Monthly outlook for Bay Lake, MN: average high 44.5°, average low 33.8°. That is 4.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 1.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 9 November (58°), the coolest 23 November (25.9°).
44.5°/33.8°
Average high / low
+4.8°
Above normal
3 / 4
Wet days / normal
1.3 in
Precipitation this month
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
Period
Forecast high
Normal
Difference
9 November – 18 November
46.1°
37.4°
+4.8°
19 November – 28 November
41.9°
31.8°
+5.6°
29 November – 8 December
at normal
26.6°
—
November records over 66 years
69.3°2 November 2022All-time high
-16.4°30 November 1964All-time low
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Deerwood (5 mi).
Tue, 1054° / 34°0
54 °
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 10 November
Light rain. High 54°, low 34°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.6 mph W
Humidity52%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point35°
Wed, 1147° / 36°0.02
47 °
Bay Lake, Wednesday, 11 November
Light rain. High 47°, low 36°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity59%
Visibility6.2 mi
Dew point32°
Thu, 1237° / 31°0.02
37 °
Bay Lake, Thursday, 12 November
Snow. High 37°, low 31°.
Pressure30.24 inHg
Wind6.6 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility0.4 mi
Dew point28°
Fri, 1335° / 28°0
35 °
Bay Lake, Friday, 13 November
Overcast. High 35°, low 28°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.4 mph N
Humidity83%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Sat, 1438° / 28°0
38 °
Bay Lake, Saturday, 14 November
Clear. High 38°, low 28°.
Pressure30.27 inHg
Wind6.2 mph S
Humidity74%
Visibility—
Dew point28°
Sun, 1543° / 31°0
43 °
Bay Lake, Sunday, 15 November
Partly cloudy. High 43°, low 31°.
Pressure30.00 inHg
Wind11.1 mph SE
Humidity51%
Visibility—
Dew point24°
Mon, 1644° / 35°0
44 °
Bay Lake, Monday, 16 November
Overcast. High 44°, low 35°.
Pressure30.03 inHg
Wind12.3 mph SE
Humidity62%
Visibility—
Dew point29°
Tue, 1749° / 40°0.01
49 °
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Light rain. High 49°, low 40°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.5 mph SE
Humidity88%
Visibility—
Dew point42°
Wed, 1857° / 50°0.11
57 °
Bay Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Light rain. High 57°, low 50°.
Pressure30.12 inHg
Wind10.6 mph S
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point52°
Thu, 1955° / 52°0.99
55 °
Bay Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Rain. High 55°, low 52°.
Pressure29.83 inHg
Wind14.7 mph S
Humidity73%
Visibility—
Dew point46°
Fri, 2047° / 33°0.14
47 °
Bay Lake, Friday, 20 November
Snow. High 47°, low 33°.
Pressure29.68 inHg
Wind17 mph NW
Humidity95%
Visibility—
Dew point37°
Sat, 2140° / 29°0
40 °
Bay Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Clear. High 40°, low 29°.
Pressure30.09 inHg
Wind13.4 mph NW
Humidity47%
Visibility—
Dew point19°
Sun, 2234° / 28°0
34 °
Bay Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 34°, low 28°.
Pressure30.21 inHg
Wind7.2 mph NW
Humidity56%
Visibility—
Dew point18°
Mon, 2339° / 26°0
39 °
Bay Lake, Monday, 23 November
Clear. High 39°, low 26°.
Pressure30.06 inHg
Wind10.6 mph SW
Humidity43%
Visibility—
Dew point15°
Tue, 2437° / 27°0
37 °
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Clear. High 37°, low 27°.
Pressure29.97 inHg
Wind6.1 mph W
Humidity48%
Visibility—
Dew point17°
From day 17 onward the outlook is built from 60-year climate statistics
Wed, 2531° / 21°0.04
31 °
Bay Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high31°
Average low21°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high46° (1984)
Record low-4° (1977)
Thu, 2630° / 19°0.06
30 °
Bay Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low19°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation32%
Record high47° (2022)
Record low-5° (1977)
Fri, 2728° / 17°0.06
28 °
Bay Lake, Friday, 27 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high50° (2017)
Record low-8° (1996)
Sat, 2829° / 17°0.06
29 °
Bay Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.06 in
Chance of precipitation22%
Record high46° (2016)
Record low-5° (1985)
Sun, 2930° / 18°0.04
30 °
Bay Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high30°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high54° (1998)
Record low-14° (1985)
Mon, 3029° / 18°0.04
29 °
Bay Lake, Monday, 30 November
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high29°
Average low18°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high47° (1962)
Record low-16° (1964)
Tue, 0128° / 17°0.05
28 °
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high28°
Average low17°
Average precipitation0.05 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high52° (1962)
Record low-10° (2014)
Wed, 0227° / 15°0.03
27 °
Bay Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.03 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high51° (1982)
Record low-15° (1978)
Thu, 0327° / 15°0.02
27 °
Bay Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low15°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation17%
Record high53° (1962)
Record low-15° (1985)
Fri, 0427° / 14°0.04
27 °
Bay Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high27°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high49° (1962)
Record low-17° (1991)
Sat, 0526° / 14°0.04
26 °
Bay Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high26°
Average low14°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation20%
Record high47° (2001)
Record low-10° (2000)
Sun, 0624° / 11°0.04
24 °
Bay Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low11°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation18%
Record high42° (2023)
Record low-21° (1972)
Mon, 0724° / 12°0.02
24 °
Bay Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high24°
Average low12°
Average precipitation0.02 in
Chance of precipitation12%
Record high45° (2023)
Record low-19° (1972)
Tue, 0825° / 13°0.04
25 °
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
Average high25°
Average low13°
Average precipitation0.04 in
Chance of precipitation23%
Record high44° (1990)
Record low-17° (2013)
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bay Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bay Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.