As of 02:43 CDT

Weather in Carmel, MN

47°

Carmel, Monday, 12 October, 02:43

Overcast. Feels like 42°. High 49°, low 46°.

Pressure29.88 inHg

Wind10.8 mph NE

Humidity96%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point46°

See detailed hourly forecast

Monthly outlook for Carmel, MN: average high 51.9°, average low 40.1°. That is 1.5° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 1 day (about 0.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 20 October (66.7°), the coolest 23 October (31.5°).

51.9°/40.1°

Average high / low

+1.5°

Above normal

1 / 4

Wet days / normal

0.4 in

Precipitation this month

Ten-day blocks vs climate normal

Period	Forecast high	Normal	Difference
12 October – 21 October	56.9°	50.1°	+3.7°
22 October – 31 October	43.6°	46.1°	-1.4°
1 November – 10 November	at normal	39.4°	—

October records over 66 years

85.8°3 October 2025All-time high

5.7°29 October 1988All-time low

Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Grygla (8 mi).

Tue, 1349° / 45°

0.04

49 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 13 October

Light rain. High 49°, low 45°.

Pressure29.97 inHg

Wind9.3 mph NW

Humidity84%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point42°

Wed, 1452° / 38°

52 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 14 October

Clear. High 52°, low 38°.

Pressure30.24 inHg

Wind2.5 mph W

Humidity58%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point36°

Thu, 1555° / 40°

0.04

55 °

Carmel, Thursday, 15 October

Light rain. High 55°, low 40°.

Pressure30.06 inHg

Wind12.1 mph W

Humidity62%

Visibility6.2 mi

Dew point40°

Fri, 1649° / 36°

49 °

Carmel, Friday, 16 October

Light rain. High 49°, low 36°.

Pressure30.62 inHg

Wind19.1 mph N

Humidity56%

Visibility—

Dew point31°

Sat, 1757° / 40°

57 °

Carmel, Saturday, 17 October

Partly cloudy. High 57°, low 40°.

Pressure30.00 inHg

Wind17.4 mph S

Humidity38%

Visibility—

Dew point27°

Sun, 1865° / 49°

65 °

Carmel, Sunday, 18 October

Overcast. High 65°, low 49°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind17.7 mph S

Humidity43%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Mon, 1964° / 45°

64 °

Carmel, Monday, 19 October

Mostly clear. High 64°, low 45°.

Pressure30.09 inHg

Wind10.2 mph E

Humidity45%

Visibility—

Dew point38°

Tue, 2067° / 48°

67 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 20 October

Overcast. High 67°, low 48°.

Pressure29.80 inHg

Wind18.9 mph SE

Humidity59%

Visibility—

Dew point44°

Wed, 2163° / 47°

63 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 21 October

Overcast. High 63°, low 47°.

Pressure29.71 inHg

Wind17 mph S

Humidity48%

Visibility—

Dew point36°

Thu, 2243° / 37°

0.02

43 °

Carmel, Thursday, 22 October

Light snow. High 43°, low 37°.

Pressure29.68 inHg

Wind18.8 mph NW

Humidity71%

Visibility—

Dew point30°

Fri, 2341° / 31°

41 °

Carmel, Friday, 23 October

Light snow. High 41°, low 31°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind19.2 mph NW

Humidity61%

Visibility—

Dew point25°

Sat, 2448° / 33°

48 °

Carmel, Saturday, 24 October

Overcast. High 48°, low 33°.

Pressure29.91 inHg

Wind16.6 mph SE

Humidity49%

Visibility—

Dew point24°

Sun, 2552° / 37°

52 °

Carmel, Sunday, 25 October

Partly cloudy. High 52°, low 37°.

Pressure29.85 inHg

Wind9.4 mph SE

Humidity53%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Mon, 2642° / 37°

0.01

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 26 October

Light rain. High 42°, low 37°.

Pressure30.15 inHg

Wind9.8 mph N

Humidity74%

Visibility—

Dew point32°

Tue, 2736° / 34°

0.01

36 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 27 October

Light snow. High 36°, low 34°.

Pressure30.03 inHg

Wind4.5 mph W

Humidity97%

Visibility—

Dew point35°

From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics

Wed, 2845° / 33°

0.07

45 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 28 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high45°

Average low33°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high64° (2024)

Record low16° (1988)

Thu, 2944° / 32°

0.03

44 °

Carmel, Thursday, 29 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation25%

Record high61° (1977)

Record low6° (1988)

Fri, 3044° / 32°

0.08

44 °

Carmel, Friday, 30 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high44°

Average low32°

Average precipitation0.08 in

Chance of precipitation32%

Record high63° (2007)

Record low11° (1988)

Sat, 3143° / 31°

0.07

43 °

Carmel, Saturday, 31 October

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.07 in

Chance of precipitation28%

Record high62° (1999)

Record low11° (2002)

Sun, 0143° / 31°

0.06

43 °

Carmel, Sunday, 1 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high43°

Average low31°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation27%

Record high64° (1990)

Record low7° (1984)

Mon, 0242° / 30°

0.05

42 °

Carmel, Monday, 2 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high42°

Average low30°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high67° (2022)

Record low-1° (1984)

Tue, 0341° / 29°

0.02

41 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 3 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.02 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high65° (2008)

Record low5° (2003)

Wed, 0440° / 28°

0.03

40 °

Carmel, Wednesday, 4 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.03 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high62° (1975)

Record low-8° (1991)

Thu, 0541° / 29°

0.04

41 °

Carmel, Thursday, 5 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high41°

Average low29°

Average precipitation0.04 in

Chance of precipitation15%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low10° (1991)

Fri, 0639° / 28°

0.05

39 °

Carmel, Friday, 6 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low28°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high66° (2016)

Record low-3° (1991)

Sat, 0740° / 27°

0.05

40 °

Carmel, Saturday, 7 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high40°

Average low27°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation30%

Record high59° (2016)

Record low-2° (2003)

Sun, 0839° / 26°

0.06

39 °

Carmel, Sunday, 8 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high39°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.06 in

Chance of precipitation22%

Record high65° (2020)

Record low-16° (2003)

Mon, 0937° / 26°

0.05

37 °

Carmel, Monday, 9 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high37°

Average low26°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation17%

Record high61° (2020)

Record low-3° (2017)

Tue, 1034° / 24°

0.05

34 °

Carmel, Tuesday, 10 November

Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.

Average high34°

Average low24°

Average precipitation0.05 in

Chance of precipitation23%

Record high56° (2010)

Record low-10° (2017)

About the monthly outlook

How accurate is a 30-day forecast?

The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Carmel, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.

What does "above normal" mean?

We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.

Where do the 66-year records come from?

They are real temperature extremes recorded in Carmel, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.

How often is it updated?

The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.