Weather in Bay Lake, MN
Bay Lake, Sunday, 15 November, 14:11
Mostly clear. Feels like 44°. High 48°, low 24°.
Monthly outlook for Bay Lake, MN: average high 45°, average low 33.6°. That is 6.8° above the climate normal for November. Precipitation is expected on 3 days (about 0.3 inches), against a normal of 4 days and 0.9 inches. The warmest day looks like 21 November (53.3°), the coolest 15 November (24.1°).
Ten-day blocks vs climate normal
| Period | Forecast high | Normal | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 November – 24 November | 46.3° | 34.7° | +6.4° |
| 25 November – 4 December | 42.8° | 28.5° | +7.9° |
| 5 December – 14 December | at normal | 24.2° | — |
November records over 66 years
Climate normals and records are computed from the nearest reference point — Deerwood (5 mi).
0
Bay Lake, Monday, 16 November
Clear. High 50°, low 27°.
0
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 17 November
Overcast. High 52°, low 31°.
0Bay Lake, Wednesday, 18 November
Overcast. High 53°, low 42°.
0Bay Lake, Thursday, 19 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 40°.
0.19
Bay Lake, Friday, 20 November
Rain. High 41°, low 33°.
0.11Bay Lake, Saturday, 21 November
Light rain. High 53°, low 36°.
0Bay Lake, Sunday, 22 November
Overcast. High 38°, low 30°.
0Bay Lake, Monday, 23 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 29°.
0Bay Lake, Tuesday, 24 November
Overcast. High 41°, low 33°.
0Bay Lake, Wednesday, 25 November
Overcast. High 50°, low 37°.
0Bay Lake, Thursday, 26 November
Overcast. High 48°, low 41°.
0.04Bay Lake, Friday, 27 November
Light rain. High 46°, low 39°.
0Bay Lake, Saturday, 28 November
Overcast. High 37°, low 33°.
0Bay Lake, Sunday, 29 November
Overcast. High 36°, low 32°.
0Bay Lake, Monday, 30 November
Overcast. High 39°, low 30°.
0.05
Bay Lake, Tuesday, 1 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.03Bay Lake, Wednesday, 2 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Bay Lake, Thursday, 3 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Bay Lake, Friday, 4 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Bay Lake, Saturday, 5 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Bay Lake, Sunday, 6 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Bay Lake, Monday, 7 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Bay Lake, Tuesday, 8 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.04Bay Lake, Wednesday, 9 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Bay Lake, Thursday, 10 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Bay Lake, Friday, 11 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.02Bay Lake, Saturday, 12 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Bay Lake, Sunday, 13 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
0.05Bay Lake, Monday, 14 December
Climate normal for this date — 60-year average.
About the monthly outlook
How accurate is a 30-day forecast?
The first 16 days come from weather models — reliable for the first 3–5 days and progressively less so after that. Days 17 through 30 for Bay Lake, MN are built from the climate normal, the 60-year average, so they show typical weather for those dates rather than a specific forecast.
What does "above normal" mean?
We compare the forecast against the climate normal for those exact calendar days, computed from 60 years of observations. The deviation shows how much the coming month differs from a typical one.
Where do the 66-year records come from?
They are real temperature extremes recorded in Bay Lake, MN since 1960: the highest and lowest reading for each calendar date, with the year it happened.
How often is it updated?
The forecast portion refreshes every hour; the climate portion is based on long-term data and stays stable.
Sun and moon today
Weather history
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