05
36 °
Carmel, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low23°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high60° (2016)
Record low-11° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 24°0.02
36 °
Carmel, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high58° (2001)
Record low4° (1995)
Sun, 1535° / 24°0.04
35 °
Carmel, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low24°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high53° (2001)
Record low6° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.