Monthly outlook for Birch Beach, MN: average high 51.4°, average low 40.4°. That is 3.7° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.9 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 18 October (62.1°), the coolest 1 November (32.8°).
51.4°/40.4°
Average high / low
+3.7°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.9 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
18 October – 27 October
53.7°
46.4°
+4.1°
28 October – 6 November
47.6°
41.2°
+3.6°
7 November – 16 November
at normal
35.8°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°3 October 2025All-time high
18°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arnesén (6 mi).
Mon, 1957° / 43°0
57 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 19 October
Clear. High 57°, low 43°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind4.7 mph SE
Humidity77%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point42°
Tue, 2059° / 44°0
59 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 59°, low 44°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.8 mph S
Humidity80%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point47°
Wed, 2154° / 47°0
54 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind8.7 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 2259° / 46°0
59 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 59°, low 46°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind10.4 mph SE
Humidity84%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 2362° / 54°0.22
62 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 23 October
Rain. High 62°, low 54°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind22.2 mph SE
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point53°
Sat, 2458° / 44°0.1
58 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 58°, low 44°.
Pressure29.91 inHg
Wind30.2 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point48°
Sun, 2540° / 34°0.02
40 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Light snow. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure30.15 inHg
Wind33.6 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point27°
Mon, 2642° / 35°0
42 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 26 October
Partly cloudy. High 42°, low 35°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.7 mph NW
Humidity49%
Visibility—
Dew point21°
Tue, 2745° / 35°0
45 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Clear. High 45°, low 35°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind13.6 mph S
Humidity39%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Wed, 2849° / 36°0
49 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Overcast. High 49°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind17.9 mph SE
Humidity57%
Visibility—
Dew point30°
Thu, 2956° / 44°0.03
56 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Light rain. High 56°, low 44°.
Pressure29.65 inHg
Wind24.4 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Fri, 3055° / 35°0.33
55 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 30 October
Snow. High 55°, low 35°.
Pressure29.00 inHg
Wind30.6 mph SW
Humidity70%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 3139° / 35°0.13
39 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Snow. High 39°, low 35°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind31.6 mph W
Humidity80%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sun, 0141° / 33°0.05
41 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 41°, low 33°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16.8 mph SW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
Mon, 0246° / 35°0.01
46 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 2 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 35°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.7 mph W
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 0340° / 33°0.02
40 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low33°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high62° (2022)
Record low12° (1991)
Wed, 0440° / 32°0.04
40 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low8° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 32°0.04
40 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1975)
Record low12° (1991)
Fri, 0639° / 31°0.07
39 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low4° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high56° (2016)
Record low7° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low6° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 29°0.06
36 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low9° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 28°0.06
35 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high52° (2016)
Record low3° (2017)
Wed, 1134° / 27°0.05
34 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (2005)
Record low3° (1986)
Thu, 1234° / 27°0.04
34 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high50° (1981)
Record low1° (1986)
Fri, 1335° / 28°0.07
35 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (2016)
Record low2° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 28°0.02
36 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high56° (2025)
Record low12° (2019)
Sun, 1535° / 28°0.04
35 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high50° (2024)
Record low13° (1986)
Mon, 1635° / 28°0.05
35 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high49° (2001)
Record low8° (1989)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Beach, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Beach, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.