Monthly outlook for Birch Beach, MN: average high 48.8°, average low 39.8°. That is 3.1° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 1.2 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.0 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (63.3°), the coolest 5 November (26°).
48.8°/39.8°
Average high / low
+3.1°
Above normal
5 / 5
Wet days / normal
1.2 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
21 October – 30 October
52.6°
44.9°
+4.2°
31 October – 9 November
42.6°
39.5°
+1.7°
10 November – 19 November
at normal
34.5°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°3 October 2025All-time high
18°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arnesén (6 mi).
Thu, 2261° / 45°0
61 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 61°, low 45°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind9.5 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 2363° / 54°0.69
63 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 23 October
Heavy rain. High 63°, low 54°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind17.1 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point54°
Sat, 2458° / 48°0.11
58 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Rain. High 58°, low 48°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind22.9 mph W
Humidity74%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point45°
Sun, 2546° / 41°0
46 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Overcast. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind13.7 mph NW
Humidity65%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point30°
Mon, 2642° / 39°0
42 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 26 October
Overcast. High 42°, low 39°.
Pressure30.62 inHg
Wind14.1 mph N
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Tue, 2744° / 40°0
44 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 44°, low 40°.
Pressure30.42 inHg
Wind13.2 mph W
Humidity63%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Wed, 2846° / 36°0
46 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 46°, low 36°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind16.2 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Thu, 2951° / 40°0
51 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Overcast. High 51°, low 40°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind16.6 mph SW
Humidity61%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Fri, 3055° / 44°0
55 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 30 October
Overcast. High 55°, low 44°.
Pressure29.59 inHg
Wind16.7 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point40°
Sat, 3151° / 46°0.07
51 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Light rain. High 51°, low 46°.
Pressure29.56 inHg
Wind12.7 mph SW
Humidity81%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Sun, 0147° / 38°0.01
47 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 38°.
Pressure29.77 inHg
Wind23.2 mph NW
Humidity64%
Visibility—
Dew point33°
Mon, 0239° / 32°0
39 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 2 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 32°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind22.5 mph NW
Humidity54%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Tue, 0337° / 31°0
37 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind19 mph NW
Humidity55%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
Wed, 0446° / 34°0.2
46 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Snow. High 46°, low 34°.
Pressure29.21 inHg
Wind22.1 mph S
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Thu, 0535° / 26°0.14
35 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Snow. High 35°, low 26°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind33.6 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point20°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Fri, 0639° / 31°0.07
39 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low4° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high56° (2016)
Record low7° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low6° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 29°0.06
36 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low9° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 28°0.06
35 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high52° (2016)
Record low3° (2017)
Wed, 1134° / 27°0.05
34 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (2005)
Record low3° (1986)
Thu, 1234° / 27°0.04
34 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high50° (1981)
Record low1° (1986)
Fri, 1335° / 28°0.07
35 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (2016)
Record low2° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 28°0.02
36 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high56° (2025)
Record low12° (2019)
Sun, 1535° / 28°0.04
35 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high50° (2024)
Record low13° (1986)
Mon, 1635° / 28°0.05
35 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high49° (2001)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 27°0.08
34 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high51° (2001)
Record low8° (2018)
Wed, 1833° / 25°0.07
33 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high48° (2001)
Record low8° (2022)
Thu, 1933° / 25°0.08
33 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high33°
Average low25°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high47° (2023)
Record low6° (1978)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Beach, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Beach, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.