Monthly outlook for Birch Beach, MN: average high 38.7°, average low 32.9°. That is 4.4° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 2 days (about 0.5 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.7 inches. The warmest day looks like 16 November (48.1°), the coolest 15 November (26.5°).
38.7°/32.9°
Average high / low
+4.4°
Above normal
2 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.5 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
15 November – 24 November
40.6°
32.5°
+4.5°
25 November – 4 December
35.5°
26.9°
+4.8°
5 December – 14 December
at normal
21.6°
—
November records over 66 years
66.7°2 November 2022All-time high
-9°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arnesén (6 mi).
Mon, 1648° / 31°0
48 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 48°, low 31°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind11.7 mph SW
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point38°
Tue, 1745° / 41°0
45 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 45°, low 41°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind8.3 mph S
Humidity90%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Wed, 1846° / 40°0.04
46 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 40°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind8.9 mph SE
Humidity91%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point41°
Thu, 1942° / 38°0.02
42 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 42°, low 38°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind25.5 mph NW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 2040° / 36°0.01
40 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 20 November
Light snow. High 40°, low 36°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind14.8 mph S
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
Sat, 2139° / 35°0
39 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind21.3 mph NE
Humidity76%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 2234° / 29°0
34 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Clear. High 34°, low 29°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind22.1 mph NE
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point13°
Mon, 2331° / 27°0
31 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 31°, low 27°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind12.4 mph SE
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point8°
Tue, 2435° / 29°0
35 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 35°, low 29°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind19.8 mph S
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2538° / 33°0
38 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 33°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind18.7 mph S
Humidity66%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Thu, 2635° / 33°0.03
35 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Snow. High 35°, low 33°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity89%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Fri, 2736° / 35°0.13
36 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 27 November
Snow. High 36°, low 35°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity98%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2836° / 32°0.26
36 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Snow. High 36°, low 32°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind25.9 mph N
Humidity94%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Sun, 2931° / 29°0
31 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 31°, low 29°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind24.7 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point22°
Mon, 3037° / 31°0
37 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind20 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0126° / 17°0.02
26 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-7° (1976)
Wed, 0225° / 16°0.02
25 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-9° (1976)
Thu, 0325° / 16°0.03
25 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-13° (1972)
Fri, 0426° / 16°0.05
26 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high43° (2015)
Record low-18° (1991)
Sat, 0525° / 14°0.04
25 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high42° (2015)
Record low-8° (1991)
Sun, 0622° / 11°0.04
22 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high44° (2023)
Record low-21° (1972)
Mon, 0722° / 12°0.02
22 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high41° (2023)
Record low-16° (1972)
Tue, 0822° / 12°0.04
22 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high39° (1990)
Record low-14° (1972)
Wed, 0922° / 11°0.05
22 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high41° (2015)
Record low-16° (1972)
Thu, 1020° / 10°0.03
20 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high38° (2015)
Record low-19° (1995)
Fri, 1120° / 10°0.03
20 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high20°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high38° (1998)
Record low-23° (1995)
Sat, 1221° / 9°0.04
21 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low9°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation37%
Record high38° (2021)
Record low-23° (1995)
Sun, 1321° / 10°0.04
21 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high21°
Average low10°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high37° (1999)
Record low-17° (1989)
Mon, 1422° / 11°0.04
22 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high43° (2023)
Record low-17° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Beach, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Beach, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.