Monthly outlook for Birch Beach, MN: average high 48.4°, average low 38.5°. That is 2.2° above the climate normal for October. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 5 days and 1.1 inches. The warmest day looks like 23 October (60.5°), the coolest 27 October (27.8°).
48.4°/38.5°
Average high / low
+2.2°
Above normal
3 / 5
Wet days / normal
0.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
19 October – 28 October
51°
46°
+2.8°
29 October – 7 November
43.9°
40.7°
+1.8°
8 November – 17 November
at normal
35.3°
—
October records over 66 years
82.9°3 October 2025All-time high
18°27 October 2020All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arnesén (6 mi).
Tue, 2060° / 42°0
60 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 20 October
Clear. High 60°, low 42°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind12.2 mph S
Humidity78%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point46°
Wed, 2154° / 47°0
54 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 21 October
Clear. High 54°, low 47°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind8.8 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point44°
Thu, 2259° / 45°0
59 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 22 October
Clear. High 59°, low 45°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind11.6 mph SE
Humidity83%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point48°
Fri, 2360° / 54°0.06
60 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 23 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 54°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind19.4 mph SE
Humidity82%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point52°
Sat, 2460° / 53°0.19
60 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 24 October
Light rain. High 60°, low 53°.
Pressure29.94 inHg
Wind25.6 mph S
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point50°
Sun, 2550° / 35°0.01
50 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 25 October
Light snow. High 50°, low 35°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind33.2 mph W
Humidity59%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2635° / 32°0
35 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 26 October
Light snow. High 35°, low 32°.
Pressure30.39 inHg
Wind25.5 mph NW
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 2734° / 28°0
34 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 27 October
Overcast. High 34°, low 28°.
Pressure30.65 inHg
Wind18 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Wed, 2839° / 30°0
39 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 28 October
Clear. High 39°, low 30°.
Pressure30.50 inHg
Wind16.6 mph W
Humidity45%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Thu, 2944° / 34°0
44 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 29 October
Partly cloudy. High 44°, low 34°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity34%
Visibility—
Dew point14°
Fri, 3047° / 37°0
47 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 30 October
Clear. High 47°, low 37°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind15.1 mph S
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 3147° / 40°0
47 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 31 October
Overcast. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind16.8 mph NW
Humidity60%
Visibility—
Dew point32°
Sun, 0136° / 33°0
36 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 1 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 33°.
Pressure30.36 inHg
Wind15.7 mph N
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Mon, 0245° / 33°0
45 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 2 November
Clear. High 45°, low 33°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind16.9 mph S
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point23°
Tue, 0344° / 38°0.04
44 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 3 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 38°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind21 mph SE
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point34°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 0440° / 32°0.04
40 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 4 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (2020)
Record low8° (1991)
Thu, 0540° / 32°0.04
40 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 5 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high40°
Average low32°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high55° (1975)
Record low12° (1991)
Fri, 0639° / 31°0.07
39 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 6 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high39°
Average low31°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high58° (2016)
Record low4° (1991)
Sat, 0738° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 7 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation40%
Record high56° (2016)
Record low7° (1991)
Sun, 0838° / 30°0.07
38 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 8 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high38°
Average low30°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high64° (2020)
Record low6° (2003)
Mon, 0936° / 29°0.06
36 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 9 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low29°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high62° (2020)
Record low9° (2017)
Tue, 1035° / 28°0.06
35 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high52° (2016)
Record low3° (2017)
Wed, 1134° / 27°0.05
34 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high49° (2005)
Record low3° (1986)
Thu, 1234° / 27°0.04
34 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high50° (1981)
Record low1° (1986)
Fri, 1335° / 28°0.07
35 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 13 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.07 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high54° (2016)
Record low2° (1986)
Sat, 1436° / 28°0.02
36 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high36°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high56° (2025)
Record low12° (2019)
Sun, 1535° / 28°0.04
35 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high50° (2024)
Record low13° (1986)
Mon, 1635° / 28°0.05
35 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 16 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high35°
Average low28°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation25%
Record high49° (2001)
Record low8° (1989)
Tue, 1734° / 27°0.08
34 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high34°
Average low27°
Average precipitation0.08 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high51° (2001)
Record low8° (2018)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Beach, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Beach, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.