Monthly outlook for Welch, MN: average high 59.1°, average low 45.8°. That is 4.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 3.1 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (72.8°), the coolest 29 October (34.7°).
59.1°/45.8°
Average high / low
+4.1°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
3.1 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
62.4°
53.6°
+4.9°
31 October – 9 November
53.5°
47.8°
+3.2°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
42°
—
October records over 66 years
88°3 October 2025All-time high
17.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cannon Falls (9 mi).
Thu, 2272° / 44°0
72 °
Welch, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 72°, low 44°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind4.9 mph SE
Humidity67%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point55°
Fri, 2372° / 52°0
72 °
Welch, Friday, 23 October
Clear. High 72°, low 52°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind11.1 mph S
Humidity56%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point53°
Sat, 2473° / 59°0
73 °
Welch, Saturday, 24 October
Overcast. High 73°, low 59°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind12 mph S
Humidity53%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point51°
Sun, 2562° / 54°0.11
62 °
Welch, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Mon, 2657° / 44°0.61
57 °
Welch, Monday, 26 October
Rain. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind12 mph N
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Tue, 2748° / 41°0.09
48 °
Welch, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind12.4 mph N
Humidity91%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Wed, 2863° / 48°0
63 °
Welch, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 63°, low 48°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind13.9 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Thu, 2953° / 35°0
53 °
Welch, Thursday, 29 October
Clear. High 53°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind9.3 mph W
Humidity32%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Fri, 3054° / 40°0
54 °
Welch, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 54°, low 40°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind16.9 mph SE
Humidity33%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Sat, 3161° / 45°1.13
61 °
Welch, Saturday, 31 October
Heavy rain. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure29.47 inHg
Wind24.3 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sun, 0160° / 50°0.04
60 °
Welch, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 60°, low 50°.
Pressure29.80 inHg
Wind14.3 mph N
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Mon, 0256° / 45°0.05
56 °
Welch, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 45°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind13.4 mph N
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point41°
Tue, 0351° / 40°0
51 °
Welch, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind15 mph N
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Wed, 0446° / 43°0.8
46 °
Welch, Wednesday, 4 November
Rain. High 46°, low 43°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind14.8 mph N
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Thu, 0547° / 45°0.24
47 °
Welch, Thursday, 5 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 45°.
Pressure29.41 inHg
Wind10.5 mph W
Humidity97%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0647° / 35°0.07
47 °
Welch, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low35°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high71° (2020)
Record low3° (1991)
Sat, 0747° / 34°0.02
47 °
Welch, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low34°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation8%
Record high70° (2001)
Record low-9° (1991)
Sun, 0847° / 33°0.02
47 °
Welch, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high47°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation13%
Record high72° (1999)
Record low-1° (1991)
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.13
46 °
Welch, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1043° / 31°0.12
43 °
Welch, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low10° (2018)
Wed, 1142° / 29°0.06
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low9° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 29°0.07
40 °
Welch, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low5° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low4° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 30°0.02
42 °
Welch, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low12° (2014)
Sun, 1543° / 30°0.05
43 °
Welch, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low11° (2014)
Mon, 1643° / 29°0.07
43 °
Welch, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low9° (1997)
Tue, 1742° / 30°0.07
42 °
Welch, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low8° (2014)
Wed, 1842° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1941° / 29°0.09
41 °
Welch, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low7° (1986)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.