Monthly outlook for Welch, MN: average high 65.1°, average low 50.4°. That is 5.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 4 days (about 2.0 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.2 inches. The warmest day looks like 12 October (84.3°), the coolest 26 October (38.2°).
65.1°/50.4°
Average high / low
+5.2°
Above normal
4 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.0 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
12 October – 21 October
66.2°
56.7°
+5.3°
22 October – 31 October
63.4°
53.1°
+5.7°
1 November – 10 November
at normal
47.1°
—
October records over 66 years
88°3 October 2025All-time high
17.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cannon Falls (9 mi).
Tue, 1366° / 54°0.04
66 °
Welch, Tuesday, 13 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 54°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind9 mph W
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point49°
Wed, 1461° / 51°0
61 °
Welch, Wednesday, 14 October
Overcast. High 61°, low 51°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind6.7 mph N
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Thu, 1561° / 49°0.11
61 °
Welch, Thursday, 15 October
Rain. High 61°, low 49°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind4.9 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 1656° / 44°0
56 °
Welch, Friday, 16 October
Clear. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.56 inHg
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Sat, 1763° / 39°0
63 °
Welch, Saturday, 17 October
Clear. High 63°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind13.6 mph SW
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1866° / 46°0
66 °
Welch, Sunday, 18 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind18.8 mph SW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Mon, 1967° / 47°0
67 °
Welch, Monday, 19 October
Overcast. High 67°, low 47°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind12.7 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Tue, 2066° / 46°0
66 °
Welch, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 66°, low 46°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.8 mph SE
Humidity53%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 2172° / 56°0
72 °
Welch, Wednesday, 21 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 56°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind18.3 mph SE
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 2266° / 63°0.31
66 °
Welch, Thursday, 22 October
Light rain. High 66°, low 63°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Fri, 2371° / 63°0.2
71 °
Welch, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 71°, low 63°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind13.8 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility—
Dew point62°
Sat, 2470° / 58°1.3
70 °
Welch, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 70°, low 58°.
Pressure29.62 inHg
Wind23.1 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point58°
Sun, 2554° / 44°0.03
54 °
Welch, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 44°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind22.3 mph NW
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 2664° / 38°0
64 °
Welch, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 64°, low 38°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind14.9 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point36°
Tue, 2756° / 43°0
56 °
Welch, Tuesday, 27 October
Mostly clear. High 56°, low 43°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind22.7 mph N
Humidity42%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2851° / 38°0.07
51 °
Welch, Wednesday, 28 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high51°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high72° (2016)
Record low24° (1967)
Thu, 2952° / 38°0.07
52 °
Welch, Thursday, 29 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low38°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high79° (2024)
Record low24° (1988)
Fri, 3052° / 39°0.06
52 °
Welch, Friday, 30 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high52°
Average low39°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high75° (2024)
Record low22° (1988)
Sat, 3150° / 37°0.11
50 °
Welch, Saturday, 31 October
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high50°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.11 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2000)
Record low21° (1996)
Sun, 0149° / 37°0.1
49 °
Welch, Sunday, 1 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low37°
Average precipitation0.1 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high71° (2000)
Record low22° (1984)
Mon, 0249° / 36°0.07
49 °
Welch, Monday, 2 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high49°
Average low36°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high73° (2022)
Record low14° (1991)
Tue, 0348° / 35°0.06
48 °
Welch, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high71° (2008)
Record low11° (1991)
Wed, 0447° / 34°0.05
47 °
Welch, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high70° (2008)
Record low-2° (1991)
Thu, 0548° / 34°0.07
48 °
Welch, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high48°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high68° (2016)
Record low10° (1991)
Fri, 0647° / 35°0.07
47 °
Welch, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low3° (1991)
Sat, 0747° / 34°0.02
47 °
Welch, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low-9° (1991)
Sun, 0847° / 33°0.02
47 °
Welch, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low-1° (1991)
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.13
46 °
Welch, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1043° / 31°0.12
43 °
Welch, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low10° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.