Monthly outlook for Welch, MN: average high 57.1°, average low 42.7°. That is 3° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 2.4 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 22 October (72.2°), the coolest 27 October (29.9°).
57.1°/42.7°
Average high / low
+3°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
2.4 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
58.3°
53.6°
+2.6°
31 October – 9 November
55.1°
47.8°
+4°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
42°
—
October records over 66 years
88°3 October 2025All-time high
17.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cannon Falls (9 mi).
Thu, 2272° / 42°0
72 °
Welch, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 42°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity66%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 2372° / 55°0.01
72 °
Welch, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 72°, low 55°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 2472° / 60°0
72 °
Welch, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 72°, low 60°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2560° / 51°0.17
60 °
Welch, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 51°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind7 mph N
Humidity84%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 2648° / 42°0.57
48 °
Welch, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 48°, low 42°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind12.2 mph NE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Tue, 2747° / 30°0
47 °
Welch, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 47°, low 30°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind9.6 mph NE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Wed, 2848° / 35°0.38
48 °
Welch, Wednesday, 28 October
Rain. High 48°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind16.1 mph NW
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Thu, 2946° / 37°0.01
46 °
Welch, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 46°, low 37°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity52%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Fri, 3047° / 31°0
47 °
Welch, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 31°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.5 mph SE
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 3152° / 33°0.05
52 °
Welch, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 52°, low 33°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 0149° / 42°0.06
49 °
Welch, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 42°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind10.2 mph S
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Mon, 0255° / 39°0
55 °
Welch, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 55°, low 39°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind7 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Tue, 0358° / 43°0
58 °
Welch, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 43°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind14.5 mph SE
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 0458° / 51°0.96
58 °
Welch, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 58°, low 51°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind18.8 mph E
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Thu, 0558° / 46°0.2
58 °
Welch, Thursday, 5 November
Rain. High 58°, low 46°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.8 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0647° / 35°0.07
47 °
Welch, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low3° (1991)
Sat, 0747° / 34°0.02
47 °
Welch, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low-9° (1991)
Sun, 0847° / 33°0.02
47 °
Welch, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low-1° (1991)
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.13
46 °
Welch, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1043° / 31°0.12
43 °
Welch, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low10° (2018)
Wed, 1142° / 29°0.06
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low9° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 29°0.07
40 °
Welch, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low5° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low4° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 30°0.02
42 °
Welch, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low12° (2014)
Sun, 1543° / 30°0.05
43 °
Welch, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low11° (2014)
Mon, 1643° / 29°0.07
43 °
Welch, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low9° (1997)
Tue, 1742° / 30°0.07
42 °
Welch, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low8° (2014)
Wed, 1842° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1941° / 29°0.09
41 °
Welch, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low7° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.