Monthly outlook for Birch Beach, MN: average high 43.2°, average low 37.3°. That is 5.1° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 5 days (about 0.8 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (51.3°), the coolest 14 November (33.1°).
43.2°/37.3°
Average high / low
+5.1°
Above normal
5 / 4
Wet days / normal
0.8 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
8 November – 17 November
44.7°
35.3°
+5.2°
18 November – 27 November
40.7°
30.4°
+5.7°
28 November – 7 December
at normal
25.4°
—
November records over 66 years
66.7°2 November 2022All-time high
-9°29 November 1985All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Arnesén (6 mi).
Mon, 0951° / 38°0
51 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 9 November
Clear. High 51°, low 38°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind15.9 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point40°
Tue, 1047° / 40°0
47 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 10 November
Clear. High 47°, low 40°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind10.6 mph W
Humidity79%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point37°
Wed, 1143° / 36°0.01
43 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 11 November
Light snow. High 43°, low 36°.
Pressure30.18 inHg
Wind17.2 mph N
Humidity81%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point33°
Thu, 1238° / 33°0.04
38 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 38°, low 33°.
Pressure30.33 inHg
Wind9.2 mph NE
Humidity89%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point25°
Fri, 1336° / 34°0
36 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 34°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind12.2 mph SE
Humidity87%
Visibility—
Dew point31°
Sat, 1443° / 33°0
43 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 14 November
Overcast. High 43°, low 33°.
Pressure29.74 inHg
Wind15.7 mph S
Humidity67%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sun, 1546° / 41°0
46 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 15 November
Mostly clear. High 46°, low 41°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind11.2 mph W
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Mon, 1649° / 41°0
49 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 49°, low 41°.
Pressure29.88 inHg
Wind14.1 mph SE
Humidity71%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Tue, 1748° / 41°0.04
48 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 48°, low 41°.
Pressure29.85 inHg
Wind16.1 mph SE
Humidity93%
Visibility—
Dew point44°
Wed, 1847° / 45°0.41
47 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 18 November
Rain. High 47°, low 45°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind15.9 mph SE
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point45°
Thu, 1944° / 37°0.13
44 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 19 November
Light rain. High 44°, low 37°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind16.4 mph W
Humidity82%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Fri, 2040° / 37°0.13
40 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 20 November
Light rain. High 40°, low 37°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind14.7 mph N
Humidity85%
Visibility—
Dew point35°
Sat, 2136° / 34°0.01
36 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 21 November
Light snow. High 36°, low 34°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind15.4 mph N
Humidity69%
Visibility—
Dew point25°
Sun, 2238° / 33°0
38 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 22 November
Partly cloudy. High 38°, low 33°.
Pressure30.47 inHg
Wind12.5 mph W
Humidity72%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Mon, 2340° / 34°0
40 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 40°, low 34°.
Pressure30.30 inHg
Wind10.3 mph S
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point26°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Tue, 2430° / 21°0.03
30 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 24 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high45° (2017)
Record low-1° (1985)
Wed, 2529° / 21°0.04
29 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high46° (1984)
Record low-3° (1996)
Thu, 2628° / 20°0.04
28 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low20°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high45° (1962)
Record low0° (1985)
Fri, 2727° / 19°0.02
27 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high48° (2017)
Record low-7° (1985)
Sat, 2827° / 19°0.05
27 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation28%
Record high43° (1962)
Record low-8° (1985)
Sun, 2929° / 19°0.03
29 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high42° (2016)
Record low-9° (1985)
Mon, 3027° / 19°0.03
27 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high41° (1962)
Record low-5° (1978)
Tue, 0126° / 17°0.02
26 °
Birch Beach, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation15%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-7° (1976)
Wed, 0225° / 16°0.02
25 °
Birch Beach, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-9° (1976)
Thu, 0325° / 16°0.03
25 °
Birch Beach, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (1962)
Record low-13° (1972)
Fri, 0426° / 16°0.05
26 °
Birch Beach, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low16°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation30%
Record high43° (2015)
Record low-18° (1991)
Sat, 0525° / 14°0.04
25 °
Birch Beach, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high42° (2015)
Record low-8° (1991)
Sun, 0622° / 11°0.04
22 °
Birch Beach, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation27%
Record high44° (2023)
Record low-21° (1972)
Mon, 0722° / 12°0.02
22 °
Birch Beach, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high22°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation10%
Record high41° (2023)
Record low-16° (1972)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Birch Beach, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Birch Beach, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.