Monthly outlook for Welch, MN: average high 59.3°, average low 46.4°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 7 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 24 October (71.3°), the coolest 4 November (32.2°).
59.3°/46.4°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
7 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
24 October – 2 November
60.5°
51.9°
+4.8°
3 November – 12 November
57.4°
45.6°
+6.6°
13 November – 22 November
at normal
41°
—
October records over 66 years
88°3 October 2025All-time high
17.8°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Cannon Falls (9 mi).
Sun, 2556° / 52°0.04
56 °
Welch, Sunday, 25 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 52°.
Pressure30.45 inHg
Wind4.8 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility5.8 mi
Dew point40°
Mon, 2654° / 46°0.11
54 °
Welch, Monday, 26 October
Light rain. High 54°, low 46°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind8.9 mph NE
Humidity86%
Visibility2.9 mi
Dew point44°
Tue, 2768° / 49°0.01
68 °
Welch, Tuesday, 27 October
Light rain. High 68°, low 49°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity68%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Wed, 2865° / 53°0.15
65 °
Welch, Wednesday, 28 October
Light rain. High 65°, low 53°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind13.4 mph S
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 2962° / 43°0.04
62 °
Welch, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 62°, low 43°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind3.9 mph NW
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Fri, 3057° / 39°0
57 °
Welch, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 57°, low 39°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind16.2 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3159° / 49°0.36
59 °
Welch, Saturday, 31 October
Rain. High 59°, low 49°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind18.8 mph S
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 0156° / 55°0.39
56 °
Welch, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 55°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind15.2 mph S
Humidity96%
Visibility—
Dew point55°
Mon, 0256° / 44°0.02
56 °
Welch, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind22.1 mph N
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Tue, 0349° / 37°0
49 °
Welch, Tuesday, 3 November
Clear. High 49°, low 37°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind10.8 mph N
Humidity40%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Wed, 0449° / 32°0
49 °
Welch, Wednesday, 4 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 32°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind11.5 mph SE
Humidity37%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Thu, 0558° / 41°0
58 °
Welch, Thursday, 5 November
Overcast. High 58°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind16.7 mph SE
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point38°
Fri, 0664° / 50°0
64 °
Welch, Friday, 6 November
Mostly clear. High 64°, low 50°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind12.1 mph S
Humidity65%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sat, 0767° / 52°0.2
67 °
Welch, Saturday, 7 November
Light rain. High 67°, low 52°.
Pressure29.71 inHg
Wind14.2 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point56°
Sun, 0857° / 44°0
57 °
Welch, Sunday, 8 November
Clear. High 57°, low 44°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind17.5 mph NW
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Mon, 0946° / 33°0.13
46 °
Welch, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high46°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.13 in
Chance of precipitation33%
Record high71° (1999)
Record low12° (2003)
Tue, 1043° / 31°0.12
43 °
Welch, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.12 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high70° (2022)
Record low10° (2018)
Wed, 1142° / 29°0.06
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high65° (2012)
Record low9° (2019)
Thu, 1240° / 29°0.07
40 °
Welch, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high61° (2005)
Record low5° (2019)
Fri, 1342° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (1999)
Record low4° (1986)
Sat, 1442° / 30°0.02
42 °
Welch, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high69° (2025)
Record low12° (2014)
Sun, 1543° / 30°0.05
43 °
Welch, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high65° (1990)
Record low11° (2014)
Mon, 1643° / 29°0.07
43 °
Welch, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high43°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high66° (2023)
Record low9° (1997)
Tue, 1742° / 30°0.07
42 °
Welch, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high67° (2001)
Record low8° (2014)
Wed, 1842° / 29°0.07
42 °
Welch, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high42°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high63° (1999)
Record low4° (2014)
Thu, 1941° / 29°0.09
41 °
Welch, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high41°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high57° (2012)
Record low7° (1986)
Fri, 2039° / 27°0.09
39 °
Welch, Friday, 20 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.09 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high58° (2003)
Record low6° (2022)
Sat, 2138° / 25°0.05
38 °
Welch, Saturday, 21 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high68° (1990)
Record low-1° (2014)
Sun, 2238° / 26°0.03
38 °
Welch, Sunday, 22 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low26°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high60° (2012)
Record low-1° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Welch, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Welch, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.